Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 26, 2013

Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 5, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares TIPS Bond ETF)
TIP latest price $120.7400 (-0.24%) ($120.7100 - $121.0600) on Tue. Feb. 26, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.24% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $120.7400(-0.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TIP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TIP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(71%)    LQD(55%)    SHY(40%)    PCY(35%)    GLD(33%)
Factors Impacting TIP price   TIP will decline at least -0.12% in a week (0% probabilities).
FXI(-2%)    XLP(0%)    SPY(-0%)    QQQ(1%)    EWP(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.12% (StdDev 0.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $120.48(0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $120.36(0.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $120.47(0.22%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   0.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TIP price fluctuates within 0.25% (three month std-dev: 0.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130326

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_26_2013	121.67	120.47	120.36	120.48			120.74(-0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	6	-10000	10	-6	0.77	30%	-0.02	-44	0.24%	0	0.9	51	0
2	Feb_25_2013	121.69	120.46	120.33	120.33			121.03(0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.4	3	-10000	14	-32	0.77	31%	-0.01	-70.8	0.24%	0	2	48	0
3	Feb_22_2013	121.7	120.44	120.28	120.13			120.43(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-13	-10000	1	-54	0.76	25%	-0.02	-104.5	0.23%	0	-0	55	0
4	Feb_21_2013	121.73	120.48	120.29	120.13			120.17(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-15	-10000	0	-60	1.25	25%	-0.02	-88.9	0.23%	0	-0.9	41	0
5	Feb_20_2013	121.76	120.53	120.35	120.12			120.02(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-10000	-7	-58	1.12	25%	-0.02	-77.4	0.23%	0	-1.4	46	0

6	Feb_19_2013	121.78	120.6	120.41	120.22			119.99(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-17	-10000	-8	-42	1.1	25%	-0.02	-68.8	0.23%	0	-1.6	46	0
7	Feb_15_2013	121.8	120.66	120.51	120.33			120.05(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-12	-10000	-8	-24	0.92	25%	-0.02	-64.5	0.23%	0	-1.6	44	0
8	Feb_14_2013	121.82	120.72	120.53	120.44			120.38(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	-10000	-3	-19	0.63	27%	-0.02	-58.1	0.23%	0	-0.9	45	0
9	Feb_13_2013	121.84	120.77	120.57	120.49			120.17(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-13	-10000	-9	-24	1.11	27%	-0.01	-51.6	0.23%	0	-1.6	35	0
10	Feb_12_2013	121.85	120.83	120.6	120.61			120.51(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-10000	-2	-27	0.75	28%	-0.01	-38.7	0.23%	0	-0.9	37	0

11	Feb_11_2013	121.86	120.87	120.59	120.63			120.52(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-10000	-6	-44	0.73	28%	-0.01	-32.3	0.23%	0	-0.9	38	0
12	Feb_8_2013	121.87	120.9	120.6	120.72			120.61(-0.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-6	-10000	6	-43	1.4	32%	-0.01	-16.1	0.24%	0	-0.8	38	0
13	Feb_7_2013	121.88	120.93	120.62	120.64			120.65(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-17	-10000	-2	-61	0.83	38%	-0.01	-16.1	0.25%	0	-0.8	43	0
14	Feb_6_2013	121.89	120.96	120.67	120.66			120.76(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-11	-10000	4	-56	3.38	38%	-0.01	-16.1	0.26%	0	-0.5	41	0
15	Feb_5_2013	121.9	120.98	120.72	120.6			120.62(-0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	-10000	3	-66	0.98	38%	-0.01	-25.8	0.26%	0	-1	39	0

16	Feb_4_2013	121.91	120.99	120.79	120.55			120.97(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-14	-10000	5	-72	2.9	39%	-0.01	-46.7	0.26%	0	-0.1	44	0
17	Feb_1_2013	121.92	120.97	120.82	120.47			120.19(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-29	-10000	-8	-91	4.13	31%	-0.02	-71	0.24%	0	-2.1	30	0
18	Jan_31_2013	121.94	120.99	120.92	120.59			120.78(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-25	-10000	-7	-80	1.66	40%	0	-86.2	0.24%	0	-0.6	42	0
19	Jan_30_2013	121.94	121.02	120.97	120.69			120.42(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-26	-10000	-12	-67	1.54	37%	0	-83.3	0.25%	0	-1.7	29	0
20	Jan_29_2013	121.94	121.07	121.07	120.87			120.38(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-20	-10000	-13	-41	0.81	37%	-0.01	-85.7	0.25%	0	-2	37	0

21	Jan_28_2013	121.95	121.16	121.17	121.06			120.6(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-11	-10000	-10	-14	1.37	37%	-0.01	-72	0.25%	0	-1.9	47	0
22	Jan_25_2013	121.96	121.24	121.24	121.21			120.76(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	1	-10000	-5	19	1.14	39%	0.01	-43.3	0.26%	0	-1.3	61	0
23	Jan_24_2013	121.95	121.3	121.24	121.28			121.27(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	8	-10000	-2	38	0.95	42%	0	-26.5	0.26%	0	-0.1	74	0
24	Jan_23_2013	121.95	121.33	121.29	121.3			121.34(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	10	-10000	-1	41	1.16	42%	0	-25	0.26%	0	0	49	0
25	Jan_22_2013	121.95	121.36	121.26	121.31			121.32(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	10	-10000	1	37	0.63	42%		-26.3	0.26%	0	-0.1	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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