Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 11, 2011

Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 5, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares TIPS Bond ETF)
TIP latest price $115.6400 (-2.08%) ($114.8500 - $117.4000) on Thu. Aug. 11, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.54% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $115.6400(-2.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TIP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TIP advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TIP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(71%)    LQD(54%)    SHY(39%)    PCY(33%)    GLD(32%)
Factors Impacting TIP price   TIP will decline at least -0.27% in a week (0% probabilities).
EWP(-7%)    SPY(-6%)    FXI(-6%)    EWI(-6%)    XLP(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.27% (StdDev 0.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $115.67(-0.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $115.05(0.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $113.67(1.73%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   5.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TIP price fluctuates within 1.5% (three month std-dev: 0.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110911

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_11_2011	111.01	113.67	115.05	115.67			115.64(-2.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	44	-10000	4	165	2.41	62%	0.05	62	0.54%	0	1.2	66	0
2	Aug_10_2011	110.95	113.46	114.78	115.53			118.1(1.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	75	-10000	31	208	2.14	70%	0.08	65.1	0.47%	0	2.8	79	0
3	Aug_9_2011	110.86	113.15	114.2	114.69			115.96(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	52	-10000	11	174	2.67	66%	0.05	71.9	0.42%	0	2.2	73	0
4	Aug_8_2011	110.8	112.94	113.82	114.43			115(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	47	-10000	9	160	3.03	65%	0.05	83.2	0.41%	0	1.8	64	0
5	Aug_5_2011	110.75	112.76	113.53	114.21			113.63(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	35	-10000	-5	156	1.92	61%	0.04	87.8	0.38%	0	0.8	61	0

6	Aug_4_2011	110.71	112.62	113.39	114.32			114.94(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	65	-10000	21	195	1.45	67%	0.05	87.5	0.35%	0	2	72	0
7	Aug_3_2011	110.66	112.4	113.05	113.9			113.94(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	55	-10000	16	172	1.44	64%	0.04	80.8	0.33%	0	1.4	70	0
8	Aug_2_2011	110.62	112.22	112.85	113.6			114.65(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	59	-10000	28	152	1.11	66%	0.05	70.3	0.32%	0	2.2	68	0
9	Aug_1_2011	110.56	111.99	112.62	113.1			113.9(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	43	-10000	19	114	1.46	64%	0.05	62.5	0.32%	0	1.9	66	0
10	Jul_29_2011	110.51	111.8	112.41	112.75			114.17(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	40	-10000	23	92	1.32	64%	0.05	47.1	0.32%	0	2.4	71	0

11	Jul_28_2011	110.46	111.61	112.17	112.33			112.86(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	-10000	14	70	1.25	59%	0.04	39.7	0.29%	0	1.5	69	0
12	Jul_27_2011	110.42	111.51	112.03	112.09			112.4(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-10000	7	65	1.22	57%	0.04	37.1	0.28%	0	1.1	71	0
13	Jul_26_2011	110.38	111.43	112	111.98			112.19(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	17	-10000	-4	79	0.84	57%	0.03	36.8	0.29%	0	1	69	0
14	Jul_25_2011	110.35	111.38	111.98	112.05			112.15(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	-10000	2	121	2.2	57%	0.04	47	0.29%	0	1	71	0
15	Jul_22_2011	110.31	111.34	111.92	112.02			112.03(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	39	-10000	3	146	0.43	57%	0.04	54.7	0.29%	0	1	71	0

16	Jul_21_2011	110.27	111.29	111.82	111.98			111.66(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	38	-10000	1	149	0.76	56%	0.04	57.1	0.29%	0	0.5	60	0
17	Jul_20_2011	110.23	111.22	111.71	111.96			111.89(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	33	-10000	-3	142	0.81	56%	0.03	52.3	0.29%	0	0.9	59	0
18	Jul_19_2011	110.2	111.15	111.57	112.02			112.53(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	44	-10000	7	153	0.69	60%	0.05	58.5	0.28%	0	1.9	66	0
19	Jul_18_2011	110.15	111.03	111.34	111.91			111.97(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-10000	6	122	1.11	57%	0.03	58.3	0.28%	0	1.4	55	0
20	Jul_15_2011	110.12	110.96	111.14	111.82			111.87(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	-10000	12	93	0.93	61%	0.04	56.9	0.28%	0	1.4	52	0

21	Jul_14_2011	110.08	110.89	111.02	111.63			111.52(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	27	-10000	14	66	0.7	59%	0.04	53.7	0.29%	0	1	54	0
22	Jul_13_2011	110.04	110.84	110.95	111.4			112.19(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	32	-10000	22	60	1.4	64%	0.05	45.3	0.28%	0	2.3	68	0
23	Jul_12_2011	109.99	110.73	110.8	111.06			111.98(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	25	-10000	24	29	0.71	67%	0.02	29.8	0.28%	0	2.4	63	0
24	Jul_11_2011	109.97	110.65	110.71	110.69			111.53(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	17	-10000	20	8	0.9	65%	0.05	12.8	0.28%	0	2	63	0
25	Jul_8_2011	109.92	110.59	110.69	110.38			110.91(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-1	-10000	4	-16	1.45	62%		-8.8	0.28%	0	0.8	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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