Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 5, 2004

Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 5, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares TIPS Bond ETF)
TIP latest price $100.7600 (-0.04%) ($100.7300 - $101.0000) on Wed. May. 5, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.44% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $100.7600(-0.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TIP declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TIP declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TIP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(69%)    SHY(49%)    LQD(47%)    XLU(1%)    OIH(-2%)
Factors Impacting TIP price   TIP will decline at least -0.22% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-12%)    XLK(-11%)    QQQ(-11%)    IWM(-11%)    EEM(-11%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.22% (StdDev 0.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $99.7(-1.05%)
Resistance Level   $102.28
5 Day Moving Average   $100.92(-0.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $101.39(-0.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $102.28(-1.49%)
To recent high   -6.3%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TIP price fluctuates within 1.04% (three month std-dev: 0.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040605

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_5_2004	103.78	102.28	101.39	100.92			100.76(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-40	-10000	-6	-140	0.09	41%	-0.01	-101	0.44%	0	-1.4	33	0
2	May_4_2004	103.79	102.46	101.58	101.06			100.8(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-46	-10000	-14	-141	0.08	41%	-0.01	-105.7	0.44%	0	-1.5	32	0
3	May_3_2004	103.8	102.63	101.76	101.36			100.88(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-39	-10000	-10	-127	0.07	41%	-0.01	-110.6	0.44%	0	-1.6	30	0
4	Apr_30_2004	103.81	102.83	102.01	101.57			101.26(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	-10000	-2	-115	0.1	43%	-0.01	-114.3	0.44%	0	-1.5	29	0
5	Apr_29_2004	103.82	103.08	102.22	101.61			100.9(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-42	-10000	-14	-124	0.09	43%	-0.01	-102.5	0.44%	0	-1.7	25	0

6	Apr_28_2004	103.83	103.37	102.42	101.93			101.44(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-36	-10000	-10	-113	0.08	44%	0	-88.8	0.44%	0	-1.4	29	0
7	Apr_27_2004	103.83	103.62	102.59	102.17			102.31(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-31	-10000	-3	-113	0.07	48%	0.01	-82.4	0.43%	0	-0.9	29	0
8	Apr_26_2004	103.82	103.83	102.69	102.23			101.95(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-41	-10000	-13	-125	0.09	47%	0	-78.7	0.43%	0	-1.2	27	0
9	Apr_23_2004	103.82	104.08	102.87	102.53			101.46(-1.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-43	-10000	-18	-119	0.2	43%	-0.03	-71.2	0.43%	0	-1.6	18	0
10	Apr_22_2004	103.85	104.37	103.12	102.92			102.5(-0.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-32	-10000	-3	-118	0.07	46%	-0.01	-65	0.42%	0	-1.1	15	0

11	Apr_21_2004	103.86	104.62	103.25	102.98			102.63(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-42	-10000	-4	-156	0.1	47%	-0.02	-62.3	0.42%	0	-1.2	14	0
12	Apr_20_2004	103.88	104.85	103.42	103.06			102.63(-0.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-51	-10000	-7	-181	0.08	47%	-0.01	-61	0.42%	0	-1.3	18	0
13	Apr_19_2004	103.89	105.07	103.58	103.2			103.43(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-55	-10000	-4	-208	0.19	50%	0	-59	0.41%	0	-1	21	0
14	Apr_16_2004	103.89	105.25	103.71	103.28			103.43(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-61	-10000	-4	-231	0.12	50%	-0.01	-56.9	0.41%	0	-1.1	19	0
15	Apr_15_2004	103.9	105.45	103.98	103.36			102.8(-0.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-68	-10000	-9	-245	0.06	48%	-0.01	-54.1	0.41%	0	-1.6	10	0

16	Apr_14_2004	103.91	105.69	104.37	103.55			103.03(-0.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-71	-10000	-13	-244	0.13	48%	-0.01	-51.3	0.41%	0	-1.7	10	0
17	Apr_13_2004	103.92	105.9	104.73	103.82			103.3(-0.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-67	-10000	-9	-239	0.1	50%	-0.01	-50.7	0.4%	0	-1.7	16	0
18	Apr_12_2004	103.93	106.08	105.06	104.01			103.84(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-66	-10000	-9	-236	0.08	52%	0	-52.7	0.4%	0	-1.6	20	0
19	Apr_8_2004	103.93	106.22	105.36	104.2			103.84(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-73	-10000	-23	-224	0.1	53%	0	-55.2	0.41%	0	-1.9	24	0
20	Apr_7_2004	103.93	106.36	105.72	104.7			103.76(-0.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-70	-10000	-29	-193	0.17	53%	0	-45.2	0.41%	0	-2.3	21	0

21	Apr_6_2004	103.93	106.52	106.11	105.33			104.38(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-52	-10000	-21	-146	0.09	57%	0	-28.4	0.41%	0	-2.3	22	0
22	Apr_5_2004	103.93	106.67	106.4	105.78			104.22(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-44	-10000	-21	-114	0.16	57%	0.01	-9.3	0.41%	0	-3.1	27	0
23	Apr_2_2004	103.92	106.81	106.71	106.25			104.8(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-33	-10000	-20	-72	0.17	60%	0.01	18.2	0.41%	0	-3.4	38	0
24	Apr_1_2004	103.91	106.9	106.94	106.68			106.35(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-17	-10000	-11	-34	0.1	67%	0.03	55.3	0.36%	0	-1.1	53	0
25	Mar_31_2004	103.88	106.86	107.05	106.89			106.91(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-5	-10000	-6	-1	0.15	70%		63.6	0.35%	0	0.1	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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