Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 20, 2008

Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 5, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares TIPS Bond ETF)
TIP latest price $105.6000 (0.32%) ($105.4700 - $106.0000) on Fri. Jun. 20, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.54% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $105.6000(0.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TIP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TIP declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TIP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(67%)    LQD(44%)    SHY(43%)    GLD(27%)    PCY(21%)
Factors Impacting TIP price   TIP will decline at least -0.27% in a week (0% probabilities).
FXI(-11%)    SPY(-10%)    QQQ(-9%)    IWM(-9%)    EWP(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.27% (StdDev 0.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

Resistance Level   $106
5 Day Moving Average   $105.44(0.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $105.43(0.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $106(-0.38%)
To recent high   -4.4%
To recent low   0.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TIP price fluctuates within 0.87% (three month std-dev: 0.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080720

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_20_2008	107.95	106	105.43	105.44			105.6(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	-10000	6	-31	0.33	41%	-0.04	-73.6	0.54%	0	-0.4	44	0
2	Jun_19_2008	107.99	106.12	105.52	105.27			105.26(-0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-8	-10000	3	-42	0.27	41%	-0.04	-71.6	0.54%	0	-0.9	38	0
3	Jun_18_2008	108.03	106.29	105.54	105.18			105.92(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-14	-10000	1	-58	0.39	42%	-0.03	-58.9	0.54%	0	-0.3	46	0
4	Jun_17_2008	108.06	106.42	105.52	105.16			105.35(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-20	-10000	-2	-73	0.37	37%	-0.04	-47.9	0.53%	0	-0.9	38	0
5	Jun_16_2008	108.1	106.55	105.61	105.2			105.05(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	-10000	-8	-87	0.88	37%	-0.04	-45.8	0.54%	0	-1.2	30	0

6	Jun_13_2008	108.14	106.69	105.74	105.43			104.79(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-34	-10000	-13	-97	0.38	36%	-0.04	-42.6	0.54%	0	-1.5	25	0
7	Jun_12_2008	108.18	106.84	105.94	105.81			104.8(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-24	-10000	-4	-83	0.46	39%	-0.04	-35.8	0.55%	0	-1.8	29	0
8	Jun_11_2008	108.22	106.96	106.11	105.94			105.79(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-10000	0	-99	0.34	39%	-0.04	-35.7	0.55%	0	-1.1	29	0
9	Jun_10_2008	108.26	107.02	106.2	105.93			105.59(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-34	-10000	-5	-120	0.48	42%	-0.03	-36.2	0.56%	0	-1.4	29	0
10	Jun_9_2008	108.29	107.13	106.41	106.08			106.16(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-29	-10000	-1	-113	0.32	42%	-0.02	-28.9	0.57%	0	-1	38	0

11	Jun_6_2008	108.31	107.22	106.63	106.11			106.72(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-27	-10000	-0	-106	0.59	42%	-0.02	-21.6	0.57%	0	-0.5	43	0
12	Jun_5_2008	108.33	107.26	106.75	106.12			105.43(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-32	-10000	-6	-111	0.55	38%	-0.02	-17	0.55%	0	-1.9	33	0
13	Jun_4_2008	108.35	107.34	107.08	106.3			105.76(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-10000	-7	-87	0.36	38%	-0.02	-15.4	0.55%	0	-1.9	44	0
14	Jun_3_2008	108.37	107.39	107.38	106.51			106.31(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-22	-10000	-9	-60	0.4	38%	-0.02	-9.5	0.55%	0	-1.4	48	0
15	Jun_2_2008	108.39	107.41	107.56	106.79			106.31(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-22	-10000	-15	-44	0.46	38%	-0.01	0	0.55%	0	-1.4	42	0

16	May_30_2008	108.4	107.43	107.72	107.23			106.78(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-12	-10000	-9	-19	0.96	38%	0	15.3	0.55%	0	-0.8	43	0
17	May_29_2008	108.4	107.42	107.82	107.49			106.36(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-13	-10000	-16	-5	0.45	41%	0	24.7	0.56%	0	-1.4	43	0
18	May_28_2008	108.4	107.42	107.91	107.98			106.77(-0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-4	-10000	-13	25	0.49	46%	0	41.4	0.57%	0	-0.9	53	0
19	May_27_2008	108.4	107.47	107.91	108.37			107.74(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	12	-10000	-2	52	0.53	48%	0.02	48.6	0.59%	0	0.4	62	0
20	May_23_2008	108.38	107.42	107.94	108.43			108.49(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-10000	5	70	0.41	52%	0.01	43.8	0.58%	0	1.4	68	0

21	May_22_2008	108.37	107.31	107.87	108.28			108.07(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	20	-10000	2	75	0.41	52%	0.02	34.3	0.58%	0	1	68	0
22	May_21_2008	108.35	107.23	107.81	108.21			108.83(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	-10000	12	85	0.45	56%	0	25	0.58%	0	2.2	72	0
23	May_20_2008	108.35	107.16	107.6	107.83			108.71(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	25	-10000	12	64	0.58	56%	0.03	8.2	0.58%	0	2.4	63	0
24	May_19_2008	108.32	107.1	107.38	107.46			108.06(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	12	-10000	2	40	0.29	52%	0.03	-15.1	0.58%	0	1.7	63	0
25	May_16_2008	108.29	107.07	107.23	107.38			107.72(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	8	-10000	-1	36	0.75	52%		-34	0.58%	0	1.2	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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