Trading Signals: TIF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 15, 2004

Trading Signals: TIF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Jan. 6, 2021)

(Tiffany & Co.)
TIF latest price $36.0400 (1.01%) ($35.8000 - $36.3600) on Thu. Jul. 15, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.01% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $36.0400(1.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TIF advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TIF declines -2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TIF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(59%)    IWM(55%)    SPY(53%)    QQQ(52%)    EEM(50%)
Factors Impacting TIF price   TIF will decline at least -1.005% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-21%)    TIP(-14%)    REMX(1%)    LQD(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.005% (StdDev 2.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $30.2(-16.2%)
Resistance Level   $36.39
5 Day Moving Average   $35.44(1.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.53(1.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.39(-0.96%)
To recent high   -13.2%
To recent low   10.9%
Market Cap   $4.372b

Tiffany & Co. is a holding company, which engages in product design, manufacturing, and retailing through its subsidiaries. The firm also sells timepieces, leather goods, sterling silver goods, china, crystal, stationery, fragrances, and accessories. It operates through the following geographical segments: Americas, Asia-Pacific, Japan, Europe, and Other. The Americas segment includes in U.S., Canada, Mexico, Brazil, and Chile. The Asia-Pacific segment consists of China, Korea, Australia, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Singapore, Macau, Malaysia, New Zealand, and Thailand. The Japan segment comprises of 50 stores located within department stores. The Europe segment caters to the United Kingdom, Italy, Germany, France, Spain, Switzerland, the Netherlands, Austria, Belgium, the Czech Republic, Ireland, and Russia. The Other segment covers retail sales and wholesale distribution in the emerging markets region, wholesale of diamonds, and licensing agreements. The company was founded in 1837 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. TIF price fluctuates within 2.8% (three month std-dev: 2.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040815

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_15_2004	37.77	36.39	35.53	35.44			36.04(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-13	-10000	6	-69	1.07	42%	-0.11	-43.9	2.01%	0	-0.3	38	0
2	Jul_14_2004	37.81	36.45	35.6	35.21			35.68(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-23	-10000	-1	-88	1.07	42%	-0.03	-51.6	2.02%	0	-0.7	36	0
3	Jul_13_2004	37.82	36.53	35.69	35.23			35.71(3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-21	-10000	2	-88	0.81	40%	-0.05	-51.4	2.03%	0	-0.8	42	0
4	Jul_12_2004	37.84	36.6	35.85	35.15			34.67(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	-10000	-6	-100	0.94	37%	-0.13	-50.9	2.01%	0	-1.9	28	0
5	Jul_9_2004	37.89	36.74	36.17	35.37			35.12(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-29	-10000	-8	-92	0.47	37%	-0.13	-43.9	2%	0	-1.7	32	0

6	Jul_8_2004	37.94	36.84	36.41	35.64			34.85(-2.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-28	-10000	-11	-79	0.66	37%	-0.16	-35.9	2.02%	0	-2.3	37	0
7	Jul_7_2004	38	36.98	36.68	36.04			35.81(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-10000	-5	-59	0.62	39%	-0.13	-14.6	1.99%	0	-1.6	41	0
8	Jul_6_2004	38.05	37.07	36.79	36.21			35.29(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-24	-10000	-12	-59	1.04	39%	-0.11	5.6	1.98%	0	-2.7	35	0
9	Jul_2_2004	38.09	37.13	37.06	36.66			35.76(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-18	-10000	-12	-34	0.42	39%	-0.1	40	1.96%	0	-2.5	42	0
10	Jul_1_2004	38.13	37.13	37.27	37.09			36.48(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-7	-10000	-6	-9	0.77	40%	-0.1	74.1	1.96%	0	-1.3	45	0

11	Jun_30_2004	38.17	37.15	37.34	37.29			36.85(0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-2	-10000	-3	2	0.83	40%	-0.05	96.6	1.95%	0	-0.6	49	0
12	Jun_29_2004	38.19	37.09	37.38	37.41			36.69(-2.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	1	-10000	-1	6	1.01	40%	-0.1	91	1.95%	0	-0.6	44	0
13	Jun_28_2004	38.23	37.03	37.46	37.44			37.52(-0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	-10000	-2	7	0.41	42%	-0.05	105	1.93%	0	0.7	51	0
14	Jun_25_2004	38.25	36.92	37.42	37.52			37.89(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	6	-10000	1	19	1.26	51%	-0.03	103.4	1.96%	0	1.3	67	0
15	Jun_24_2004	38.26	36.76	37.34	37.49			37.52(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	8	-10000	2	26	0.47	48%	-0.03	100.4	2.06%	0	0.9	67	0

16	Jun_23_2004	38.27	36.64	37.34	37.4			37.42(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	8	-10000	1	28	0.97	48%	-0.05	92.3	2.08%	0	0.8	61	0
17	Jun_22_2004	38.29	36.5	37.3	37.35			36.85(-2.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	8	-10000	-3	40	1.21	46%	-0.05	95.3	2.08%	0	0.3	65	0
18	Jun_21_2004	38.31	36.34	37.37	37.47			37.94(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-10000	5	64	1.15	48%	-0.05	91.7	2.09%	0	1.5	75	0
19	Jun_18_2004	38.33	36.14	37.19	37.29			37.73(1.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	19	-10000	3	65	1.26	48%	-0.05	79.4	2.09%	0	1.3	77	0
20	Jun_17_2004	38.35	35.93	37.02	37.18			37.08(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-10000	-0	70	0.7	48%	-0.08	61.8	2.08%	0	0.9	76	0

21	Jun_16_2004	38.38	35.78	36.95	37.19			37.16(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	19	-10000	-2	81	1.2	48%	-0.1	47.7	2.09%	0	1	72	0
22	Jun_15_2004	38.42	35.56	36.78	37.19			37.42(1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	24	-10000	0	94	1.11	48%	-0.1	36.9	2.09%	0	1.4	78	0
23	Jun_14_2004	38.46	35.36	36.58	37.25			37.05(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	-10000	5	112	1.33	48%	-0.13	24	2.1%	0	1.2	81	0
24	Jun_10_2004	38.51	35.21	36.39	37.07			37.21(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	33	-10000	7	112	1	47%	-0.1	7.8	2.18%	0	1.4	77	0
25	Jun_9_2004	38.55	35.17	36.14	36.81			37.09(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	-10000	4	110	1.01	47%		-5.9	2.19%	0	1.4	79	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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