Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 18, 2013

Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 5, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares TIPS Bond ETF)
TIP latest price $112.4900 (0.27%) ($112.1200 - $112.4900) on Mon. Nov. 18, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.39% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $112.4900(0.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TIP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TIP declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TIP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(71%)    LQD(53%)    BNDX(41%)    SHY(40%)    GLD(35%)
Factors Impacting TIP price   TIP will decline at least -0.195% in a week (0% probabilities).
FXI(-3%)    XLP(-1%)    SPY(-1%)    XLK(1%)    QQQ(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.195% (StdDev 0.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $111.94(0.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $111.89(0.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $112.4(0.08%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   3.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TIP price fluctuates within 0.61% (three month std-dev: 0.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131218

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_18_2013	111.85		111.89	111.94			112.49(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-2	-10000	11	-42	0.41	52%	0.01	-18	0.39%	0	0.1	39	0
2	Nov_15_2013	111.84	112.4	111.84	111.7			112.19(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-15	-10000	7	-79	0.57	48%	0	-21	0.39%	0	-0.3	35	0
3	Nov_14_2013	111.84	112.42	111.82	111.56			112.14(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-30	-10000	-3	-109	0.42	48%	0.02	-23	0.4%	0	-0.4	34	0
4	Nov_13_2013	111.82	112.45	111.89	111.62			111.53(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-33	-10000	-7	-112	0.41	42%	0.01	-19.4	0.4%	0	-1.3	31	0
5	Nov_12_2013	111.81	112.48	112.04	111.77			111.34(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-10000	-3	-98	0.75	42%	0.01	-13.3	0.41%	0	-1.7	29	0

6	Nov_11_2013	111.8	112.52	112.23	111.84			111.28(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-29	-10000	-7	-96	0.81	42%	0.01	-13.6	0.41%	0	-1.9	28	0
7	Nov_8_2013	111.79	112.55	112.44	112			111.49(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-23	-10000	-5	-77	0.65	42%	0	-15.1	0.41%	0	-1.8	40	0
8	Nov_7_2013	111.79	112.59	112.64	112.11			112.45(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-19	-10000	-4	-63	0.52	46%	0	-11.8	0.4%	0	-0.2	48	0
9	Nov_6_2013	111.79	112.59	112.7	112.2			112.3(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-19	-10000	-8	-51	0.72	46%	-0.03	-11.8	0.4%	0	-0.5	49	0
10	Nov_5_2013	111.82	112.58	112.79	112.37			111.66(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-19	-10000	-15	-31	0.51	43%	-0.02	-5.9	0.39%	0	-1.6	49	0

11	Nov_4_2013	111.84	112.61	112.95	112.7			112.1(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-5	-10000	-11	13	0.59	44%	-0.02	8.3	0.39%	0	-0.9	59	0
12	Nov_1_2013	111.86	112.64	113.01	112.95			112.04(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.7	2	-10000	-12	42	0.95	44%	-0.03	21.3	0.4%	0	-1.1	61	0
13	Oct_31_2013	111.89	112.66	113.09	113.22			112.92(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	17	-10000	-2	74	1.1	50%	-0.01	37.8	0.4%	0	0.5	64	0
14	Oct_30_2013	111.9	112.64	113.06	113.22			113.14(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	22	-10000	0	86	0.48	50%	-0.01	44.4	0.4%	0	1	68	0
15	Oct_29_2013	111.91	112.61	112.97	113.27			113.29(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	23	-10000	2	86	0.41	50%	-0.02	45.5	0.4%	0	1.4	68	0

16	Oct_28_2013	111.93	112.56	112.83	113.24			113.36(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	7	84	0.39	50%	-0.02	47.6	0.4%	0	1.7	69	0
17	Oct_25_2013	111.95	112.52	112.66	113.09			113.41(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	-10000	6	62	0.54	50%	-0.02	44.7	0.4%	0	2.1	62	0
18	Oct_24_2013	111.97	112.46	112.53	112.95			113.16(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-10000	6	50	0.44	47%	-0.03	44.1	0.4%	0	1.8	61	0
19	Oct_23_2013	112	112.42	112.42	112.82			113.12(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	16	-10000	9	36	0.37	47%	-0.04	48.4	0.41%	0	2	55	0
20	Oct_22_2013	112.04	112.38	112.33	112.62			113.17(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	14	-10000	12	18	0.48	47%	-0.03	42.9	0.41%	0	2.5	57	0

21	Oct_21_2013	112.07	112.34	112.23	112.35			112.6(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	5	-10000	8	-4	0.39	44%	-0.04	56.5	0.41%	0	1	53	0
22	Oct_18_2013	112.11	112.33	112.21	112.16			112.69(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	2	-1	-10000	5	-19	0.49	48%	-0.04	73.9	0.42%	0	1.4	50	0
23	Oct_17_2013	112.15	112.29	112.17	112.05			112.53(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-5	-10000	3	-29	0.5	48%	-0.04	92	0.42%	0	0.9	52	0
24	Oct_16_2013	112.19	112.29	112.18	111.97			112.09(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-9	-10000	-1	-32	0.49	48%	-0.04	116	0.42%	0	-0.6	46	0
25	Oct_15_2013	112.24	112.25	112.22	112			111.86(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-10000	-3	-31	0.52	50%		97.5	0.42%	0	-0.9	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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