Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 14, 2005

Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 5, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares TIPS Bond ETF)
TIP latest price $105.3800 (-0.07%) ($105.2100 - $105.6100) on Wed. Sep. 14, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.35% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $105.3800(-0.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TIP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TIP advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TIP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(68%)    SHY(48%)    LQD(46%)    GLD(25%)    XLU(1%)
Factors Impacting TIP price   TIP will decline at least -0.175% in a week (0% probabilities).
FXI(-13%)    SPY(-12%)    XLK(-11%)    QQQ(-11%)    IWM(-11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.175% (StdDev 0.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $105.32(0.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $105.4(-0.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $104.92(0.44%)
To recent high   -1.8%
To recent low   2.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TIP price fluctuates within 0.61% (three month std-dev: 0.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_14_2005	105.43	104.92	105.4	105.32			105.38(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-10000	5	45	0.1	43%	-0.01	73.8	0.35%	0	0.7	64	0
2	Sep_13_2005	105.44	104.85	105.39	105.24			105.45(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	3	54	0.13	43%	-0.02	76.2	0.35%	0	0.9	67	0
3	Sep_12_2005	105.46	104.76	105.32	105.19			105.09(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	-10000	-7	57	0.13	43%	-0.02	76.1	0.35%	0	0.5	67	0
4	Sep_9_2005	105.48	104.69	105.28	105.32			105.47(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	17	-10000	-3	75	0.13	42%	0	84.3	0.36%	0	1.1	70	0
5	Sep_8_2005	105.48	104.57	105.2	105.37			105.19(0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	18	-10000	-7	91	0.14	42%	-0.02	81.1	0.35%	0	0.8	70	0

6	Sep_7_2005	105.5	104.45	105.13	105.5			105.02(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	28	-10000	-3	121	0.18	42%	-0.02	74.4	0.35%	0	0.7	72	0
7	Sep_6_2005	105.52	104.34	105.07	105.55			105.16(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	38	-10000	5	137	0.7	42%	-0.02	70.5	0.35%	0	0.9	69	0
8	Sep_2_2005	105.54	104.23	104.96	105.46			105.75(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	45	-10000	13	141	0.14	45%	0	63.4	0.35%	0	1.6	82	0
9	Sep_1_2005	105.54	104.08	104.8	105.22			105.71(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	42	-10000	12	130	0.11	47%	0	56.3	0.35%	0	1.8	82	0
10	Aug_31_2005	105.54	103.95	104.62	105			105.85(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	43	-10000	15	126	0.12	49%	0	49.4	0.35%	0	2.3	87	0

11	Aug_30_2005	105.54	103.82	104.39	104.72			105.27(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	36	-10000	10	115	0.17	46%	0.01	42.9	0.35%	0	2	88	0
12	Aug_29_2005	105.53	103.7	104.25	104.53			104.73(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	35	-10000	8	116	0.09	43%	0	31.3	0.35%	0	1.6	84	0
13	Aug_26_2005	105.53	103.61	104.13	104.38			104.56(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	-10000	5	117	0.14	43%	-0.01	20	0.35%	0	1.5	81	0
14	Aug_25_2005	105.54	103.57	104.04	104.3			104.61(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	37	-10000	7	125	0.11	42%	0	15.5	0.35%	0	1.7	81	0
15	Aug_24_2005	105.54	103.54	103.89	104.17			104.45(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	-10000	9	113	0.11	42%	-0.01	13	0.35%	0	1.6	64	0

16	Aug_23_2005	105.55	103.51	103.72	104.01			104.28(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	-10000	5	88	0.18	42%	-0.01	2	0.35%	0	1.5	63	0
17	Aug_22_2005	105.56	103.49	103.56	103.93			104(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-10000	5	79	0.13	42%	-0.01	-2	0.35%	0	1	66	0
18	Aug_19_2005	105.57	103.49	103.44	103.85			104.15(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	-10000	7	68	0.11	44%	-0.01	-3.9	0.36%	0	1.3	64	0
19	Aug_18_2005	105.58	103.48	103.3	103.73			103.96(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10000	8	44	0.11	44%	-0.01	-6.1	0.35%	0	0.9	48	0
20	Aug_17_2005	105.59	103.47	103.24	103.58			103.65(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	11	20	0.1	44%	0	-17.6	0.35%	0	0.3	41	0

21	Aug_16_2005	105.59	103.47	103.2	103.37			103.88(0.28%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	8	-10000	13	-9	0.17	44%	0	-30.2	0.35%	0	0.7	46	0
22	Aug_15_2005	105.59	103.47	103.1	103.14			103.59(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-6	-10000	9	-50	0.18	44%	-0.02	-51.9	0.35%	0	0.2	42	0
23	Aug_12_2005	105.61	103.5	103.04	102.98			103.59(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-13	-10000	9	-79	0.11	44%	-0.01	-73.6	0.35%	0	0.2	44	0
24	Aug_11_2005	105.62	103.52	103.06	102.82			103.17(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-28	-10000	-2	-104	0.1	42%	-0.01	-88.9	0.35%	0	-0.6	34	0
25	Aug_10_2005	105.63	103.56	103.15	102.86			102.64(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	-10000	-8	-102	0.11	38%		-91.5	0.34%	0	-1.5	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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