Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 19, 2007

Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 5, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares TIPS Bond ETF)
TIP latest price $102.9700 (0.85%) ($102.3600 - $102.9800) on Fri. Oct. 19, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.38% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $102.9700(0.85%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TIP advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TIP advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TIP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(68%)    LQD(45%)    SHY(45%)    GLD(26%)    PCY(8%)
Factors Impacting TIP price   TIP will decline at least -0.19% in a week (0% probabilities).
FXI(-14%)    SPY(-12%)    XLK(-11%)    QQQ(-11%)    IWM(-11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.19% (StdDev 0.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $101.79(1.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $101.5(1.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $101.57(1.38%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TIP price fluctuates within 0.47% (three month std-dev: 0.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_19_2007	100.1	101.57	101.5	101.79			102.97(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	21	-10000	21	19	0.19	59%	0.03	-10.6	0.38%	0	2.9	61	0
2	Oct_18_2007	100.07	101.5	101.31	101.38			102.1(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	1	-10000	12	-31	0.19	58%	0.03	-51.4	0.37%	0	1.6	48	0
3	Oct_17_2007	100.04	101.45	101.28	101.16			101.8(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-9	-10000	6	-54	0.11	58%	0.02	-71.8	0.37%	0	0.9	45	0
4	Oct_16_2007	100.02	101.47	101.26	101.04			101.19(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-16	-10000	1	-65	0.16	55%	0.01	-73.3	0.36%	0	-0.6	49	0
5	Oct_15_2007	100.01	101.54	101.33	101.03			100.9(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-20	-10000	-7	-59	0.16	55%	0.01	-69.4	0.36%	0	-1.3	47	0

6	Oct_12_2007	100	101.62	101.43	101.15			100.9(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-10000	-4	-43	0.14	54%	0.02	-64.6	0.36%	0	-1.5	43	0
7	Oct_11_2007	99.98	101.69	101.54	101.23			101.03(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-15	-10000	-9	-31	0.14	52%	0.01	-63	0.37%	0	-1.4	42	0
8	Oct_10_2007	99.97	101.74	101.63	101.4			101.2(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6	-10000	-6	-4	0.22	55%	0.02	-45.7	0.37%	0	-1.1	52	0
9	Oct_9_2007	99.95	101.81	101.66	101.51			101.13(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-9	-10000	-8	-10	0.14	55%	0.01	-25.5	0.38%	0	-1.4	36	0
10	Oct_8_2007	99.94	101.88	101.66	101.67			101.48(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-7	-10000	-4	-14	0.13	55%	0.02	0	0.38%	0	-0.8	36	0

11	Oct_5_2007	99.92	101.94	101.68	101.75			101.3(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-12	-10000	-7	-25	0.23	53%	0.01	17.4	0.38%	0	-1.4	35	0
12	Oct_4_2007	99.91	101.99	101.72	101.89			101.9(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-5	-10000	-1	-18	0.12	56%	0.02	35.4	0.38%	0	-0.2	46	0
13	Oct_3_2007	99.89	101.95	101.65	101.9			101.75(-0.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-4	-10000	4	-28	0.14	54%	0.02	38	0.38%	0	-0.4	47	0
14	Oct_2_2007	99.87	101.93	101.7	101.82			101.94(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	-10000	7	-37	0.2	54%	0.02	30.9	0.38%	0	0	42	0
15	Oct_1_2007	99.85	101.88	101.76	101.68			101.84(-0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-10	-10000	4	-51	0.24	54%	0.01	22.8	0.38%	0	-0.1	40	0

16	Sep_28_2007	99.84	101.85	101.82	101.6			102.03(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-12	-10000	4	-58	0.2	56%	0.01	22	0.39%	0	0.3	42	0
17	Sep_27_2007	99.83	101.81	101.83	101.52			101.95(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-11	-10000	8	-66	0.13	56%	0.02	21.7	0.39%	0	0.2	47	0
18	Sep_26_2007	99.81	101.81	101.84	101.37			101.35(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-27	-10000	-11	-75	0.16	54%	0.01	15.6	0.38%	0	-0.6	56	0
19	Sep_25_2007	99.8	101.76	101.96	101.57			101.25(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-10000	-14	-43	0.22	54%	0	26.6	0.39%	0	-0.8	52	0
20	Sep_24_2007	99.8	101.75	102.1	101.85			101.44(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-8	-10000	-12	6	0.2	54%	0.01	40.9	0.38%	0	-0.5	59	0

21	Sep_21_2007	99.79	101.72	102.22	102.07			101.6(0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	7	-10000	-6	47	0.16	55%	0.01	50.7	0.39%	0	-0.2	56	0
22	Sep_20_2007	99.78	101.68	102.29	102.19			101.2(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	11	-10000	-9	72	0.15	52%	0	56.2	0.38%	0	-0.6	52	0
23	Sep_19_2007	99.78	101.66	102.3	102.36			102.35(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	24	-10000	-2	101	0.31	59%	0.02	64.5	0.36%	0	0.9	68	0
24	Sep_18_2007	99.76	101.58	102.2	102.36			102.64(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-10000	0	110	0.23	59%	0.01	73.3	0.36%	0	1.4	65	0
25	Sep_17_2007	99.75	101.47	102.03	102.4			102.57(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	0	112	0.15	59%		78.4	0.36%	0	1.5	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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