Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 29, 2010

Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 5, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares TIPS Bond ETF)
TIP latest price $106.9900 (0.08%) ($106.7500 - $107.0000) on Tue. Jun. 29, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.34% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $106.9900(0.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TIP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TIP advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TIP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(71%)    LQD(55%)    SHY(41%)    GLD(32%)    PCY(32%)
Factors Impacting TIP price   TIP will decline at least -0.17% in a week (0% probabilities).
EWP(-8%)    SPY(-7%)    EWI(-7%)    FXI(-6%)    XLP(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.17% (StdDev 0.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $106.68(0.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $106.5(0.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $106.09(0.85%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   4.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TIP price fluctuates within 0.5% (three month std-dev: 0.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100729

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_29_2010	104.94	106.09	106.5	106.68			106.99(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	-10000	5	90	0.61	61%	0.02	48	0.34%	0	1.7	62	0
2	Jun_28_2010	104.92	106.01	106.37	106.59			106.9(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	-10000	6	82	0.57	61%	0.02	40.4	0.34%	0	1.8	63	0
3	Jun_25_2010	104.9	105.96	106.25	106.48			106.65(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	-10000	5	67	0.5	61%	0.01	38.1	0.34%	0	1.5	56	0
4	Jun_24_2010	104.89	105.91	106.16	106.4			106.28(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	-10000	-2	54	0.66	56%	0.01	29.3	0.34%	0	0.9	54	0
5	Jun_23_2010	104.88	105.88	106.05	106.43			106.58(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-10000	7	58	0.6	56%	0.01	30	0.35%	0	1.7	66	0

6	Jun_22_2010	104.87	105.84	105.98	106.29			106.56(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	-10000	10	57	0.58	57%	0.02	10.8	0.35%	0	1.8	66	0
7	Jun_21_2010	104.85	105.81	105.89	106.1			106.31(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	-10000	6	45	0.82	57%	0.01	-6.1	0.35%	0	1.4	62	0
8	Jun_18_2010	104.84	105.79	105.86	105.98			106.25(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	-10000	5	35	0.55	55%	0.01	-21.9	0.35%	0	1.4	50	0
9	Jun_17_2010	104.83	105.78	105.83	105.88			106.43(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	20	-10000	14	36	0.75	55%	0.01	-34.4	0.35%	0	1.9	58	0
10	Jun_16_2010	104.82	105.76	105.71	105.62			105.92(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	1	-10000	1	-1	0.72	55%	0.01	-62.1	0.35%	0	0.5	49	0

11	Jun_15_2010	104.81	105.8	105.65	105.61			105.59(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4	-10000	-2	-9	0.64	55%	0.01	-41.7	0.35%	0	-0.6	49	0
12	Jun_14_2010	104.8	105.83	105.63	105.65			105.73(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	-10000	-4	-17	0.72	55%	0	-35.1	0.35%	0	-0.3	46	0
13	Jun_11_2010	104.8	105.87	105.66	105.72			105.73(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-5	-10000	-3	-11	0.59	56%	0.01	-25	0.35%	0	-0.3	45	0
14	Jun_10_2010	104.79	105.89	105.64	105.77			105.12(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-5	-10000	-2	-15	1.09	54%	0	-22	0.35%	0	-1.8	40	0
15	Jun_9_2010	104.79	105.95	105.72	105.8			105.9(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	-10000	7	-12	0.63	57%	0.01	-18.9	0.33%	0	-0.1	47	0

16	Jun_8_2010	104.78	105.96	105.7	105.67			105.79(-0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	-10000	5	-43	0.82	57%	0.01	-27	0.33%	0	-0.4	37	0
17	Jun_7_2010	104.77	105.96	105.7	105.59			106.06(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.2	-15	-10000	-1	-57	0.63	57%	0.01	-29.7	0.33%	0	0.2	47	0
18	Jun_4_2010	104.76	105.97	105.7	105.6			105.97(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-12	-10000	5	-62	2.22	57%	0.01	-29.7	0.33%	0	0	43	0
19	Jun_3_2010	104.75	105.99	105.72	105.5			105.3(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-26	-10000	-7	-83	0.62	55%	0.01	-26.3	0.32%	0	-1.7	40	0
20	Jun_2_2010	104.74	106.02	105.81	105.62			105.25(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-23	-10000	-6	-74	0.54	55%	0.01	-11.4	0.32%	0	-2.1	41	0

21	Jun_1_2010	104.73	106.06	105.96	105.71			105.36(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-20	-10000	-8	-56	1.17	55%	0.01	0	0.32%	0	-2.2	43	0
22	May_28_2010	104.72	106.06	106.05	105.85			106.1(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-10	-10000	-1	-35	0.55	58%	0.01	29.6	0.31%	0	0.1	53	0
23	May_27_2010	104.71	106.08	106.09	105.86			105.51(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-13	-10000	-7	-30	0.76	56%	0.02	50	0.31%	0	-1.9	43	0
24	May_26_2010	104.69	106.1	106.18	105.98			105.9(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	-10000	-3	-19	1.01	58%	0.01	71	0.3%	0	-0.6	43	0
25	May_25_2010	104.68	106.07	106.21	106.02			105.7(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-15	-10000	-14	-16	0.93	58%		70.6	0.3%	0	-1	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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