Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TLT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jul. 23, 2003

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Jul. 3, 2024)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
TLT latest price $86.5500 (0.34%) ($86.4000 - $87.0500) on Wed. Jul. 23, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.86% (three month average)
RSI   21
Latest Price   $86.5500(0.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TLT declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TLT declines -2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(47%)    SHY(45%)    REMX(-2%)    XLU(-11%)    EWJ(-22%)
Factors Impacting TLT price   TLT will decline at least -0.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-33%)    IWM(-32%)    EWI(-32%)    EWP(-31%)    EWG(-31%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.43% (StdDev 0.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $83.36(-3.69%)
Resistance Level   $89.68
5 Day Moving Average   $86.85(-0.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $88(-1.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $89.68(-3.49%)
To recent high   -10.9%
To recent low   0.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TLT price fluctuates within 2.48% (three month std-dev: 0.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20030823

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_23_2003	91.08	89.68	88	86.85			86.55(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-45	-10000	-9	-152	1.37	45%	-0.05	-83.1	0.86%	0	-1.4	21	0
2	Jul_22_2003	91.13	90.1	88.38	87.17			86.26(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-43	-10000	-7	-149	1.58	45%	-0.08	-75.4	0.86%	0	-1.6	21	0
3	Jul_21_2003	91.2	90.5	88.77	87.44			85.84(-2.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-56	-10000	-21	-162	1.27	45%	-0.08	-77.3	0.86%	0	-2	16	0
4	Jul_18_2003	91.27	90.91	89.22	88.23			87.7(-0.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-51	-10000	-17	-152	0.55	48%	-0.05	-82	0.81%	0	-1.5	24	0
5	Jul_17_2003	91.32	91.24	89.51	88.84			87.88(-0.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-45	-10000	-14	-137	0.9	48%	-0.04	-81.9	0.82%	0	-1.6	24	0

6	Jul_16_2003	91.36	91.56	89.91	89.34			88.15(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-41	-10000	-12	-129	1.21	48%	-0.05	-82.1	0.82%	0	-1.7	21	0
7	Jul_15_2003	91.41	91.93	90.27	89.79			87.65(-2.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-44	-10000	-13	-137	3.17	49%	-0.05	-78	0.82%	0	-2.1	14	0
8	Jul_14_2003	91.46	92.36	90.77	90.28			89.75(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-36	-10000	-2	-136	0.47	53%	-0.02	-72	0.76%	0	-1.3	25	0
9	Jul_11_2003	91.48	92.72	91	90.33			90.79(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-37	-10000	1	-149	0.39	55%	-0.01	-60.7	0.75%	0	-0.9	33	0
10	Jul_10_2003	91.49	93	91.15	90.29			90.36(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-50	-10000	-9	-171	0.72	55%	-0.02	-54.2	0.75%	0	-1.2	29	0

11	Jul_9_2003	91.51	93.28	91.47	90.61			90.39(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-47	-10000	-8	-163	0.27	55%	-0.02	-48.9	0.75%	0	-1.3	28	0
12	Jul_8_2003	91.53	93.56	91.92	90.87			90.1(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-50	-10000	-14	-159	0.39	56%	-0.02	-42.4	0.75%	0	-1.6	23	0
13	Jul_7_2003	91.55	93.81	92.35	91.35			90.02(-0.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-47	-10000	-12	-151	0.47	56%	-0.02	-36.5	0.76%	0	-1.9	20	0
14	Jul_3_2003	91.57	94.03	92.74	91.76			90.6(-1.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-48	-10000	-10	-161	0.56	56%	-0.02	-37	0.75%	0	-2	19	0
15	Jul_2_2003	91.59	94.22	93.1	92.12			91.92(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-51	-10000	-10	-172	0.34	57%	0.01	-38.7	0.72%	0	-1.5	27	0

16	Jul_1_2003	91.58	94.36	93.34	92.46			91.69(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-57	-10000	-20	-169	0.45	57%	0	-32.3	0.74%	0	-1.8	32	0
17	Jun_30_2003	91.58	94.47	93.72	93.16			92.5(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-43	-10000	-10	-140	0.54	58%	0.02	-23.2	0.73%	0	-1.5	33	0
18	Jun_27_2003	91.56	94.54	94.09	93.52			92.07(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-36	-10000	-10	-113	0.74	58%	0.01	-25.4	0.74%	0	-1.9	39	0
19	Jun_26_2003	91.55	94.68	94.59	93.86			92.4(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-27	-10000	-10	-76	1.42	58%	0.01	-24.2	0.74%	0	-2	45	0
20	Jun_25_2003	91.54	94.81	95.01	94.2			93.66(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-13	-10000	-4	-39	1	61%	0.04	-17.3	0.72%	0	-1.1	52	0

21	Jun_24_2003	91.5	94.84	95.24	94.32			95.18(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-8	-10000	-2	-24	0.29	65%	0.07	-18.5	0.69%	0	0.3	54	0
22	Jun_23_2003	91.44	94.79	95.3	94.39			94.31(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-10000	-12	-6	0.82	64%	0.05	-13.6	0.69%	0	-0.5	56	0
23	Jun_20_2003	91.39	94.86	95.37	94.78			93.75(-0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-10	-10000	-21	22	0.56	64%	0.04	6.3	0.69%	0	-1	54	0
24	Jun_19_2003	91.35	94.95	95.37	95.46			94.1(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	3	-10000	-15	56	0.82	64%	0.05	35.5	0.7%	0	-0.8	49	0
25	Jun_18_2003	91.3	94.99	95.44	95.95			94.28(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.6	12	-10000	-9	76	0.66	64%		59.8	0.7%	0	-0.7	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.