Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 6, 2010

Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 5, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares TIPS Bond ETF)
TIP latest price $111.0600 (0.88%) ($110.9000 - $111.7800) on Wed. Oct. 6, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.37% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $111.0600(0.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TIP advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TIP advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TIP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(71%)    LQD(55%)    SHY(41%)    GLD(32%)    PCY(32%)
Factors Impacting TIP price   TIP will decline at least -0.185% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-7%)    EWP(-7%)    EWI(-7%)    FXI(-6%)    XLP(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.185% (StdDev 0.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $109.76(1.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $109.52(1.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $108.83(2.05%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   5.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TIP price fluctuates within 0.89% (three month std-dev: 0.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101106

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_6_2010	106.91	108.83	109.52	109.76			111.06(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	42	-10000	17	115	1.12	71%	0.04	56.2	0.37%	0	2.3	75	0
2	Oct_5_2010	106.87	108.66	109.33	109.41			110.09(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	29	-10000	3	105	0.75	69%	0.04	51.3	0.36%	0	1.7	68	0
3	Oct_4_2010	106.83	108.55	109.23	109.35			109.39(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	-10000	3	119	0.93	67%	0.03	53.5	0.35%	0	1.1	62	0
4	Oct_1_2010	106.8	108.45	109.09	109.28			109.22(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	31	-10000	5	110	0.79	62%	0.03	50	0.35%	0	1	59	0
5	Sep_30_2010	106.77	108.36	108.92	109.18			109.06(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	22	-10000	-2	93	1.08	62%	0.03	44.4	0.37%	0	0.9	64	0

6	Sep_29_2010	106.74	108.3	108.79	109.22			109.3(-0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	25	-10000	-1	103	0.61	62%	0.03	47.9	0.37%	0	1.3	67	0
7	Sep_28_2010	106.71	108.24	108.66	109.23			109.79(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	-10000	6	116	1.02	65%	0.04	56.7	0.36%	0	2.1	69	0
8	Sep_27_2010	106.67	108.14	108.48	109.11			109.03(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	39	-10000	13	117	0.77	63%	0.03	64.4	0.35%	0	1.4	60	0
9	Sep_24_2010	106.64	108.06	108.4	108.86			108.72(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	38	-10000	14	110	0.67	64%	0.03	57.9	0.35%	0	1.1	63	0
10	Sep_23_2010	106.61	108.02	108.29	108.6			109.26(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	35	-10000	17	89	0.64	67%	0.03	54.5	0.35%	0	2.1	66	0

11	Sep_22_2010	106.58	107.93	108.1	108.29			109.34(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	26	-10000	15	57	1.05	67%	0.04	49	0.35%	0	2.7	64	0
12	Sep_21_2010	106.54	107.83	107.92	108			109.19(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.8	14	-10000	11	23	0.63	67%	0.03	43.6	0.35%	0	3.2	56	0
13	Sep_20_2010	106.51	107.73	107.78	107.79			107.81(0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-4	-10000	-5	-0	0.53	62%	0.02	34.5	0.31%	0	0.3	48	0
14	Sep_17_2010	106.49	107.73	107.74	107.88			107.39(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	1	-10000	-2	9	0.56	62%	0.02	38.7	0.31%	0	-0.9	51	0
15	Sep_16_2010	106.47	107.7	107.76	107.91			107.7(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	4	-10000	3	5	0.67	62%	0.02	46.9	0.32%	0	0	46	0

16	Sep_15_2010	106.45	107.68	107.77	107.86			107.92(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	4	-10000	4	3	0.63	62%	0.03	36.4	0.32%	0	0.7	54	0
17	Sep_14_2010	106.42	107.65	107.79	107.8			108.15(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	4	-10000	2	10	0.69	62%	0.03	27.3	0.31%	0	1.4	56	0
18	Sep_13_2010	106.39	107.62	107.77	107.77			108.26(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	14	-10000	11	22	0.83	62%	0.04	35.5	0.31%	0	1.9	61	0
19	Sep_10_2010	106.35	107.56	107.69	107.59			107.53(0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-10000	-1	5	0.53	58%	0.03	25	0.31%	0	-0.1	55	0
20	Sep_9_2010	106.32	107.54	107.74	107.6			107.42(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-10000	-4	17	0.53	58%	0.02	22.6	0.33%	0	-0.4	53	0

21	Sep_8_2010	106.3	107.54	107.76	107.66			107.66(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	2	-10000	-7	27	1.1	58%	0.03	45.2	0.32%	0	0.3	55	0
22	Sep_7_2010	106.27	107.55	107.75	107.78			107.98(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-10000	1	45	0.75	58%	0.06	64.5	0.32%	0	1.3	58	0
23	Sep_3_2010	106.21	107.5	107.67	107.77			107.38(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	9	-10000	-1	37	0.77	58%	0.03	71.9	0.32%	0	-0.4	48	0
24	Sep_2_2010	106.18	107.49	107.65	107.79			107.55(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	5	-10000	-6	37	0.69	58%	0.03	78.8	0.32%	0	0.2	55	0
25	Sep_1_2010	106.15	107.46	107.63	107.9			107.75(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	17	-10000	3	57	1.33	54%		89.2	0.32%	0	0.7	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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