Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 15, 2008

Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 5, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares TIPS Bond ETF)
TIP latest price $108.2600 (0.51%) ($107.8000 - $108.2600) on Tue. Jan. 15, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.5% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $108.2600(0.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TIP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TIP advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TIP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(68%)    LQD(45%)    SHY(45%)    GLD(27%)    PCY(20%)
Factors Impacting TIP price   TIP will decline at least -0.25% in a week (0% probabilities).
FXI(-13%)    SPY(-11%)    XLK(-10%)    QQQ(-10%)    IWM(-10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.25% (StdDev 0.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $107.33(0.87%)
10 Day Moving Average   $107.15(1.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $106.19(1.95%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   7.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TIP price fluctuates within 1.05% (three month std-dev: 0.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_15_2008	103.89	106.19	107.15	107.33			108.26(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	41	-10000	9	137	0.29	68%	0.08	61	0.5%	0	1.9	80	0
2	Jan_14_2008	103.81	106	106.9	107.08			107.71(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	-10000	6	130	0.4	67%	0.07	59.4	0.5%	0	1.7	73	0
3	Jan_11_2008	103.74	105.83	106.65	106.93			107.26(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-10000	2	116	0.38	67%	0.07	54.3	0.5%	0	1.4	62	0
4	Jan_10_2008	103.67	105.71	106.38	106.87			106.47(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	22	-10000	-4	98	0.27	66%	0.06	51.6	0.5%	0	0.8	55	0
5	Jan_9_2008	103.61	105.66	106.19	106.98			106.95(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	27	-10000	2	102	0.29	66%	0.06	51.1	0.49%	0	1.3	66	0

6	Jan_8_2008	103.55	105.52	105.97	106.92			107.03(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	-10000	9	100	0.36	66%	0.07	41.6	0.49%	0	1.6	67	0
7	Jan_7_2008	103.48	105.39	105.77	106.67			106.95(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	-10000	14	96	0.43	66%	0.06	25.6	0.49%	0	1.7	72	0
8	Jan_4_2008	103.42	105.29	105.64	106.3			106.97(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	36	-10000	18	88	0.34	64%	0.07	4.9	0.5%	0	2	71	0
9	Jan_3_2008	103.35	105.19	105.51	105.81			107(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	32	-10000	20	67	0.27	64%	0.08	-16.9	0.5%	0	2.4	63	0
10	Jan_2_2008	103.27	105.15	105.31	105.27			106.64(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	18	-10000	14	30	0.38	64%	0.1	-49.2	0.5%	0	2.4	57	0

11	Dec_31_2007	103.17	105.13	105.14	104.9			105.8(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	7	-10000	5	11	0.3	62%	0.07	-68.8	0.49%	0	1	61	0
12	Dec_28_2007	103.1	105.16	104.99	104.76			105.11(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-4	-10000	-4	-3	0.31	61%	0.05	-68.6	0.49%	0	-0.1	56	0
13	Dec_27_2007	103.05	105.24	104.93	104.88			104.48(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-9	-10000	-11	-4	0.37	61%	0.06	-57.7	0.48%	0	-0.9	47	0
14	Dec_26_2007	102.99	105.32	104.99	105.16			104.32(-0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-2	-10000	-7	13	0.19	61%	0.08	-48.7	0.49%	0	-1.2	43	0
15	Dec_24_2007	102.91	105.45	105.11	105.34			104.78(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-10000	-3	16	0.1	61%	0.04	-31.2	0.48%	0	-0.7	37	0

16	Dec_21_2007	102.87	105.6	105.07	105.4			105.1(-0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	4	-10000	6	-1	0.27	62%	0.05	-17.2	0.48%	0	-0.5	38	0
17	Dec_20_2007	102.82	105.67	105.01	105.24			105.74(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-0	-10000	11	-34	0.21	60%	0.06	-13.7	0.47%	0	0.1	40	0
18	Dec_19_2007	102.76	105.67	104.93	104.98			105.86(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-13	-10000	6	-70	0.36	60%	0.05	-11.5	0.5%	0	0.1	40	0
19	Dec_18_2007	102.71	105.72	104.86	104.81			105.2(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-25	-10000	-2	-95	0.32	58%	0.05	-11.5	0.49%	0	-0.5	42	0
20	Dec_17_2007	102.66	105.76	104.96	104.86			105.09(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-20	-10000	6	-97	0.21	59%	0.05	-8.3	0.49%	0	-0.7	36	0

21	Dec_14_2007	102.61	105.77	105.1	104.71			104.33(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	-10000	-1	-124	0.33	58%	0.04	-13.5	0.49%	0	-1.4	25	0
22	Dec_13_2007	102.57	105.81	105.33	104.73			104.4(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	-10000	-4	-126	0.21	56%	0.05	-11.8	0.49%	0	-1.4	37	0
23	Dec_12_2007	102.52	105.84	105.56	104.85			105.04(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-32	-10000	-2	-123	0.25	58%	0.05	-5.5	0.48%	0	-0.8	39	0
24	Dec_11_2007	102.47	105.83	105.67	104.9			105.45(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-37	-10000	-8	-122	0.29	58%	0.07	-1.1	0.48%	0	-0.4	49	0
25	Dec_10_2007	102.4	105.85	105.81	105.1			104.31(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-42	-10000	-19	-109	0.15	56%		11.8	0.46%	0	-1.6	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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