Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 11, 2006

Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 5, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares TIPS Bond ETF)
TIP latest price $99.1400 (0.07%) ($99.0500 - $99.3600) on Tue. Jul. 11, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.35% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $99.1400(0.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TIP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TIP advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TIP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(68%)    SHY(47%)    LQD(46%)    GLD(25%)    USO(3%)
Factors Impacting TIP price   TIP will decline at least -0.175% in a week (0% probabilities).
FXI(-14%)    SPY(-13%)    IWM(-12%)    EEM(-12%)    XLK(-11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.175% (StdDev 0.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $98.89(0.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $98.91(0.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $98.96(0.18%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   0.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TIP price fluctuates within 0.35% (three month std-dev: 0.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060811

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_11_2006	100.12	98.96	98.91	98.89			99.14(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	6	-10000	3	15	0.15	54%	-0.01	-42.9	0.35%	0	0.5	53	0
2	Jul_10_2006	100.13	98.98	98.84	98.83			99.07(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-5	-10000	-6	-2	0.14	54%	-0.04	-43.6	0.35%	0	0.2	50	0
3	Jul_7_2006	100.17	99.01	98.8	98.93			99.06(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	-10000	1	0	0.16	53%	-0.03	-35.7	0.35%	0	0.1	47	0
4	Jul_6_2006	100.2	99.02	98.76	98.92			98.77(0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	1	-10000	3	-6	0.13	53%	-0.03	-35.7	0.35%	0	-0.6	44	0
5	Jul_5_2006	100.23	99.04	98.78	98.86			98.43(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-7	-10000	-2	-21	0.3	53%	-0.06	-45.2	0.35%	0	-1.5	36	0

6	Jul_3_2006	100.29	99.1	98.83	98.9			98.81(-0.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-5	-10000	3	-30	0.11	51%	-0.03	-45.2	0.35%	0	-0.7	35	0
7	Jun_30_2006	100.32	99.15	98.85	98.84			99.57(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-3	-10000	11	-45	0.15	55%	-0.03	-51.1	0.34%	0	0.9	44	0
8	Jun_29_2006	100.35	99.16	98.85	98.65			99.04(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-17	-10000	4	-78	0.24	53%	-0.04	-63.6	0.33%	0	-0.3	34	0
9	Jun_28_2006	100.39	99.17	98.8	98.59			98.44(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-10000	-6	-93	0.25	48%	-0.04	-73.3	0.33%	0	-1.6	32	0
10	Jun_27_2006	100.43	99.23	98.9	98.69			98.66(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	-10000	-3	-81	0.33	47%	-0.05	-70.5	0.33%	0	-1.3	38	0

11	Jun_26_2006	100.48	99.29	99	98.74			98.5(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-23	-10000	-6	-75	0.13	47%	-0.04	-73.8	0.33%	0	-1.9	28	0
12	Jun_23_2006	100.52	99.37	99.12	98.84			98.61(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-22	-10000	-7	-66	0.21	49%	-0.04	-65.9	0.34%	0	-1.9	27	0
13	Jun_22_2006	100.56	99.44	99.24	98.96			98.74(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-10000	-5	-58	0.28	49%	-0.04	-63.2	0.34%	0	-1.8	25	0
14	Jun_21_2006	100.6	99.5	99.3	99.05			98.95(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-10000	-5	-50	0.23	47%	-0.04	-57.1	0.34%	0	-1.6	48	0
15	Jun_20_2006	100.64	99.54	99.33	99.14			98.91(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-21	-10000	-10	-52	0.15	47%	-0.04	-47.1	0.34%	0	-1.9	40	0

16	Jun_19_2006	100.68	99.6	99.41	99.31			99(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-16	-10000	-8	-38	0.27	47%	-0.03	-25.8	0.34%	0	-1.9	39	0
17	Jun_16_2006	100.71	99.64	99.48	99.45			99.21(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-12	-10000	-6	-31	0.16	49%	-0.04	-7.1	0.34%	0	-1.5	38	0
18	Jun_15_2006	100.75	99.68	99.56	99.55			99.18(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-6	-10000	-2	-16	0.22	49%	-0.03	7.4	0.35%	0	-1.9	42	0
19	Jun_14_2006	100.78	99.69	99.57	99.58			99.39(-0.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-4	-10000	2	-21	0.22	51%	-0.03	7.7	0.35%	0	-1.2	44	0
20	Jun_13_2006	100.81	99.7	99.57	99.55			99.77(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-6	-10000	2	-28	0.21	52%	-0.04	8	0.35%	0	0.3	48	0

21	Jun_12_2006	100.85	99.68	99.6	99.55			99.7(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-9	-10000	0	-36	0.18	52%	-0.04	3.7	0.35%	0	0.1	45	0
22	Jun_9_2006	100.89	99.68	99.6	99.52			99.72(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-10	-10000	-3	-32	0.17	52%	-0.03	7.1	0.35%	0	0.2	48	0
23	Jun_8_2006	100.92	99.66	99.64	99.57			99.32(0.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.9	-6	-10000	1	-27	0.28	49%	-0.04	28.6	0.35%	0	-1.2	41	0
24	Jun_7_2006	100.96	99.67	99.7	99.55			99.25(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-10	-10000	-5	-24	0.44	49%	-0.05	37	0.35%	0	-1.6	52	0
25	Jun_6_2006	101.01	99.68	99.77	99.64			99.59(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-5	-10000	-3	-11	0.36	47%		50	0.35%	0	-0.3	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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