Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 15, 2003

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. May. 23, 2024)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
TLT latest price $87.6500 (-2.34%) ($87.4000 - $89.8600) on Tue. Jul. 15, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.82% (three month average)
RSI   14
Latest Price   $87.6500(-2.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TLT declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TLT declines -1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(47%)    SHY(45%)    REMX(-2%)    XLU(-11%)    EWJ(-22%)
Factors Impacting TLT price   TLT will decline at least -0.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-33%)    IWM(-32%)    EWI(-32%)    EWP(-31%)    EWG(-31%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.41% (StdDev 0.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

Resistance Level   $91.93
5 Day Moving Average   $89.79(-2.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $90.27(-2.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $91.93(-4.66%)
To recent high   -9.8%
To recent low   0.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TLT price fluctuates within 2.23% (three month std-dev: 0.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20030815

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_15_2003	91.41	91.93	90.27	89.79			87.65(-2.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-44	-10000	-13	-137	3.17	49%	-0.05	-78	0.82%	0	-2.1	14	0
2	Jul_14_2003	91.46	92.36	90.77	90.28			89.75(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-36	-10000	-2	-136	0.47	53%	-0.02	-72	0.76%	0	-1.3	25	0
3	Jul_11_2003	91.48	92.72	91	90.33			90.79(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-37	-10000	1	-149	0.39	55%	-0.01	-60.7	0.75%	0	-0.9	33	0
4	Jul_10_2003	91.49	93	91.15	90.29			90.36(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-50	-10000	-9	-171	0.72	55%	-0.02	-54.2	0.75%	0	-1.2	29	0
5	Jul_9_2003	91.51	93.28	91.47	90.61			90.39(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-47	-10000	-8	-163	0.27	55%	-0.02	-48.9	0.75%	0	-1.3	28	0

6	Jul_8_2003	91.53	93.56	91.92	90.87			90.1(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-50	-10000	-14	-159	0.39	56%	-0.02	-42.4	0.75%	0	-1.6	23	0
7	Jul_7_2003	91.55	93.81	92.35	91.35			90.02(-0.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-47	-10000	-12	-151	0.47	56%	-0.02	-36.5	0.76%	0	-1.9	20	0
8	Jul_3_2003	91.57	94.03	92.74	91.76			90.6(-1.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-48	-10000	-10	-161	0.56	56%	-0.02	-37	0.75%	0	-2	19	0
9	Jul_2_2003	91.59	94.22	93.1	92.12			91.92(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-51	-10000	-10	-172	0.34	57%	0.01	-38.7	0.72%	0	-1.5	27	0
10	Jul_1_2003	91.58	94.36	93.34	92.46			91.69(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-57	-10000	-20	-169	0.45	57%	0	-32.3	0.74%	0	-1.8	32	0

11	Jun_30_2003	91.58	94.47	93.72	93.16			92.5(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-43	-10000	-10	-140	0.54	58%	0.02	-23.2	0.73%	0	-1.5	33	0
12	Jun_27_2003	91.56	94.54	94.09	93.52			92.07(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-36	-10000	-10	-113	0.74	58%	0.01	-25.4	0.74%	0	-1.9	39	0
13	Jun_26_2003	91.55	94.68	94.59	93.86			92.4(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-27	-10000	-10	-76	1.42	58%	0.01	-24.2	0.74%	0	-2	45	0
14	Jun_25_2003	91.54	94.81	95.01	94.2			93.66(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-13	-10000	-4	-39	1	61%	0.04	-17.3	0.72%	0	-1.1	52	0
15	Jun_24_2003	91.5	94.84	95.24	94.32			95.18(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-8	-10000	-2	-24	0.29	65%	0.07	-18.5	0.69%	0	0.3	54	0

16	Jun_23_2003	91.44	94.79	95.3	94.39			94.31(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-10000	-12	-6	0.82	64%	0.05	-13.6	0.69%	0	-0.5	56	0
17	Jun_20_2003	91.39	94.86	95.37	94.78			93.75(-0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-10	-10000	-21	22	0.56	64%	0.04	6.3	0.69%	0	-1	54	0
18	Jun_19_2003	91.35	94.95	95.37	95.46			94.1(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	3	-10000	-15	56	0.82	64%	0.05	35.5	0.7%	0	-0.8	49	0
19	Jun_18_2003	91.3	94.99	95.44	95.95			94.28(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.6	12	-10000	-9	76	0.66	64%	0.07	59.8	0.7%	0	-0.7	48	0
20	Jun_17_2003	91.24	95.02	95.49	96.25			95.5(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	25	-10000	-2	104	0.69	67%	0.09	84.9	0.68%	0	0.5	59	0

21	Jun_16_2003	91.16	94.92	95.31	96.33			96.26(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	34	-10000	9	110	0.79	69%	0.1	92.9	0.68%	0	1.3	62	0
22	Jun_13_2003	91.07	94.8	95.04	96.03			97.18(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	35	-10000	19	83	0.48	72%	0.13	101.8	0.66%	0	2.3	54	0
23	Jun_12_2003	90.95	94.58	94.76	95.42			96.53(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	23	-10000	17	42	0.32	72%	0.13	107	0.67%	0	2.1	53	0
24	Jun_11_2003	90.83	94.39	94.56	94.88			95.78(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	8	-10000	8	9	0.63	71%	0.11	108.3	0.67%	0	1.5	55	0
25	Jun_10_2003	90.73	94.18	94.37	94.63			95.9(1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	9	-10000	15	-8	0.53	71%		94.7	0.67%	0	1.6	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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