Trading Signals: TGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 3, 2016

Trading Signals: TGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Target Corporation)
TGT latest price $72.5700 (-1.01%) ($71.6000 - $73.9400) on Wed. Feb. 3, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.52% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $72.5700(-1.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TGT advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TGT advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XRT(53%)    XLY(50%)    VYM(46%)    XLP(46%)    VT(45%)
Factors Impacting TGT price   TGT will decline at least -0.76% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-10%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-4%)    GDXJ(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.76% (StdDev 1.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $72.42(0.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $71.15(2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $71.22(1.9%)
To recent high   -7.2%
To recent low   7.4%
Market Cap   $36.303b

Target Corp. engages in owning and operating of general merchandise stores. It offers curated general merchandise and food assortments including perishables, dry grocery, dairy, and frozen items. The company was founded by George Draper Dayton in 1902 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, MN.

$. TGT price fluctuates within 2.56% (three month std-dev: 1.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160303

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_3_2016	74.34	71.22	71.15	72.42			72.57(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10000	7	83	5.44	34%	-0.07	-13.7	1.52%	0	0.7	52	0
2	Feb_2_2016	74.39	71.3	70.67	72.05			73.31(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	-10000	11	45	4.64	34%	-0.05	-13.8	1.52%	0	1	47	0
3	Feb_1_2016	74.43	71.29	70.24	71.47			72.83(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	-10000	14	13	4.71	34%	-0.08	-21	1.52%	0	0.8	49	0
4	Jan_29_2016	74.49	71.27	69.93	70.69			72.42(2.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	3	-10000	10	-20	5.18	34%	-0.05	-34.4	1.53%	0	0.6	52	0
5	Jan_28_2016	74.53	71.31	69.69	70.15			70.99(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	-10000	9	-56	4.07	34%	-0.09	-39.6	1.5%	0	-0.2	39	0

6	Jan_27_2016	74.6	71.47	69.72	69.68			70.69(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-12	-10000	12	-82	3.96	34%	-0.11	-39	1.52%	0	-0.4	38	0
7	Jan_26_2016	74.68	71.57	69.94	69.06			70.44(2.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-24	-10000	5	-112	4.05	34%	-0.05	-42.7	1.53%	0	-0.5	35	0
8	Jan_25_2016	74.72	71.71	70.11	68.82			68.92(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-36	-10000	-4	-132	5.31	30%	-0.11	-44.5	1.51%	0	-1.3	36	0
9	Jan_22_2016	74.8	71.95	70.36	69.05			69.72(1.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-32	-10000	-2	-121	3.74	25%	-0.11	-43.3	1.65%	0	-1.1	42	0
10	Jan_21_2016	74.88	72.11	70.75	69.19			68.64(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-38	-10000	-10	-122	6.87	30%	-0.12	-43.7	1.64%	0	-1.7	35	0

11	Jan_20_2016	74.97	72.29	71.29	69.79			67.59(-2.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-43	-10000	-20	-111	9.4	30%	-0.11	-41.3	1.67%	0	-2.5	29	0
12	Jan_19_2016	75.05	72.51	72.03	70.95			69.24(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-26	-10000	-11	-70	5.65	32%	-0.16	-33.2	1.64%	0	-2.2	40	0
13	Jan_15_2016	75.17	72.68	72.48	71.58			70.08(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-15	-10000	-4	-49	7.44	31%	-0.11	-25.7	1.63%	0	-2	41	0
14	Jan_14_2016	75.25	72.88	72.76	71.84			70.41(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-22	-10000	-12	-51	6.28	29%	-0.08	-16	1.63%	0	-2.2	40	0
15	Jan_13_2016	75.31	73.02	73.11	72.54			71.64(-2.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-13	-10000	-8	-26	5.96	30%	-0.04	2.2	1.68%	0	-1.4	48	0

16	Jan_12_2016	75.34	73.08	73.39	73.02			73.36(1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-4	-10000	-5	1	4.85	31%	-0.03	13.8	1.65%	0	0.3	57	0
17	Jan_11_2016	75.36	73.01	73.35	73.32			72.42(1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	1	-10000	-4	16	6.37	31%	-0.08	13.1	1.64%	0	-0.6	56	0
18	Jan_8_2016	75.42	73.02	73.44	73.55			71.38(-3.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-2.2	4	-10000	-4	27	7.75	31%	-0.12	14.9	1.63%	0	-1.7	48	0
19	Jan_7_2016	75.51	73.06	73.69	73.79			73.88(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	-10000	1	37	11.29	34%	-0.11	23.8	1.58%	0	0.9	50	0
20	Jan_6_2016	75.59	73	73.57	73.74			74.08(-1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	8	-10000	-1	34	4.92	33%	-0.08	22	1.58%	0	1.2	54	0

21	Jan_5_2016	75.65	72.95	73.34	73.81			74.84(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	14	-10000	7	35	8.19	33%	-0.05	29.5	1.59%	0	2.1	58	0
22	Jan_4_2016	75.69	72.89	73	73.42			73.55(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	6	-10000	1	20	8.23	30%	-0.12	22.4	1.57%	0	0.8	58	0
23	Dec_31_2015	75.78	72.87	72.87	73.34			72.61(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	1	-10000	-4	16	3.49	30%	-0.09	20.6	1.56%	0	-0.3	52	0
24	Dec_30_2015	75.85	72.84	72.99	73.55			73.62(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10000	3	34	2.14	30%	-0.07	21.8	1.56%	0	1	58	0
25	Dec_29_2015	75.9	72.8	72.91	73.35			74.44(2.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	16	-10000	10	33	4.55	30%		18.7	1.56%	0	2.1	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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