Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 31, 2011

Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 5, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares TIPS Bond ETF)
TIP latest price $107.5400 (0.03%) ($107.2800 - $107.7100) on Mon. Jan. 31, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.46% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $107.5400(0.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TIP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TIP declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TIP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(71%)    LQD(54%)    SHY(40%)    PCY(32%)    GLD(31%)
Factors Impacting TIP price   TIP will decline at least -0.23% in a week (0% probabilities).
EWP(-8%)    SPY(-7%)    FXI(-7%)    EWI(-7%)    EWG(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.23% (StdDev 0.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $107.33(0.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $107.3(0.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $107.44(0.09%)
To recent high   -3.9%
To recent low   1.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TIP price fluctuates within 0.37% (three month std-dev: 0.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110303

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_31_2011	108.98		107.3	107.33			107.54(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	-10000	5	-32	0.8	21%	0	21.6	0.46%	0	0.3	44	0
2	Jan_28_2011	108.98	107.44	107.31	107.21			107.51(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-7	-10000	4	-40	0.65	21%	0	18.9	0.46%	0	0.2	49	0
3	Jan_27_2011	108.98	107.41	107.37	107.11			107.1(-0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-7	-10000	3	-37	0.64	20%	0	5.1	0.46%	0	-0.7	50	0
4	Jan_26_2011	108.98	107.4	107.45	107.05			107.17(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-13	-10000	-5	-35	0.65	20%	-0.01	-5	0.46%	0	-0.5	56	0
5	Jan_25_2011	108.99	107.36	107.53	107.18			107.35(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-7	-10000	-3	-19	0.59	20%	-0.02	-6.3	0.47%	0	-0	51	0

6	Jan_24_2011	109.01	107.35	107.58	107.27			106.93(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-6	-10000	-6	-6	0.8	20%	0	-4.2	0.47%	0	-0.8	51	0
7	Jan_21_2011	109.01	107.36	107.65	107.43			107(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-6	-10000	-10	5	0.54	20%	-0.01	8.3	0.47%	0	-0.7	45	0
8	Jan_20_2011	109.02	107.38	107.69	107.68			106.8(-0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-0	-10000	-9	26	0.79	20%	-0.01	34	0.47%	0	-1.1	53	0
9	Jan_19_2011	109.03	107.42	107.72	107.9			107.82(0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-10000	-1	48	0.57	21%	0	63	0.45%	0	0.8	63	0
10	Jan_18_2011	109.03	107.39	107.68	107.92			107.78(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-10000	-1	64	1.13	21%	0.01	71.1	0.45%	0	0.8	69	0

11	Jan_14_2011	109.02	107.37	107.61	107.94			107.76(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	17	-10000	1	63	0.71	20%	0	88.4	0.46%	0	0.8	54	0
12	Jan_13_2011	109.02	107.31	107.58	107.91			108.23(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	-10000	8	71	0.86	23%	0.01	82.2	0.46%	0	1.9	60	0
13	Jan_12_2011	109.01	107.21	107.44	107.71			107.9(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	8	51	0.53	23%	0	63	0.46%	0	1.4	53	0
14	Jan_11_2011	109.01	107.11	107.34	107.51			107.93(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	11	-10000	4	30	0.57	23%	0.01	31.4	0.46%	0	1.5	53	0
15	Jan_10_2011	109	107.05	107.17	107.4			107.89(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	8	-10000	7	12	0.64	23%	0	8.2	0.46%	0	1.6	54	0

16	Jan_7_2011	109	106.96	107.09	107.23			107.58(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-1	-10000	0	-3	0.98	27%	0.01	-20.8	0.47%	0	1.2	52	0
17	Jan_6_2011	108.99	106.92	107.03	107.22			107.24(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	3	-10000	3	2	0.83	31%	0	-39.1	0.47%	0	0.7	56	0
18	Jan_5_2011	108.99	106.9	107.04	107.13			106.93(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	2	-10000	0	9	0.87	34%	-0.01	-62.2	0.48%	0	0.1	59	0
19	Jan_4_2011	109	106.94	107.04	107.12			107.34(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	9	30	1.05	34%	0	-70	0.48%	0	0.8	65	0
20	Jan_3_2011	109	107.01	107.09	106.89			107.07(-0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	3	-10000	-1	16	1.22	34%	0	-68.8	0.48%	0	0.1	52	0

21	Dec_31_2010	109	107.07	107.11	106.92			107.52(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	11	-10000	4	32	0.53	34%	0	-67.6	0.49%	0	0.6	60	0
22	Dec_30_2010	109	107.11	107.02	106.82			106.78(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	2	-10000	-5	23	0.43	31%	0	-70.1	0.48%	0	-0.4	51	0
23	Dec_29_2010	109	107.2	106.97	106.95			106.88(0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-10000	-5	24	0.53	30%	-0.01	-68.3	0.48%	0	-0.4	50	0
24	Dec_28_2010	109.01	107.32	106.87	107.08			106.19(-0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-5	-10000	-9	9	0.55	30%	-0.01	-58.1	0.47%	0	-1.1	38	0
25	Dec_27_2010	109.02	107.49	106.95	107.3			107.25(0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	1	-10000	-1	5	0.38	32%		-48	0.47%	0	-0.2	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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