Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 12, 2008

Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 5, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares TIPS Bond ETF)
TIP latest price $95.1500 (0.16%) ($94.9900 - $95.7400) on Wed. Nov. 12, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.85% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $95.1500(0.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   TIP advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TIP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(69%)    LQD(54%)    SHY(42%)    GLD(27%)    PCY(23%)
Factors Impacting TIP price   TIP will decline at least -0.425% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-9%)    FXI(-9%)    EWP(-8%)    EWI(-8%)    XLP(-7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.425% (StdDev 0.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $94.85(0.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $94.3(0.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $94.75(0.42%)
To recent high   -11.1%
To recent low   3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TIP price fluctuates within 1.55% (three month std-dev: 0.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081212

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_12_2008	102.88	94.75	94.3	94.85			95.15(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	-10000	-0	32	0.52	28%	-0.11	-15.5	0.85%	0	0.3	40	0
2	Nov_11_2008	102.99	94.81	94.12	94.87			95(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-10000	2	6	0.39	27%	-0.11	-19.6	0.85%	0	0.1	36	0
3	Nov_10_2008	103.1	94.86	93.9	94.79			94.78(0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	0	-10000	8	-23	0.52	27%	-0.1	-35.2	0.86%	0	-0.1	39	0
4	Nov_7_2008	103.2	94.82	93.75	94.46			94.45(-0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-7	-10000	10	-59	0.58	30%	-0.11	-64.2	0.86%	0	-0.2	38	0
5	Nov_6_2008	103.31	94.87	93.73	94.05			94.86(-0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-14	-10000	10	-84	0.54	30%	-0.12	-86.3	0.87%	0	-0	47	0

6	Nov_5_2008	103.43	94.98	93.86	93.65			95.26(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-17	-10000	9	-96	0.88	29%	-0.1	-98.3	0.87%	0	0.2	47	0
7	Nov_4_2008	103.53	95.1	94.05	93.28			94.59(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-20	-10000	9	-107	0.9	29%	-0.1	-93.7	0.86%	0	-0.2	41	0
8	Nov_3_2008	103.63	95.39	94.25	92.92			93.15(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-33	-10000	-1	-128	1.22	25%	-0.12	-85	0.83%	0	-0.9	37	0
9	Oct_31_2008	103.75	95.8	94.6	92.96			92.37(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-36	-10000	-10	-113	1.41	23%	-0.13	-79.9	0.83%	0	-1.3	46	0
10	Oct_30_2008	103.88	96.26	94.93	93.35			92.88(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-41	-10000	-20	-102	1.13	23%	-0.12	-75.7	0.83%	0	-1.2	42	0

11	Oct_29_2008	104.01	96.69	95.25	94.11			93.4(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	-10000	-22	-83	0.99	22%	-0.12	-69.2	0.83%	0	-1.1	37	0
12	Oct_28_2008	104.13	97.11	95.57	94.96			92.79(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-30	-10000	-21	-58	0.75	25%	-0.13	-63.5	0.83%	0	-1.5	33	0
13	Oct_27_2008	104.27	97.54	95.94	95.79			93.35(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-26	-10000	-17	-54	0.85	25%	-0.12	-58.8	0.83%	0	-1.4	28	0
14	Oct_24_2008	104.4	98.02	96.05	96.47			94.35(-2.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-23	-10000	-6	-74	0.81	27%	-0.11	-55.7	0.83%	0	-1.3	28	0
15	Oct_23_2008	104.51	98.44	96.18	96.7			96.66(-1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-25	-10000	4	-111	0.62	29%	-0.09	-56.2	0.79%	0	-0.6	31	0

16	Oct_22_2008	104.6	98.74	96.23	96.54			97.65(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-33	-10000	6	-151	1.46	30%	-0.09	-57.7	0.78%	0	-0.4	34	0
17	Oct_21_2008	104.69	98.98	96.22	96.3			96.93(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-45	-10000	4	-192	0.7	30%	-0.1	-61.3	0.78%	0	-0.7	30	0
18	Oct_20_2008	104.79	99.3	96.57	96.15			96.78(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-39	-10000	15	-201	0.7	30%	-0.1	-62.2	0.78%	0	-0.8	33	0
19	Oct_17_2008	104.89	99.68	97.02	95.59			95.47(-0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-62	-10000	1	-252	0.59	25%	-0.1	-67.9	0.75%	0	-1.3	23	0
20	Oct_16_2008	105	100.11	97.63	95.57			95.86(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-72	-10000	-8	-262	0.59	24%	-0.1	-71.5	0.76%	0	-1.3	26	0

21	Oct_15_2008	105.11	100.51	98.19	95.87			96.48(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-72	-10000	-8	-262	0.61	24%	-0.1	-73.6	0.76%	0	-1.3	26	0
22	Oct_14_2008	105.22	100.94	98.71	96.16			96.15(2.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-88	-10000	-26	-272	0.8	27%	-0.09	-74.5	0.75%	0	-1.5	25	0
23	Oct_13_2008	105.31	101.37	99.24	97.11			94(-1.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-102	-10000	-45	-274	1.03	19%	-0.14	-70.7	0.7%	0	-2.4	11	0
24	Oct_10_2008	105.46	101.98	100.17	98.67			95.38(-2.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-84	-10000	-38	-221	1.83	20%	-0.12	-68	0.68%	0	-2.6	11	0
25	Oct_9_2008	105.59	102.48	100.94	99.96			97.34(-0.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-64	-10000	-26	-176	0.97	24%		-65.3	0.65%	0	-2.4	17	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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