Trading Signals: TGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 4, 2015

Trading Signals: TGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Target Corporation)
TGT latest price $73.9000 (0.97%) ($73.1100 - $74.2400) on Fri. Dec. 4, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.58% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $73.9000(0.97%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TGT advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TGT advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XRT(53%)    XLY(50%)    VYM(46%)    XLP(46%)    VT(45%)
Factors Impacting TGT price   TGT will decline at least -0.79% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    TLT(-11%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    GDXJ(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.79% (StdDev 1.58%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $72.87(1.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $72.72(1.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $73.18(0.98%)
To recent high   -7.1%
To recent low   5.9%
Market Cap   $36.969b

Target Corp. engages in owning and operating of general merchandise stores. It offers curated general merchandise and food assortments including perishables, dry grocery, dairy, and frozen items. The company was founded by George Draper Dayton in 1902 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, MN.

$. TGT price fluctuates within 2.69% (three month std-dev: 1.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_4_2015	77.31	73.18	72.72	72.87			73.9(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	-10000	2	37	6.49	31%	-0.15	-55.8	1.58%	0	0.4	58	0
2	Dec_3_2015	77.43	73.36	72.39	72.87			73.19(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	4	-10000	0	14	7.23	31%	-0.14	-47.2	1.59%	0	-0.1	43	0
3	Dec_2_2015	77.54	73.55	72.07	72.77			71.93(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5	-10000	-3	-12	5.57	31%	-0.15	-42.3	1.57%	0	-0.7	39	0
4	Dec_1_2015	77.66	73.85	72.16	72.96			72.81(0.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-5	-10000	2	-24	4.36	29%	-0.15	-32.3	1.59%	0	-0.4	34	0
5	Nov_30_2015	77.78	74.07	72.1	72.85			72.5(-1.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-7	-10000	6	-44	7.75	29%	-0.14	-27.2	1.62%	0	-0.6	37	0

6	Nov_27_2015	77.89	74.3	72.03	72.52			73.44(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	-10000	10	-77	2.6	31%	-0.19	-23.5	1.61%	0	-0.3	36	0
7	Nov_25_2015	78.04	74.43	72.14	71.94			73.16(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-18	-10000	11	-104	5.6	35%	-0.15	-31.4	1.68%	0	-0.5	33	0
8	Nov_24_2015	78.16	74.59	72.27	71.94			72.89(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-34	-10000	0	-137	4.8	33%	-0.13	-39.3	1.7%	0	-0.6	36	0
9	Nov_23_2015	78.26	74.69	72.64	71.27			72.28(2.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-35	-10000	-0	-138	5.45	33%	-0.08	-39.5	1.76%	0	-0.9	32	0
10	Nov_20_2015	78.32	74.79	73.01	71.28			70.83(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-39	-10000	-3	-145	5.99	29%	-0.14	-41.3	1.77%	0	-1.5	31	0

11	Nov_19_2015	78.43	74.93	73.64	71.49			70.55(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-47	-10000	-14	-146	8.34	29%	-0.17	-44.8	1.77%	0	-1.8	30	0
12	Nov_18_2015	78.56	75.28	74.39	72.36			69.78(-4.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-42	-10000	-16	-121	25.04	31%	-0.15	-35.3	1.76%	0	-2.4	32	0
13	Nov_17_2015	78.68	75.63	75.18	73.38			72.91(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	-10000	-14	-96	9.08	33%	-0.11	-27.1	1.7%	0	-1.4	39	0
14	Nov_16_2015	78.77	75.73	75.72	74.24			72.31(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-24	-10000	-12	-60	8.94	33%	-0.15	-26.8	1.7%	0	-1.9	45	0
15	Nov_13_2015	78.89	75.88	76.24	75.02			71.89(-4.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-20	-10000	-17	-30	8.16	33%	-0.16	-28.8	1.7%	0	-2.4	47	0

16	Nov_12_2015	79.02	76.06	76.81	76.09			74.93(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-3	-10000	-10	19	5.8	36%	-0.11	-25.1	1.63%	0	-0.8	62	0
17	Nov_11_2015	79.11	76.08	76.98	76.73			74.87(-3.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	3	-10000	-8	34	7.44	36%	-0.13	-24.5	1.63%	0	-0.9	44	0
18	Nov_10_2015	79.21	76.16	77.15	77.24			77.19(1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	11	-10000	-3	51	3.94	38%	-0.09	-20.8	1.59%	0	0.7	53	0
19	Nov_9_2015	79.28	76.22	76.92	77.44			76.23(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	13	-10000	-3	60	5.53	38%	-0.1	-13.6	1.58%	0	0	57	0
20	Nov_6_2015	79.36	76.36	76.74	77.65			77.22(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	17	-10000	0	66	4.48	38%	-0.08	-10.3	1.57%	0	0.5	59	0

21	Nov_5_2015	79.42	76.42	76.34	77.64			78.15(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10000	6	60	3.22	38%	-0.05	-12.1	1.57%	0	1	60	0
22	Nov_4_2015	79.46	76.43	76.21	77.27			77.39(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-10000	4	60	3.73	38%	-0.04	-20.1	1.56%	0	0.5	58	0
23	Nov_3_2015	79.49	76.47	76.09	77.04			78.23(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	-10000	12	58	3.74	37%	-0.03	-23.6	1.56%	0	1	56	0
24	Nov_2_2015	79.51	76.44	75.7	76.34			77.26(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-10000	11	18	4.15	37%	-0.04	-32.9	1.56%	0	0.4	43	0
25	Oct_30_2015	79.54	76.54	75.43	75.69			77.18(1.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	7	-10000	15	-19	4.95	37%		-36.7	1.56%	0	0.3	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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