Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 18, 2004

Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 5, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares TIPS Bond ETF)
TIP latest price $101.7600 (0.17%) ($101.6200 - $101.8400) on Tue. May. 18, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.44% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $101.7600(0.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TIP advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TIP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(69%)    SHY(49%)    LQD(47%)    XLU(1%)    OIH(-2%)
Factors Impacting TIP price   TIP will decline at least -0.22% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-12%)    XLK(-11%)    QQQ(-11%)    IWM(-11%)    EEM(-11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.22% (StdDev 0.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $101.02(0.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $100.64(1.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $101.08(0.67%)
To recent high   -5.4%
To recent low   2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TIP price fluctuates within 0.85% (three month std-dev: 0.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040618

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_18_2004	103.63	101.08	100.64	101.02			101.76(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	13	-10000	14	11	0.12	39%	0	-54.1	0.44%	0	0.8	50	0
2	May_17_2004	103.63	101.11	100.53	100.72			101.59(0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	5	-10000	17	-30	0.14	38%	-0.01	-60.4	0.44%	0	0.5	39	0
3	May_14_2004	103.64	101.19	100.44	100.35			100.83(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	-10000	9	-76	0.09	34%	-0.03	-65.4	0.43%	0	-0.3	36	0
4	May_13_2004	103.67	101.31	100.47	100.16			100.58(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-23	-10000	2	-98	0.08	38%	-0.01	-70.9	0.43%	0	-0.7	41	0
5	May_12_2004	103.68	101.42	100.5	100.12			100.36(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-34	-10000	-4	-122	0.12	38%	-0.02	-75	0.44%	0	-0.9	31	0

6	May_11_2004	103.7	101.55	100.6	100.2			100.22(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-37	-10000	-5	-133	0.16	40%	-0.01	-77.4	0.44%	0	-1.1	29	0
7	May_10_2004	103.71	101.71	100.8	100.32			99.78(-0.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-41	-10000	-10	-134	0.14	38%	-0.03	-76.3	0.44%	0	-1.6	24	0
8	May_7_2004	103.74	101.91	101.02	100.54			99.85(-0.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-44	-10000	-13	-137	0.14	38%	-0.02	-79.5	0.44%	0	-1.8	20	0
9	May_6_2004	103.76	102.11	101.19	100.82			100.4(-0.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-39	-10000	-5	-140	0.08	41%	-0.02	-86.9	0.44%	0	-1.6	22	0
10	May_5_2004	103.78	102.28	101.39	100.92			100.76(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-40	-10000	-6	-140	0.09	41%	-0.01	-101	0.44%	0	-1.4	33	0

11	May_4_2004	103.79	102.46	101.58	101.06			100.8(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-46	-10000	-14	-141	0.08	41%	-0.01	-105.7	0.44%	0	-1.5	32	0
12	May_3_2004	103.8	102.63	101.76	101.36			100.88(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-39	-10000	-10	-127	0.07	41%	-0.01	-110.6	0.44%	0	-1.6	30	0
13	Apr_30_2004	103.81	102.83	102.01	101.57			101.26(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	-10000	-2	-115	0.1	43%	-0.01	-114.3	0.44%	0	-1.5	29	0
14	Apr_29_2004	103.82	103.08	102.22	101.61			100.9(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-42	-10000	-14	-124	0.09	43%	-0.01	-102.5	0.44%	0	-1.7	25	0
15	Apr_28_2004	103.83	103.37	102.42	101.93			101.44(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-36	-10000	-10	-113	0.08	44%	0	-88.8	0.44%	0	-1.4	29	0

16	Apr_27_2004	103.83	103.62	102.59	102.17			102.31(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-31	-10000	-3	-113	0.07	48%	0.01	-82.4	0.43%	0	-0.9	29	0
17	Apr_26_2004	103.82	103.83	102.69	102.23			101.95(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-41	-10000	-13	-125	0.09	47%	0	-78.7	0.43%	0	-1.2	27	0
18	Apr_23_2004	103.82	104.08	102.87	102.53			101.46(-1.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-43	-10000	-18	-119	0.2	43%	-0.03	-71.2	0.43%	0	-1.6	18	0
19	Apr_22_2004	103.85	104.37	103.12	102.92			102.5(-0.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-32	-10000	-3	-118	0.07	46%	-0.01	-65	0.42%	0	-1.1	15	0
20	Apr_21_2004	103.86	104.62	103.25	102.98			102.63(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-42	-10000	-4	-156	0.1	47%	-0.02	-62.3	0.42%	0	-1.2	14	0

21	Apr_20_2004	103.88	104.85	103.42	103.06			102.63(-0.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-51	-10000	-7	-181	0.08	47%	-0.01	-61	0.42%	0	-1.3	18	0
22	Apr_19_2004	103.89	105.07	103.58	103.2			103.43(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-55	-10000	-4	-208	0.19	50%	0	-59	0.41%	0	-1	21	0
23	Apr_16_2004	103.89	105.25	103.71	103.28			103.43(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-61	-10000	-4	-231	0.12	50%	-0.01	-56.9	0.41%	0	-1.1	19	0
24	Apr_15_2004	103.9	105.45	103.98	103.36			102.8(-0.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-68	-10000	-9	-245	0.06	48%	-0.01	-54.1	0.41%	0	-1.6	10	0
25	Apr_14_2004	103.91	105.69	104.37	103.55			103.03(-0.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-71	-10000	-13	-244	0.13	48%		-51.3	0.41%	0	-1.7	10	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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