Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 22, 2006

Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 5, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares TIPS Bond ETF)
TIP latest price $99.9800 (0.15%) ($99.8500 - $100.1200) on Mon. May. 22, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.35% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $99.9800(0.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TIP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TIP advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TIP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(68%)    SHY(47%)    LQD(46%)    GLD(25%)    USO(4%)
Factors Impacting TIP price   TIP will decline at least -0.175% in a week (0% probabilities).
FXI(-14%)    SPY(-12%)    XLK(-11%)    QQQ(-11%)    IWM(-11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.175% (StdDev 0.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $99.73(0.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $99.59(0.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $99.41(0.57%)
To recent high   -2.8%
To recent low   1.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TIP price fluctuates within 0.35% (three month std-dev: 0.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060622

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_22_2006	101.3	99.41	99.59	99.73			99.98(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	-10000	9	60	0.16	47%	-0.03	-8.6	0.35%	0	1.6	58	0
2	May_19_2006	101.33	99.4	99.51	99.58			99.83(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	-10000	6	50	0.27	47%	-0.03	-14.3	0.34%	0	1.2	60	0
3	May_18_2006	101.36	99.41	99.44	99.48			99.91(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	9	-10000	3	27	0.2	47%	-0.03	-11.4	0.35%	0	1.4	48	0
4	May_17_2006	101.39	99.39	99.32	99.42			99.3(-0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-10000	-4	5	0.42	47%	-0.04	-16.7	0.34%	0	-0.3	47	0
5	May_16_2006	101.43	99.42	99.3	99.48			99.63(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	-10000	3	13	0.14	47%	-0.02	-10.8	0.35%	0	0.6	56	0

6	May_15_2006	101.45	99.44	99.26	99.43			99.25(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	3	-10000	1	9	0.12	45%	-0.04	-10.8	0.34%	0	-0.5	51	0
7	May_12_2006	101.49	99.45	99.24	99.42			99.3(-0.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-1	-10000	1	-7	0.18	43%	-0.04	-13.2	0.34%	0	-0.4	42	0
8	May_11_2006	101.53	99.44	99.29	99.4			99.64(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	8	-10000	12	-6	0.17	45%	-0.03	-23.7	0.34%	0	0.5	44	0
9	May_10_2006	101.56	99.45	99.28	99.2			99.59(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-2	-10000	7	-30	0.16	43%	-0.03	-46.2	0.35%	0	0.4	48	0
10	May_9_2006	101.59	99.46	99.23	99.08			99.35(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-14	-10000	1	-58	0.14	43%	-0.03	-48.8	0.35%	0	-0.3	42	0

11	May_8_2006	101.62	99.48	99.21	99.07			99.2(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-17	-10000	1	-72	0.13	43%	-0.04	-53.7	0.35%	0	-0.7	42	0
12	May_5_2006	101.66	99.5	99.28	99.05			99.2(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-24	-10000	-7	-73	0.17	42%	-0.03	-70	0.35%	0	-0.7	46	0
13	May_4_2006	101.69	99.54	99.36	99.18			98.64(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-21	-10000	-11	-50	0.18	39%	-0.04	-68.3	0.34%	0	-2.2	48	0
14	May_3_2006	101.73	99.62	99.47	99.36			99.02(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-8	-10000	-1	-29	0.18	43%	-0.03	-65.8	0.34%	0	-1.6	44	0
15	May_2_2006	101.76	99.67	99.57	99.38			99.3(0.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-6	-10000	1	-27	0.16	43%	-0.03	-85.7	0.35%	0	-1.1	43	0

16	May_1_2006	101.79	99.7	99.63	99.36			99.08(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-15	-10000	-10	-30	0.17	43%	-0.03	-108.6	0.35%	0	-1.8	46	0
17	Apr_28_2006	101.82	99.78	99.69	99.54			99.88(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-4	-10000	-2	-10	0.13	47%	-0.02	-105.4	0.33%	0	0.3	53	0
18	Apr_27_2006	101.84	99.81	99.61	99.57			99.54(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-10000	-2	-21	0.23	45%	-0.03	-100	0.33%	0	-0.6	45	0
19	Apr_26_2006	101.87	99.88	99.63	99.6			99.1(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-17	-10000	-12	-32	0.12	43%	-0.03	-93.6	0.33%	0	-1.7	38	0
20	Apr_25_2006	101.9	99.97	99.73	99.79			99.21(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-9	-10000	-8	-10	0.14	41%	-0.03	-83.7	0.33%	0	-1.6	44	0

21	Apr_24_2006	101.93	100.08	99.78	99.93			99.95(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	4	-10000	4	3	0.14	44%	-0.02	-67.9	0.32%	0	-0.2	49	0
22	Apr_21_2006	101.95	100.17	99.74	99.86			100.05(0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	4	-10000	12	-20	0.15	44%	-0.02	-60.3	0.32%	0	-0.2	42	0
23	Apr_20_2006	101.97	100.23	99.73	99.86			99.69(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-14	-10000	0	-56	0.16	42%	-0.03	-69.4	0.32%	0	-0.8	38	0
24	Apr_19_2006	102	100.32	99.78	99.86			100.03(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-17	-10000	0	-66	0.15	43%	-0.04	-66.7	0.32%	0	-0.4	39	0
25	Apr_18_2006	102.04	100.38	99.77	99.67			99.93(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-19	-10000	3	-85	0.17	43%		-66.7	0.32%	0	-0.6	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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