Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 8, 2010

Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 5, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares TIPS Bond ETF)
TIP latest price $105.7900 (-0.25%) ($105.7100 - $106.0000) on Tue. Jun. 8, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.33% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $105.7900(-0.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TIP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TIP declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TIP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(71%)    LQD(55%)    SHY(41%)    GLD(32%)    PCY(32%)
Factors Impacting TIP price   TIP will decline at least -0.165% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-8%)    EWP(-8%)    EWI(-8%)    XLP(-6%)    FXI(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.165% (StdDev 0.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

Resistance Level   $105.96
5 Day Moving Average   $105.67(0.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $105.7(0.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $105.96(-0.16%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TIP price fluctuates within 0.37% (three month std-dev: 0.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100708

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_8_2010	104.78	105.96	105.7	105.67			105.79(-0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	-10000	5	-43	0.82	57%	0.01	-27	0.33%	0	-0.4	37	0
2	Jun_7_2010	104.77	105.96	105.7	105.59			106.06(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.2	-15	-10000	-1	-57	0.63	57%	0.01	-29.7	0.33%	0	0.2	47	0
3	Jun_4_2010	104.76	105.97	105.7	105.6			105.97(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-12	-10000	5	-62	2.22	57%	0.01	-29.7	0.33%	0	0	43	0
4	Jun_3_2010	104.75	105.99	105.72	105.5			105.3(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-26	-10000	-7	-83	0.62	55%	0.01	-26.3	0.32%	0	-1.7	40	0
5	Jun_2_2010	104.74	106.02	105.81	105.62			105.25(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-23	-10000	-6	-74	0.54	55%	0.01	-11.4	0.32%	0	-2.1	41	0

6	Jun_1_2010	104.73	106.06	105.96	105.71			105.36(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-20	-10000	-8	-56	1.17	55%	0.01	0	0.32%	0	-2.2	43	0
7	May_28_2010	104.72	106.06	106.05	105.85			106.1(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-10	-10000	-1	-35	0.55	58%	0.01	29.6	0.31%	0	0.1	53	0
8	May_27_2010	104.71	106.08	106.09	105.86			105.51(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-13	-10000	-7	-30	0.76	56%	0.02	50	0.31%	0	-1.9	43	0
9	May_26_2010	104.69	106.1	106.18	105.98			105.9(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	-10000	-3	-19	1.01	58%	0.01	71	0.3%	0	-0.6	43	0
10	May_25_2010	104.68	106.07	106.21	106.02			105.7(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-15	-10000	-14	-16	0.93	58%	0.02	70.6	0.3%	0	-1	49	0

11	May_24_2010	104.66	106.06	106.25	106.24			106.05(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-10000	-2	15	0.73	60%	0.01	78.6	0.3%	0	-0	54	0
12	May_21_2010	104.65	106	106.24	106.27			106.16(0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-10000	-5	20	1.56	61%	0.02	73.5	0.3%	0	0.3	57	0
13	May_20_2010	104.63	105.93	106.25	106.36			106.09(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	6	-10000	-3	33	2.04	61%	0.03	70.9	0.3%	0	0.3	51	0
14	May_19_2010	104.6	105.87	106.28	106.4			106.1(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	-10000	-1	48	1.76	61%	0.02	72.4	0.31%	0	0.4	55	0
15	May_18_2010	104.58	105.81	106.26	106.42			106.78(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	-10000	9	74	0.82	65%	0.03	75.4	0.29%	0	1.5	70	0

16	May_17_2010	104.55	105.71	106.17	106.28			106.23(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-10000	5	66	1.03	63%	0.02	72.6	0.29%	0	0.8	62	0
17	May_14_2010	104.53	105.62	106.12	106.21			106.6(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	-10000	6	80	1.04	67%	0.03	70.3	0.28%	0	1.4	73	0
18	May_13_2010	104.5	105.52	106.06	106.12			106.29(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	22	-10000	-1	91	0.99	66%	0.02	71.9	0.29%	0	1.1	72	0
19	May_12_2010	104.48	105.43	106.01	106.14			106.2(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	-10000	3	115	0.99	66%	0.02	75.8	0.29%	0	1.1	72	0
20	May_11_2010	104.46	105.32	105.91	106.09			106.07(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	31	-10000	3	115	0.77	66%	0.02	74.6	0.29%	0	1.1	64	0

21	May_10_2010	104.44	105.23	105.84	106.05			105.87(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	34	-10000	3	127	0.89	64%	0.01	80.9	0.29%	0	0.9	66	0
22	May_7_2010	104.43	105.15	105.74	106.01			106.17(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10000	1	133	1.72	61%	0.01	85.9	0.29%	0	1.4	73	0
23	May_6_2010	104.42	105.03	105.6	105.99			106.4(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	-10000	8	136	1.64	61%	0.01	88.7	0.29%	0	1.8	71	0
24	May_5_2010	104.41	104.9	105.42	105.86			105.92(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	40	-10000	10	130	1.44	59%	0.02	86.8	0.29%	0	1.4	70	0
25	May_4_2010	104.39	104.8	105.33	105.71			105.87(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	-10000	6	129	2.79	59%		80.6	0.29%	0	1.4	72	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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