Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TLT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jul. 3, 2003

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Jun. 20, 2024)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
TLT latest price $90.6000 (-1.44%) ($90.6000 - $91.7100) on Thu. Jul. 3, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.75% (three month average)
RSI   19
Latest Price   $90.6000(-1.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TLT declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TLT declines -2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(47%)    SHY(45%)    REMX(-2%)    XLU(-11%)    EWJ(-22%)
Factors Impacting TLT price   TLT will decline at least -0.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-33%)    IWM(-32%)    EWI(-32%)    EWP(-31%)    EWG(-31%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.375% (StdDev 0.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $88.99(-1.78%)
Resistance Level   $94.03
5 Day Moving Average   $91.76(-1.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $92.74(-2.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $94.03(-3.65%)
To recent high   -6.8%
To recent low   4.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TLT price fluctuates within 1.84% (three month std-dev: 0.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20030803

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_3_2003	91.57	94.03	92.74	91.76			90.6(-1.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-48	-10000	-10	-161	0.56	56%	-0.02	-37	0.75%	0	-2	19	0
2	Jul_2_2003	91.59	94.22	93.1	92.12			91.92(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-51	-10000	-10	-172	0.34	57%	0.01	-38.7	0.72%	0	-1.5	27	0
3	Jul_1_2003	91.58	94.36	93.34	92.46			91.69(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-57	-10000	-20	-169	0.45	57%	0	-32.3	0.74%	0	-1.8	32	0
4	Jun_30_2003	91.58	94.47	93.72	93.16			92.5(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-43	-10000	-10	-140	0.54	58%	0.02	-23.2	0.73%	0	-1.5	33	0
5	Jun_27_2003	91.56	94.54	94.09	93.52			92.07(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-36	-10000	-10	-113	0.74	58%	0.01	-25.4	0.74%	0	-1.9	39	0

6	Jun_26_2003	91.55	94.68	94.59	93.86			92.4(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-27	-10000	-10	-76	1.42	58%	0.01	-24.2	0.74%	0	-2	45	0
7	Jun_25_2003	91.54	94.81	95.01	94.2			93.66(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-13	-10000	-4	-39	1	61%	0.04	-17.3	0.72%	0	-1.1	52	0
8	Jun_24_2003	91.5	94.84	95.24	94.32			95.18(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-8	-10000	-2	-24	0.29	65%	0.07	-18.5	0.69%	0	0.3	54	0
9	Jun_23_2003	91.44	94.79	95.3	94.39			94.31(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-10000	-12	-6	0.82	64%	0.05	-13.6	0.69%	0	-0.5	56	0
10	Jun_20_2003	91.39	94.86	95.37	94.78			93.75(-0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-10	-10000	-21	22	0.56	64%	0.04	6.3	0.69%	0	-1	54	0

11	Jun_19_2003	91.35	94.95	95.37	95.46			94.1(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	3	-10000	-15	56	0.82	64%	0.05	35.5	0.7%	0	-0.8	49	0
12	Jun_18_2003	91.3	94.99	95.44	95.95			94.28(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.6	12	-10000	-9	76	0.66	64%	0.07	59.8	0.7%	0	-0.7	48	0
13	Jun_17_2003	91.24	95.02	95.49	96.25			95.5(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	25	-10000	-2	104	0.69	67%	0.09	84.9	0.68%	0	0.5	59	0
14	Jun_16_2003	91.16	94.92	95.31	96.33			96.26(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	34	-10000	9	110	0.79	69%	0.1	92.9	0.68%	0	1.3	62	0
15	Jun_13_2003	91.07	94.8	95.04	96.03			97.18(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	35	-10000	19	83	0.48	72%	0.13	101.8	0.66%	0	2.3	54	0

16	Jun_12_2003	90.95	94.58	94.76	95.42			96.53(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	23	-10000	17	42	0.32	72%	0.13	107	0.67%	0	2.1	53	0
17	Jun_11_2003	90.83	94.39	94.56	94.88			95.78(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	8	-10000	8	9	0.63	71%	0.11	108.3	0.67%	0	1.5	55	0
18	Jun_10_2003	90.73	94.18	94.37	94.63			95.9(1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	9	-10000	15	-8	0.53	71%	0.11	94.7	0.67%	0	1.6	55	0
19	Jun_9_2003	90.63	93.95	94.18	94.15			94.77(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	-10000	8	-31	0.28	69%	0.1	85.6	0.66%	0	0.7	58	0
20	Jun_6_2003	90.54	93.75	94.26	93.9			94.14(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-10	-10000	-3	-31	0.28	68%	0.09	77.2	0.67%	0	0.3	54	0

21	Jun_5_2003	90.46	93.58	94.4	93.99			93.8(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	-10000	-6	-6	0.82	68%	0.09	75.9	0.67%	0	0.1	56	0
22	Jun_4_2003	90.38	93.42	94.5	94.19			94.54(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	-10000	4	26	0.39	71%	0.1	75	0.67%	0	0.7	62	0
23	Jun_3_2003	90.29	93.17	94.52	94.07			93.51(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-10000	-4	47	0	69%	0.08	67.7	0.66%	0	0.2	65	0
24	Jun_2_2003	90.22	92.95	94.53	94.19			93.51(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-10000	-15	70	0.48	69%	0.09	63.1	0.67%	0	0.3	66	0
25	May_30_2003	90.14	92.71	94.57	94.66			94.6(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	28	-10000	-7	134	0.72	74%		62.9	0.64%	0	0.8	75	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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