Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 12, 2009

Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 5, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares TIPS Bond ETF)
TIP latest price $104.5700 (-0.47%) ($103.8700 - $104.6900) on Thu. Nov. 12, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.32% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $104.5700(-0.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TIP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TIP advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TIP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(71%)    LQD(55%)    SHY(42%)    GLD(31%)    PCY(31%)
Factors Impacting TIP price   TIP will decline at least -0.16% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-8%)    EWP(-8%)    EWI(-8%)    FXI(-7%)    XLP(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.16% (StdDev 0.32%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $104.7(-0.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $104.32(0.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $103.98(0.57%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   4.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TIP price fluctuates within 0.55% (three month std-dev: 0.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091212

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_12_2009	101.98	103.98	104.32	104.7			104.57(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	36	-10000	6	126	1.26	56%	0.04	69.1	0.32%	0	1	66	0
2	Nov_11_2009	101.94	103.91	104.23	104.6			105.06(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	42	-10000	14	126	0.74	59%	0.05	63.6	0.32%	0	2	69	0
3	Nov_10_2009	101.89	103.81	104.08	104.36			104.68(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	-10000	13	99	1.11	58%	0.04	57.1	0.32%	0	1.7	57	0
4	Nov_9_2009	101.85	103.76	103.96	104.15			104.86(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	26	-10000	12	67	1.03	58%	0.05	53.2	0.32%	0	2.2	53	0
5	Nov_6_2009	101.8	103.66	103.75	103.95			104.32(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	8	-10000	4	21	0.91	55%	0.05	48.8	0.31%	0	1.5	49	0

6	Nov_5_2009	101.75	103.59	103.64	103.89			104.06(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	-10000	5	8	1.06	55%	0.04	45.2	0.31%	0	1.1	55	0
7	Nov_4_2009	101.71	103.55	103.64	103.81			103.86(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-10000	3	1	1.25	55%	0.03	41.5	0.31%	0	0.7	57	0
8	Nov_3_2009	101.68	103.53	103.57	103.76			103.66(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	4	-10000	2	8	1.12	49%	0.04	45.2	0.32%	0	0.3	57	0
9	Nov_2_2009	101.64	103.49	103.62	103.73			103.87(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-10000	13	19	1.21	49%	0.04	46.5	0.34%	0	0.9	53	0
10	Oct_30_2009	101.6	103.45	103.65	103.5			104.01(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	11	-10000	9	16	1.79	55%	0.03	37.2	0.34%	0	1.3	60	0

11	Oct_29_2009	101.57	103.39	103.61	103.34			103.63(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	4	-10000	2	9	1.15	53%	0.04	34.1	0.35%	0	0.6	60	0
12	Oct_28_2009	101.53	103.37	103.57	103.3			103.62(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	-2	-10000	-3	2	1.27	53%	0.03	40.5	0.35%	0	0.6	53	0
13	Oct_27_2009	101.5	103.33	103.53	103.36			103.54(0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-6	-10000	-8	2	1.04	53%	0.04	48.9	0.35%	0	0.5	51	0
14	Oct_26_2009	101.46	103.33	103.54	103.51			102.72(-0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-7	-10000	-18	25	1.35	49%	0.03	60.9	0.34%	0	-1.2	50	0
15	Oct_23_2009	101.43	103.28	103.58	103.82			103.19(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	12	-10000	-5	62	1.09	51%	0.03	81.6	0.33%	0	-0.2	54	0

16	Oct_22_2009	101.4	103.25	103.56	103.9			103.41(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	19	-10000	2	70	1.17	51%	0.02	83	0.34%	0	0.3	57	0
17	Oct_21_2009	101.38	103.19	103.55	103.86			103.92(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	-10000	8	76	1.1	55%	0.03	76.8	0.33%	0	1.3	59	0
18	Oct_20_2009	101.35	103.11	103.5	103.71			104.33(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	24	-10000	8	70	1.18	61%	0.03	70.2	0.33%	0	2.1	67	0
19	Oct_19_2009	101.32	102.99	103.36	103.57			104.24(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	27	-10000	14	67	1.45	61%	0.03	65.5	0.33%	0	2.2	70	0
20	Oct_16_2009	101.29	102.87	103.22	103.33			103.58(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	-10000	10	51	1.08	60%	0.03	56.9	0.33%	0	1.4	65	0

21	Oct_15_2009	101.26	102.79	103.15	103.17			103.25(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	10	-10000	-1	41	1.48	60%	0.03	49	0.33%	0	0.9	64	0
22	Oct_14_2009	101.23	102.75	103.14	103.19			103.17(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	12	-10000	-3	57	1.23	60%	0.03	54.2	0.33%	0	0.9	65	0
23	Oct_13_2009	101.2	102.7	103.11	103.24			103.62(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	-10000	8	78	0.91	64%	0.02	61.2	0.33%	0	1.8	71	0
24	Oct_12_2009	101.18	102.62	103	103.11			103.04(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	-10000	1	71	0.77	61%	0.02	66.7	0.33%	0	0.9	68	0
25	Oct_9_2009	101.16	102.57	102.96	103.1			102.79(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	20	-10000	-1	81	1.08	55%		73.3	0.33%	0	0.5	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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