Trading Signals: TIF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 9, 2006

Trading Signals: TIF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Jan. 6, 2021)

(Tiffany & Co.)
TIF latest price $39.9500 (2.57%) ($38.9800 - $40.4200) on Mon. Jan. 9, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.6% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $39.9500(2.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TIF advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TIF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(59%)    IWM(55%)    QQQ(53%)    SPY(53%)    EEM(50%)
Factors Impacting TIF price   TIF will decline at least -0.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-22%)    TIP(-14%)    GLD(-4%)    REMX(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.8% (StdDev 1.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.89(2.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.75(3.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.06(2.28%)
To recent high   -7.7%
To recent low   8.4%
Market Cap   $4.846b

Tiffany & Co. is a holding company, which engages in product design, manufacturing, and retailing through its subsidiaries. The firm also sells timepieces, leather goods, sterling silver goods, china, crystal, stationery, fragrances, and accessories. It operates through the following geographical segments: Americas, Asia-Pacific, Japan, Europe, and Other. The Americas segment includes in U.S., Canada, Mexico, Brazil, and Chile. The Asia-Pacific segment consists of China, Korea, Australia, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Singapore, Macau, Malaysia, New Zealand, and Thailand. The Japan segment comprises of 50 stores located within department stores. The Europe segment caters to the United Kingdom, Italy, Germany, France, Spain, Switzerland, the Netherlands, Austria, Belgium, the Czech Republic, Ireland, and Russia. The Other segment covers retail sales and wholesale distribution in the emerging markets region, wholesale of diamonds, and licensing agreements. The company was founded in 1837 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. TIF price fluctuates within 1.51% (three month std-dev: 1.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060209

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_9_2006	39.08	39.06	38.75	38.89			39.95(2.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	9	-10000	11	4	2.02	53%	0.15	-82.1	1.6%	0	1.5	55	0
2	Jan_6_2006	39.02	39.08	38.65	38.56			38.95(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-5	-10000	2	-24	1.03	49%	0.13	-96.8	1.58%	0	-0.2	40	0
3	Jan_5_2006	38.97	39.18	38.62	38.56			38.57(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	-10000	0	-42	1.36	45%	0.1	-86	1.58%	0	-0.9	31	0
4	Jan_4_2006	38.93	39.31	38.65	38.5			38.21(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-10000	-1	-46	1.72	45%	0.1	-80.4	1.61%	0	-1.4	42	0
5	Jan_3_2006	38.89	39.44	38.72	38.52			38.78(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-16	-10000	-2	-56	1.13	49%	0.18	-79.6	1.6%	0	-0.7	39	0

6	Dec_30_2005	38.82	39.55	38.76	38.59			38.29(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-10000	-5	-62	0.59	49%	0.08	-82	1.63%	0	-1.3	33	0
7	Dec_29_2005	38.79	39.68	38.9	38.76			38.63(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-10000	-0	-60	0.79	52%	0.1	-86.4	1.63%	0	-1.1	33	0
8	Dec_28_2005	38.75	39.79	39.06	38.77			38.58(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-10000	-2	-65	0.76	52%	0.13	-95	1.66%	0	-1.3	30	0
9	Dec_27_2005	38.7	39.96	39.13	38.83			38.3(-2.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-23	-10000	-4	-81	0.9	52%	0.23	-91	1.66%	0	-1.6	25	0
10	Dec_23_2005	38.61	40.17	39.3	38.83			39.16(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-21	-10000	0	-84	0.53	55%	0.16	-74.4	1.64%	0	-0.8	34	0

11	Dec_22_2005	38.55	40.36	39.4	38.95			39.11(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-26	-10000	-4	-93	1.42	55%	0.13	-72.1	1.64%	0	-1	32	0
12	Dec_21_2005	38.5	40.53	39.54	39.08			38.69(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	-10000	-10	-93	1.25	55%	0.1	-64.9	1.65%	0	-1.4	31	0
13	Dec_20_2005	38.46	40.71	39.77	39.4			38.89(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	-10000	-2	-73	1.46	55%	0.1	-56.4	1.65%	0	-1.5	34	0
14	Dec_19_2005	38.42	40.91	40.01	39.48			38.88(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-25	-10000	-7	-78	1.11	55%	0.13	-51.2	1.67%	0	-1.6	26	0
15	Dec_16_2005	38.37	41.11	40.22	39.7			39.17(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-10000	-6	-79	1.43	55%	0.13	-43.5	1.67%	0	-1.6	26	0

16	Dec_15_2005	38.32	41.27	40.42	39.91			39.78(-1.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-26	-10000	-5	-87	1	55%	0.13	-40.6	1.67%	0	-1.3	24	0
17	Dec_14_2005	38.27	41.37	40.53	40.07			40.29(2.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-26	-10000	-4	-93	2.67	52%	0.16	-41	1.67%	0	-1	35	0
18	Dec_13_2005	38.21	41.42	40.57	40.21			39.26(-1.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-35	-10000	-12	-104	2.03	49%	0.16	-37.8	1.67%	0	-2.1	29	0
19	Dec_12_2005	38.15	41.56	40.86	40.63			40(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-27	-10000	-6	-90	1.49	51%	0.13	-30.3	1.66%	0	-1.7	28	0
20	Dec_9_2005	38.1	41.64	41.1	40.82			40.22(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-25	-10000	-5	-84	2	51%	0.18	-24.8	1.66%	0	-1.7	29	0

21	Dec_8_2005	38.03	41.74	41.4	40.99			40.59(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-10000	-2	-68	2.25	48%	0.16	-10.9	1.66%	0	-1.5	39	0
22	Dec_7_2005	37.97	41.74	41.59	41.05			41(-0.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-13	-10000	2	-57	1.21	48%	0.18	9.7	1.68%	0	-1.1	47	0
23	Dec_6_2005	37.9	41.82	41.72	40.99			41.33(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-18	-10000	-5	-57	1.29	54%	0.19	24	1.68%	0	-0.7	53	0
24	Dec_5_2005	37.83	41.84	41.87	41.15			40.97(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-10000	-8	-40	1.44	54%	0.19	44.3	1.78%	0	-1.2	47	0
25	Dec_2_2005	37.76	41.85	42.06	41.45			41.06(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-10000	-12	-19	1.26	54%		73.8	1.8%	0	-1.1	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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