Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TLT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Mar. 17, 2004

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. Jun. 25, 2024)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
TLT latest price $91.0300 (-0.16%) ($90.9000 - $91.4800) on Wed. Mar. 17, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.66% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $91.0300(-0.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TLT advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TLT advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(69%)    LQD(46%)    SHY(44%)    REMX(-1%)    XLU(-12%)
Factors Impacting TLT price   TLT will decline at least -0.33% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-33%)    EWI(-33%)    IWM(-32%)    EWP(-32%)    EWG(-31%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.33% (StdDev 0.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $90.75(0.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $90.34(0.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $89.2(2.05%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   8.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TLT price fluctuates within 1.51% (three month std-dev: 0.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040417

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_17_2004	86.68	89.2	90.34	90.75			91.03(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	-10000	2	138	1.94	66%	0.07	58.9	0.66%	0	1.4	73	0
2	Mar_16_2004	86.62	89.04	90.01	90.69			91.18(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	-10000	3	131	1.38	66%	0.07	61.9	0.67%	0	1.6	70	0
3	Mar_15_2004	86.56	88.86	89.67	90.61			90.43(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	34	-10000	2	128	0.76	64%	0.07	65.2	0.66%	0	1.3	68	0
4	Mar_12_2004	86.5	88.72	89.46	90.55			90.28(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	36	-10000	4	133	0.44	64%	0.07	68.7	0.66%	0	1.3	69	0
5	Mar_11_2004	86.44	88.58	89.29	90.43			90.84(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	52	-10000	20	149	1.34	64%	0.07	71.8	0.65%	0	1.9	77	0

6	Mar_10_2004	86.38	88.42	88.99	89.85			90.71(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	46	-10000	22	117	0.88	64%	0.08	69.5	0.66%	0	2.2	68	0
7	Mar_9_2004	86.31	88.23	88.73	89.21			90.77(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	37	-10000	21	85	0.83	64%	0.08	61.5	0.66%	0	2.8	69	0
8	Mar_8_2004	86.24	88.06	88.43	88.6			90.17(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	23	-10000	13	51	1.31	63%	0.08	63	0.66%	0	3	68	0
9	Mar_5_2004	86.17	87.91	88.19	88.22			89.64(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	12	-10000	7	27	2.79	66%	0.08	69.5	0.67%	0	3.3	64	0
10	Mar_4_2004	86.1	87.75	88.19	88.03			87.94(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	4	-10000	0	14	0.42	62%	0.06	68.6	0.65%	0	0.4	57	0

11	Mar_3_2004	86.05	87.7	87.95	88.02			87.55(-0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	0	-10000	-4	13	0.72	62%	0.05	64.3	0.65%	0	-0.3	48	0
12	Mar_2_2004	86.01	87.67	87.99	88.14			87.71(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	6	-10000	-2	29	0.68	62%	0.05	66.1	0.65%	0	0.1	57	0
13	Mar_1_2004	85.97	87.61	88	88.21			88.27(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10000	3	36	0.77	58%	0.03	60	0.65%	0	1.2	56	0
14	Feb_27_2004	85.94	87.55	87.95	88.13			88.66(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	16	-10000	9	38	0.84	55%	0.06	56.3	0.67%	0	2	62	0
15	Feb_26_2004	85.89	87.44	87.82	87.87			87.9(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-10000	-0	29	0.4	53%	0.05	27	0.67%	0	0.8	66	0

16	Feb_25_2004	85.85	87.38	87.81	87.88			88.18(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-10000	2	40	0.57	53%	0.03	18.8	0.67%	0	1.4	64	0
17	Feb_24_2004	85.82	87.33	87.71	87.81			88.04(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-10000	2	39	0.94	53%	0.03	14.8	0.67%	0	1.3	61	0
18	Feb_23_2004	85.79	87.27	87.67	87.75			87.88(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	0	46	0.5	53%	0.02	5.2	0.68%	0	1.2	63	0
19	Feb_20_2004	85.77	87.24	87.62	87.74			87.34(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	12	-10000	-1	50	1.01	55%	0.01	-3.6	0.67%	0	0.2	53	0
20	Feb_19_2004	85.76	87.29	87.54	87.76			87.95(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10000	1	52	0.67	54%	0	1.6	0.68%	0	1.2	64	0

21	Feb_18_2004	85.76	87.28	87.42	87.73			87.86(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10000	5	53	0.99	54%	0	3.2	0.69%	0	1.1	61	0
22	Feb_17_2004	85.76	87.26	87.33	87.58			87.74(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-10000	1	41	0.64	54%	-0.01	1.6	0.7%	0	0.9	52	0
23	Feb_13_2004	85.77	87.25	87.21	87.56			87.8(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-10000	3	38	0.51	58%	0.01	6.6	0.7%	0	1	57	0
24	Feb_12_2004	85.76	87.26	87.13	87.48			87.43(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-10000	6	32	0.26	58%	0.01	23.4	0.72%	0	0.3	50	0
25	Feb_11_2004	85.75	87.28	87.03	87.28			87.8(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	6	-10000	7	4	1.34	58%		33.3	0.72%	0	0.9	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.