Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 13, 2004

Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 5, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares TIPS Bond ETF)
TIP latest price $104.2900 (0.77%) ($103.7000 - $104.2900) on Fri. Feb. 13, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.34% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $104.2900(0.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TIP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TIP advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TIP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(69%)    SHY(49%)    LQD(47%)    XLU(2%)    OIH(-2%)
Factors Impacting TIP price   TIP will decline at least -0.17% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-12%)    XLK(-11%)    QQQ(-11%)    IWM(-11%)    EEM(-11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.17% (StdDev 0.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $103.71(0.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $103.49(0.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $103.21(1.05%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   2.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TIP price fluctuates within 0.45% (three month std-dev: 0.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040313

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_13_2004	102.5	103.21	103.49	103.71			104.29(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	31	-10000	9	95	0.12	68%	0.04	55.6	0.34%	0	2.3	70	0
2	Feb_12_2004	102.46	103.14	103.36	103.54			103.49(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-10000	6	87	0.19	66%	0.02	70.3	0.32%	0	0.9	57	0
3	Feb_11_2004	102.44	103.11	103.25	103.44			103.78(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	-10000	6	59	0.2	66%	0.03	73	0.32%	0	1.8	50	0
4	Feb_10_2004	102.41	103.06	103.12	103.35			103.36(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	9	-10000	1	34	0.19	64%	0.02	85.3	0.32%	0	0.9	48	0
5	Feb_9_2004	102.39	103.02	103.07	103.34			103.64(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	-10000	6	34	0.14	64%	0.03	94.4	0.32%	0	1.7	56	0

6	Feb_6_2004	102.36	102.96	102.96	103.24			103.43(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-10000	5	13	0.16	64%	0.02	102.9	0.33%	0	1.3	53	0
7	Feb_5_2004	102.34	102.87	102.89	103.15			103.01(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	6	-10000	7	1	0.17	62%	0.02	78.6	0.33%	0	0.3	50	0
8	Feb_4_2004	102.32	102.83	102.89	103.03			103.32(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	9	-10000	11	3	0.13	62%	0.03	71.1	0.33%	0	1.1	55	0
9	Feb_3_2004	102.29	102.76	102.94	102.85			103.32(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	2	-10000	5	-9	0.11	62%	0.02	59.6	0.33%	0	1.2	55	0
10	Feb_2_2004	102.27	102.67	102.9	102.77			103.13(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	4	-10000	8	-8	0.16	62%	0.03	40.7	0.33%	0	0.8	60	0

11	Jan_30_2004	102.24	102.59	102.89	102.63			102.95(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	-10000	1	-14	0.11	62%	0.01	27.6	0.34%	0	0.6	57	0
12	Jan_29_2004	102.23	102.53	102.9	102.61			102.41(-0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-11	-10000	-14	-0	0.22	59%	0.01	28.8	0.33%	0	-0.2	62	0
13	Jan_28_2004	102.22	102.5	102.96	102.85			102.46(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	1	-10000	-11	36	0.28	59%	0.01	36.1	0.34%	0	-0.1	56	0
14	Jan_27_2004	102.21	102.48	103	103.04			102.88(0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	18	-10000	-1	76	0.24	63%	0.02	42.9	0.33%	0	0.6	62	0
15	Jan_26_2004	102.19	102.44	102.96	103.06			102.47(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	18	-10000	-7	94	0.24	60%	0	43.8	0.33%	0	0	66	0

16	Jan_23_2004	102.19	102.43	102.97	103.18			102.85(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	30	-10000	-2	126	0.26	64%	0.02	51.6	0.33%	0	0.6	68	0
17	Jan_22_2004	102.17	102.36	102.87	103.22			103.58(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	-10000	9	145	0.18	72%	0.05	50.8	0.31%	0	1.8	74	0
18	Jan_21_2004	102.12	102.28	102.72	103.08			103.41(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	-10000	6	140	0.17	72%	0.04	50.8	0.31%	0	1.9	73	0
19	Jan_20_2004	102.08	102.21	102.58	102.98			102.99(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	39	-10000	8	133	0.14	70%	0.04	50	0.31%	0	1.4	64	0
20	Jan_16_2004	102.04	102.16	102.42	102.85			103.08(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	-10000	8	108	0.1	70%	0.03	49	0.31%	0	1.8	59	0

21	Jan_15_2004	102.01	102.09	102.26	102.73			103.03(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	-10000	16	87	0.06	70%	0.04	47.8	0.32%	0	2	61	0
22	Jan_14_2004	101.97	102.02	102.12	102.46			102.9(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	23	-10000	10	62	0.09	70%	0.04	39	0.32%	0	2.1	66	0
23	Jan_13_2004	101.93	101.97	102	102.3			102.88(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	19	-10000	11	41	0.12	70%	0.03	33.3	0.33%	0	2.5	58	0
24	Jan_12_2004	101.9	101.92	101.89	102.12			102.38(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	-10000	13	22	0.13	67%	0.02	27.6	0.32%	0	1.5	52	0
25	Jan_9_2004	101.88	101.91	101.87	101.92			102.46(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	9	-10000	12	1	0.11	67%		0	0.33%	0	2	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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