Trading Signals: TIF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 3, 2003

Trading Signals: TIF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Jan. 6, 2021)

(Tiffany & Co.)
TIF latest price $48.3600 (1.92%) ($47.4500 - $48.4100) on Mon. Nov. 3, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.77% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $48.3600(1.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TIF advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TIF advances 5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TIF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(59%)    IWM(54%)    QQQ(52%)    SPY(52%)    EEM(49%)
Factors Impacting TIF price   TIF will decline at least -0.885% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-20%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(2%)    XLU(28%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.885% (StdDev 1.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.08(2.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.72(5.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.73(10.59%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   46.2%
Market Cap   $5.866b

Tiffany & Co. is a holding company, which engages in product design, manufacturing, and retailing through its subsidiaries. The firm also sells timepieces, leather goods, sterling silver goods, china, crystal, stationery, fragrances, and accessories. It operates through the following geographical segments: Americas, Asia-Pacific, Japan, Europe, and Other. The Americas segment includes in U.S., Canada, Mexico, Brazil, and Chile. The Asia-Pacific segment consists of China, Korea, Australia, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Singapore, Macau, Malaysia, New Zealand, and Thailand. The Japan segment comprises of 50 stores located within department stores. The Europe segment caters to the United Kingdom, Italy, Germany, France, Spain, Switzerland, the Netherlands, Austria, Belgium, the Czech Republic, Ireland, and Russia. The Other segment covers retail sales and wholesale distribution in the emerging markets region, wholesale of diamonds, and licensing agreements. The company was founded in 1837 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. TIF price fluctuates within 6.22% (three month std-dev: 1.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20031203

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_3_2003	37.64	43.73	45.72	47.08			48.36(1.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	58	-10000	18	177	1.07	75%	0.4	84.4	1.77%	0	1.7	78	0
2	Oct_31_2003	37.49	43.26	45.18	46.34			47.45(1.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	54	-10000	19	157	0.96	74%	0.37	81	1.78%	0	1.6	79	0
3	Oct_30_2003	37.35	42.82	44.65	45.57			46.8(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	-10000	14	135	1.03	74%	0.35	77.1	1.78%	0	1.5	82	0
4	Oct_29_2003	37.22	42.4	44.26	45			46.81(1.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	43	-10000	14	129	1.73	74%	0.35	73.9	1.79%	0	1.7	81	0
5	Oct_28_2003	37.09	41.99	43.86	44.46			46(3.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	40	-10000	7	137	1.16	74%	0.32	69.6	1.79%	0	1.6	84	0

6	Oct_27_2003	36.97	41.55	43.54	44.17			44.62(2.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	46	-10000	8	160	0.7	73%	0.3	65.6	1.77%	0	1.3	80	0
7	Oct_24_2003	36.86	41.22	43.27	43.87			43.62(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	50	-10000	8	176	0.83	72%	0.27	59.5	1.75%	0	1	79	0
8	Oct_23_2003	36.76	40.91	43	43.57			43.96(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	49	-10000	5	182	0.88	72%	0.27	51.6	1.74%	0	1.3	81	0
9	Oct_22_2003	36.66	40.61	42.69	43.38			44.08(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	54	-10000	6	197	1.09	72%	0.3	48.3	1.74%	0	1.5	83	0
10	Oct_21_2003	36.55	40.32	42.17	43.16			44.57(3.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	56	-10000	9	195	2.45	72%	0.33	47.3	1.74%	0	1.9	86	0

11	Oct_20_2003	36.43	40.04	41.61	42.83			43.1(2.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	54	-10000	6	199	1.02	70%	0.28	49.2	1.72%	0	1.6	86	0
12	Oct_17_2003	36.33	39.82	41.2	42.6			42.15(-1.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	57	-10000	8	202	0.63	69%	0.3	51.3	1.71%	0	1.3	76	0
13	Oct_16_2003	36.22	39.7	40.87	42.31			43(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	61	-10000	12	209	1.26	72%	0.3	51.7	1.71%	0	1.9	85	0
14	Oct_15_2003	36.11	39.51	40.41	41.87			43(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	69	-10000	25	199	1.74	72%	0.31	53.9	1.71%	0	2.2	74	0
15	Oct_14_2003	36	39.31	39.96	41.01			42.9(2.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	57	-10000	23	160	1.06	72%	0.19	51.4	1.71%	0	2.6	72	0

16	Oct_13_2003	35.93	39.09	39.39	40.22			41.94(3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	40	-10000	18	105	0.85	70%	0.31	48.8	1.7%	0	2.6	61	0
17	Oct_10_2003	35.82	38.91	38.98	39.6			40.72(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	25	-10000	12	64	0.65	70%	0.31	38	1.7%	0	2	58	0
18	Oct_9_2003	35.71	38.81	38.62	39.21			40.77(5.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	15	-10000	13	22	2.44	70%	0.31	29.9	1.72%	0	2.5	52	0
19	Oct_8_2003	35.6	38.69	38.34	38.76			38.7(-0.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-4	-10000	1	-19	0.95	66%	0.25	9.5	1.62%	0	0	43	0
20	Oct_7_2003	35.51	38.62	38.31	38.74			38.95(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	-10000	10	-25	0.83	69%	0.25	-5.2	1.62%	0	0.4	47	0

21	Oct_6_2003	35.42	38.62	38.33	38.42			38.88(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	-10000	5	-41	0.85	69%	0.25	-28.4	1.67%	0	0.4	49	0
22	Oct_3_2003	35.33	38.57	38.34	38.25			38.77(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-3	-10000	10	-42	1.02	69%	0.23	-33.5	1.68%	0	0.3	53	0
23	Oct_2_2003	35.25	38.58	38.44	37.93			38.5(-0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-12	-10000	2	-55	0.85	69%	0.23	-41	1.68%	0	-0.1	46	0
24	Oct_1_2003	35.17	38.62	38.54	37.87			38.6(3.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-12	-10000	1	-49	1.15	69%	0.31	-34.1	1.68%	0	-0	52	0
25	Sep_30_2003	35.06	38.66	38.61	37.83			37.33(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-10000	-13	-42	1.4	66%		-28.3	1.63%	0	-1.6	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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