Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 27, 2007

Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 5, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares TIPS Bond ETF)
TIP latest price $100.4100 (0.15%) ($100.0800 - $100.5700) on Fri. Jul. 27, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.33% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $100.4100(0.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TIP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TIP advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TIP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(68%)    SHY(46%)    LQD(45%)    GLD(26%)    USO(3%)
Factors Impacting TIP price   TIP will decline at least -0.165% in a week (0% probabilities).
FXI(-14%)    SPY(-13%)    QQQ(-12%)    IWM(-12%)    EEM(-12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.165% (StdDev 0.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $99.83(0.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $99.38(1.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $98.9(1.53%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   3.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TIP price fluctuates within 0.71% (three month std-dev: 0.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070827

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_27_2007	99.73	98.9	99.38	99.83			100.41(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	46	-10000	13	143	0.31	44%	-0.01	50.7	0.33%	0	2.2	74	0
2	Jul_26_2007	99.74	98.8	99.17	99.62			100.26(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	45	-10000	15	133	0.44	43%	-0.01	51.6	0.33%	0	2.4	75	0
3	Jul_25_2007	99.75	98.7	98.95	99.37			99.79(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	36	-10000	11	112	0.14	41%	-0.01	51.9	0.33%	0	2.1	69	0
4	Jul_24_2007	99.76	98.63	98.82	99.19			99.49(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	-10000	13	96	0.25	41%	-0.01	48.9	0.33%	0	2	60	0
5	Jul_23_2007	99.77	98.59	98.75	98.98			99.18(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	-10000	7	76	0.38	41%	-0.02	48.8	0.33%	0	1.5	52	0

6	Jul_20_2007	99.79	98.55	98.64	98.86			99.39(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	23	-10000	13	52	0.15	41%	-0.02	50	0.33%	0	2.3	52	0
7	Jul_19_2007	99.81	98.48	98.48	98.64			99.01(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	13	-10000	11	19	0.12	39%	-0.02	41.2	0.32%	0	1.6	56	0
8	Jul_18_2007	99.83	98.44	98.38	98.47			98.89(0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	2	-10000	5	-9	0.15	41%	-0.02	36.4	0.32%	0	1.4	53	0
9	Jul_17_2007	99.85	98.41	98.32	98.39			98.44(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-11	-10000	-6	-25	0.15	38%	-0.02	50	0.32%	0	0.1	49	0
10	Jul_16_2007	99.87	98.39	98.36	98.48			98.59(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	-10000	6	-9	0.1	40%	-0.01	51.5	0.32%	0	0.6	48	0

11	Jul_13_2007	99.88	98.36	98.39	98.38			98.29(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	2	-10000	6	-11	0.14	40%	-0.02	42.4	0.32%	0	-0.2	48	0
12	Jul_12_2007	99.9	98.34	98.4	98.28			98.14(-0.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-4	-10000	1	-18	0.22	40%	-0.01	30.6	0.32%	0	-0.6	52	0
13	Jul_11_2007	99.91	98.32	98.4	98.26			98.47(-0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-3	-10000	1	-13	0.1	41%	-0.01	13.2	0.32%	0	0.4	55	0
14	Jul_10_2007	99.92	98.27	98.44	98.25			98.9(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-3	-10000	1	-15	0.17	43%	-0.01	-4.5	0.31%	0	1.5	54	0
15	Jul_9_2007	99.93	98.27	98.41	98.23			98.08(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	-10000	-12	-9	0.13	36%	-0.02	-16.7	0.3%	0	-0.3	53	0

16	Jul_6_2007	99.95	98.22	98.46	98.41			97.81(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-1	-10000	-8	21	0.1	36%	-0.01	-14.3	0.3%	0	-1	49	0
17	Jul_5_2007	99.96	98.24	98.5	98.53			98.02(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	5	-10000	-7	41	0.15	36%	0	-24.4	0.3%	0	-0.5	56	0
18	Jul_3_2007	99.96	98.27	98.51	98.64			98.43(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	16	-10000	-1	66	0.18	38%	0	-23.3	0.3%	0	0.4	62	0
19	Jul_2_2007	99.96	98.27	98.52	98.65			98.83(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10000	2	91	0.24	38%	0	-29.8	0.3%	0	1.2	73	0
20	Jun_29_2007	99.96	98.29	98.43	98.62			98.98(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	28	-10000	7	91	0.15	38%	0	-38.3	0.3%	0	1.5	62	0

21	Jun_28_2007	99.96	98.28	98.34	98.52			98.39(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	24	-10000	4	82	0.16	34%	0	-45.3	0.29%	0	0.2	53	0
22	Jun_27_2007	99.96	98.33	98.28	98.46			98.55(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10000	6	73	0.11	34%	-0.01	-44.1	0.29%	0	0.4	57	0
23	Jun_26_2007	99.97	98.38	98.19	98.46			98.5(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	-10000	0	39	0.17	37%	0	-44.4	0.29%	0	0.2	44	0
24	Jun_25_2007	99.97	98.42	98.08	98.37			98.7(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-10000	10	16	0.25	37%	0	-47.7	0.29%	0	0.4	47	0
25	Jun_22_2007	99.97	98.46	98	98.22			98.47(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	-10000	6	-24	0.18	36%		-49.3	0.29%	0	0	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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