Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 3, 2007

Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 5, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares TIPS Bond ETF)
TIP latest price $98.4300 (-0.4%) ($98.4200 - $98.9100) on Tue. Jul. 3, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.3% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $98.4300(-0.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   TIP advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TIP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(68%)    SHY(46%)    LQD(45%)    GLD(26%)    USO(3%)
Factors Impacting TIP price   TIP will decline at least -0.15% in a week (0% probabilities).
FXI(-14%)    SPY(-13%)    QQQ(-12%)    IWM(-12%)    EEM(-12%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.15% (StdDev 0.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $98.64(-0.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $98.51(-0.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $98.27(0.16%)
To recent high   -2.9%
To recent low   1.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TIP price fluctuates within 0.43% (three month std-dev: 0.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070803

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_3_2007	99.96	98.27	98.51	98.64			98.43(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	16	-10000	-1	66	0.18	38%	0	-23.3	0.3%	0	0.4	62	0
2	Jul_2_2007	99.96	98.27	98.52	98.65			98.83(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10000	2	91	0.24	38%	0	-29.8	0.3%	0	1.2	73	0
3	Jun_29_2007	99.96	98.29	98.43	98.62			98.98(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	28	-10000	7	91	0.15	38%	0	-38.3	0.3%	0	1.5	62	0
4	Jun_28_2007	99.96	98.28	98.34	98.52			98.39(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	24	-10000	4	82	0.16	34%	0	-45.3	0.29%	0	0.2	53	0
5	Jun_27_2007	99.96	98.33	98.28	98.46			98.55(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10000	6	73	0.11	34%	-0.01	-44.1	0.29%	0	0.4	57	0

6	Jun_26_2007	99.97	98.38	98.19	98.46			98.5(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	-10000	0	39	0.17	37%	0	-44.4	0.29%	0	0.2	44	0
7	Jun_25_2007	99.97	98.42	98.08	98.37			98.7(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-10000	10	16	0.25	37%	0	-47.7	0.29%	0	0.4	47	0
8	Jun_22_2007	99.97	98.46	98	98.22			98.47(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	-10000	6	-24	0.18	36%	-0.01	-49.3	0.29%	0	0	41	0
9	Jun_21_2007	99.98	98.52	97.96	98.13			98.07(-0.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-10	-10000	4	-52	0.15	36%	-0.01	-52	0.28%	0	-0.6	40	0
10	Jun_20_2007	99.99	98.59	97.95	98.07			98.11(-0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-18	-10000	6	-89	0.25	36%	0	-55.8	0.29%	0	-0.6	33	0

11	Jun_19_2007	99.99	98.66	98.01	97.98			98.48(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-15	-10000	17	-111	0.48	37%	0	-60.8	0.29%	0	-0.2	36	0
12	Jun_18_2007	99.99	98.72	98.02	97.98			97.96(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-42	-10000	0	-167	0.19	33%	0	-68.7	0.28%	0	-0.9	31	0
13	Jun_15_2007	99.99	98.81	98.13	97.75			98.04(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-47	-10000	-1	-185	0.26	33%	0	-74.7	0.28%	0	-0.9	29	0
14	Jun_14_2007	99.99	98.9	98.2	97.77			97.75(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-55	-10000	-4	-208	0.24	31%	-0.01	-77.4	0.27%	0	-1.4	28	0
15	Jun_13_2007	100	99.02	98.38	97.82			97.69(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-65	-10000	-16	-211	0.36	34%	-0.01	-81.7	0.27%	0	-1.6	30	0

16	Jun_12_2007	100.01	99.14	98.57	98.04			97.33(-0.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-63	-10000	-21	-188	0.31	31%	-0.02	-82.1	0.27%	0	-2.4	24	0
17	Jun_11_2007	100.03	99.29	98.79	98.33			97.94(-0.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-53	-10000	-17	-162	0.19	34%	0	-84.1	0.27%	0	-2	24	0
18	Jun_8_2007	100.03	99.42	98.98	98.56			98.15(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-40	-10000	-10	-131	0.29	32%	0	-81.5	0.27%	0	-2	31	0
19	Jun_7_2007	100.03	99.55	99.13	98.7			97.97(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-50	-10000	-24	-127	0.4	32%	-0.01	-79.4	0.27%	0	-2.5	26	0
20	Jun_6_2007	100.04	99.68	99.3	99.03			98.83(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-34	-10000	-12	-101	0.14	35%	0.01	-79.6	0.25%	0	-1.6	32	0

21	Jun_5_2007	100.03	99.78	99.37	99.18			98.75(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-33	-10000	-12	-94	0.16	35%	-0.01	-72.7	0.25%	0	-1.9	29	0
22	Jun_4_2007	100.04	99.87	99.49	99.33			99.11(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-10000	-11	-89	0.17	37%	0.01	-76.9	0.24%	0	-1.5	29	0
23	Jun_1_2007	100.03	99.95	99.55	99.46			98.85(-0.78%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-32	-10000	-13	-90	0.21	35%	0	-72.5	0.24%	0	-2.2	22	0
24	May_31_2007	100.03	100.05	99.66	99.62			99.63(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-20	-10000	2	-85	0.18	39%	0.01	-71.7	0.23%	0	-0.9	26	0
25	May_30_2007	100.02	100.11	99.69	99.6			99.57(0.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-25	-10000	1	-101	0.14	39%		-71.4	0.23%	0	-1.1	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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