Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 19, 2009

Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 5, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares TIPS Bond ETF)
TIP latest price $104.2400 (0.64%) ($103.4800 - $104.2400) on Mon. Oct. 19, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.33% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $104.2400(0.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TIP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TIP advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TIP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(71%)    LQD(55%)    SHY(42%)    GLD(31%)    PCY(31%)
Factors Impacting TIP price   TIP will decline at least -0.165% in a week (0% probabilities).
EWP(-9%)    SPY(-8%)    EWI(-8%)    FXI(-7%)    XLP(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.165% (StdDev 0.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $103.57(0.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $103.36(0.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $102.99(1.21%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   4.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TIP price fluctuates within 0.55% (three month std-dev: 0.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_19_2009	101.32	102.99	103.36	103.57			104.24(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	27	-10000	14	67	1.45	61%	0.03	65.5	0.33%	0	2.2	70	0
2	Oct_16_2009	101.29	102.87	103.22	103.33			103.58(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	-10000	10	51	1.08	60%	0.03	56.9	0.33%	0	1.4	65	0
3	Oct_15_2009	101.26	102.79	103.15	103.17			103.25(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	10	-10000	-1	41	1.48	60%	0.03	49	0.33%	0	0.9	64	0
4	Oct_14_2009	101.23	102.75	103.14	103.19			103.17(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	12	-10000	-3	57	1.23	60%	0.03	54.2	0.33%	0	0.9	65	0
5	Oct_13_2009	101.2	102.7	103.11	103.24			103.62(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	-10000	8	78	0.91	64%	0.02	61.2	0.33%	0	1.8	71	0

6	Oct_12_2009	101.18	102.62	103	103.11			103.04(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	-10000	1	71	0.77	61%	0.02	66.7	0.33%	0	0.9	68	0
7	Oct_9_2009	101.16	102.57	102.96	103.1			102.79(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	20	-10000	-1	81	1.08	55%	0.02	73.3	0.33%	0	0.5	69	0
8	Oct_8_2009	101.14	102.54	102.92	103.12			103.32(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10000	2	91	1.3	58%	0.01	82.6	0.34%	0	1.7	78	0
9	Oct_7_2009	101.13	102.48	102.81	103.08			103.42(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	-10000	6	87	1.5	58%	0.03	95.5	0.34%	0	2.1	65	0
10	Oct_6_2009	101.1	102.39	102.69	102.97			102.97(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	24	-10000	5	80	1.05	56%	0.01	100	0.34%	0	1.3	62	0

11	Oct_5_2009	101.09	102.32	102.61	102.88			102.98(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	5	71	0.88	56%	0.02	95.1	0.34%	0	1.6	66	0
12	Oct_2_2009	101.07	102.23	102.49	102.8			102.92(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	7	63	1.33	56%	0.02	79.5	0.34%	0	1.5	66	0
13	Oct_1_2009	101.05	102.15	102.4	102.68			103.12(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	21	-10000	11	49	1.46	51%	0.03	66.7	0.34%	0	2.1	64	0
14	Sep_30_2009	101.02	102.05	102.31	102.49			102.88(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	13	-10000	6	35	1.65	55%	0.03	45.5	0.35%	0	1.8	65	0
15	Sep_29_2009	100.99	101.96	102.25	102.38			102.51(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	5	32	1.3	53%	0.02	28.9	0.36%	0	1.2	64	0

16	Sep_28_2009	100.97	101.92	102.2	102.29			102.55(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	8	35	1	53%	0.03	20.9	0.36%	0	1.4	70	0
17	Sep_25_2009	100.94	101.88	102.15	102.14			102.34(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	-10000	4	32	1.05	57%	0.03	12.2	0.36%	0	1.1	70	0
18	Sep_24_2009	100.91	101.88	102.14	102.06			102.19(-0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	7	-10000	-3	37	0.98	53%	0.03	2.6	0.36%	0	0.9	68	0
19	Sep_23_2009	100.88	101.85	102.12	102.06			102.29(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	-10000	0	54	1.62	53%	0.03	12.8	0.37%	0	1.1	72	0
20	Sep_22_2009	100.85	101.82	102.07	102.06			102.07(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	-10000	0	66	1.73	53%	0.03	21.1	0.37%	0	0.6	72	0

21	Sep_21_2009	100.82	101.82	102.01	102.11			101.83(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	15	-10000	-2	64	1.87	53%	0.03	36.8	0.37%	0	0	51	0
22	Sep_18_2009	100.79	101.83	101.97	102.15			101.94(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	12	-10000	-3	57	1.84	56%	0.02	55.3	0.38%	0	0.3	51	0
23	Sep_17_2009	100.77	101.84	101.91	102.21			102.41(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	4	60	1.51	59%	0.01	76.9	0.38%	0	1.4	59	0
24	Sep_16_2009	100.76	101.8	101.78	102.13			102.28(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	5	39	1.65	59%	0.01	91.9	0.39%	0	1.3	49	0
25	Sep_15_2009	100.75	101.74	101.65	102.03			102.08(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	-10000	6	19	1.45	59%		86.8	0.39%	0	0.9	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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