Trading Signals: TIF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 21, 2008

Trading Signals: TIF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Jan. 6, 2021)

(Tiffany & Co.)
TIF latest price $39.2100 (-1.08%) ($38.6600 - $40.2900) on Mon. Jul. 21, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.4% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $39.2100(-1.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TIF advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TIF declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TIF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(59%)    IWM(55%)    QQQ(53%)    SPY(53%)    EEM(51%)
Factors Impacting TIF price   TIF will decline at least -1.2% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-21%)    TIP(-11%)    GLD(-3%)    LQD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.2% (StdDev 2.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

Resistance Level   $40.27
5 Day Moving Average   $39.24(-0.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39(0.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.27(-2.63%)
To recent high   -20%
To recent low   5.9%
Market Cap   $4.756b

Tiffany & Co. is a holding company, which engages in product design, manufacturing, and retailing through its subsidiaries. The firm also sells timepieces, leather goods, sterling silver goods, china, crystal, stationery, fragrances, and accessories. It operates through the following geographical segments: Americas, Asia-Pacific, Japan, Europe, and Other. The Americas segment includes in U.S., Canada, Mexico, Brazil, and Chile. The Asia-Pacific segment consists of China, Korea, Australia, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Singapore, Macau, Malaysia, New Zealand, and Thailand. The Japan segment comprises of 50 stores located within department stores. The Europe segment caters to the United Kingdom, Italy, Germany, France, Spain, Switzerland, the Netherlands, Austria, Belgium, the Czech Republic, Ireland, and Russia. The Other segment covers retail sales and wholesale distribution in the emerging markets region, wholesale of diamonds, and licensing agreements. The company was founded in 1837 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. TIF price fluctuates within 4.89% (three month std-dev: 2.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080821

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_21_2008	42.74	40.27	39	39.24			39.21(-1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-2	-10000	8	-32	1.31	42%	0.05	-85.1	2.4%	0	-0.5	44	0
2	Jul_18_2008	42.72	40.55	39.07	38.86			39.64(-2.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	-10000	11	-56	2.15	42%	0.02	-83.9	2.4%	0	-0.4	41	0
3	Jul_17_2008	42.71	40.88	39.12	38.34			40.82(4.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-12	-10000	12	-85	3.6	44%	0	-77.2	2.38%	0	-0	43	0
4	Jul_16_2008	42.71	41.13	39.02	37.82			39.24(5.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-35	-10000	-3	-131	2.44	41%	-0.02	-74.2	2.32%	0	-0.7	33	0
5	Jul_15_2008	42.72	41.51	39.2	37.95			37.3(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-52	-10000	-19	-149	2.66	35%	-0.09	-66.6	2.23%	0	-1.4	27	0

6	Jul_14_2008	42.76	42.02	39.55	38.77			37.32(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-44	-10000	-12	-140	2.18	35%	0	-57.6	2.23%	0	-1.5	23	0
7	Jul_11_2008	42.76	42.49	40.03	39.3			37.03(-3.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-47	-10000	-15	-141	4.31	35%	0	-53.6	2.23%	0	-1.8	20	0
8	Jul_10_2008	42.76	42.95	40.57	39.96			38.22(-4.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-43	-10000	-9	-144	3.32	37%	0.02	-54.4	2.2%	0	-1.7	19	0
9	Jul_9_2008	42.75	43.33	41.08	40.35			39.87(-3.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-42	-10000	-6	-151	2.59	40%	0.05	-58.2	2.14%	0	-1.3	24	0
10	Jul_8_2008	42.73	43.66	41.37	40.62			41.39(3.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-40	-10000	3	-168	2.73	43%	-0.02	-60	2.11%	0	-0.9	25	0

11	Jul_7_2008	42.74	43.9	41.64	40.49			39.98(-0.84%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-58	-10000	-10	-200	2.13	39%	0.12	-65.5	2.07%	0	-1.5	16	0
12	Jul_3_2008	42.69	44.19	42.15	40.91			40.32(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-56	-10000	-9	-196	1.2	39%	0	-70.2	2.06%	0	-1.6	23	0
13	Jul_2_2008	42.69	44.56	42.77	41.29			40.2(-2.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-57	-10000	-15	-184	2.37	39%	0	-71.1	2.06%	0	-1.9	27	0
14	Jul_1_2008	42.69	44.92	43.39	41.92			41.2(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-44	-10000	-7	-156	4	47%	0.05	-70.3	2.04%	0	-1.7	34	0
15	Jun_30_2008	42.67	45.27	43.99	42.23			40.75(-3.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-48	-10000	-16	-142	3.26	47%	0.02	-68.7	2.1%	0	-2.2	28	0

16	Jun_27_2008	42.66	45.64	44.67	42.96			42.1(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-37	-10000	-13	-108	1.22	45%	0.09	-60.8	2.14%	0	-1.9	33	0
17	Jun_26_2008	42.62	45.99	45.14	43.58			42.19(-2.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-36	-10000	-19	-85	1.81	45%	0.12	-52.8	2.17%	0	-2.2	37	0
18	Jun_25_2008	42.57	46.29	45.55	44.5			43.38(1.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-24	-10000	-12	-61	2.03	48%	0.14	-42.3	2.16%	0	-1.9	34	0
19	Jun_24_2008	42.51	46.52	45.77	45.09			42.72(-3.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-28	-10000	-19	-55	3.63	58%	0.09	-35.5	2.16%	0	-2.7	33	0
20	Jun_23_2008	42.47	46.73	46.17	46.01			44.43(-1.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-14	-10000	-10	-27	1.71	63%	0.09	-29	2.47%	0	-2.1	35	0

21	Jun_20_2008	42.43	46.84	46.37	46.61			45.16(-3.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-8	-10000	-5	-16	2.4	66%	0.12	-25.4	2.48%	0	-1.7	37	0
22	Jun_19_2008	42.38	46.94	46.43	46.92			46.79(0.97%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-3	-10000	3	-20	1.08	71%	0.24	-27.6	2.51%	0	-0.2	38	0
23	Jun_18_2008	42.28	46.95	46.5	46.76			46.34(-2.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-4	-10000	3	-26	1.68	71%	0.17	-27.1	2.51%	0	-0.7	44	0
24	Jun_17_2008	42.21	47.02	46.57	46.56			47.32(-0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-7	-10000	3	-36	1.35	66%	0.21	-22.7	2.49%	0	0.3	47	0
25	Jun_16_2008	42.12	47.06	46.61	46.37			47.46(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-6	-10000	4	-35	2.54	66%		-7	2.54%	0	0.4	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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