Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TCOM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jan. 7, 2020

Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 16, 2006 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Trip.com Group Limited)
TCOM latest price $37.3300 (4.6%) ($35.4400 - $37.8400) on Tue. Jan. 7, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.33% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $37.3300(4.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TCOM advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TCOM advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TCOM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IYT(36%)    XLC(36%)    EEM(27%)    IDRV(26%)    PAVE(26%)
Factors Impacting TCOM price   TCOM will decline at least -1.165% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-11%)    VXX(-8%)    IGOV(-2%)    UUP(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.165% (StdDev 2.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.94(3.87%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.27(5.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.39(8.55%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   29.4%
Market Cap   $22.139b

Trip.com Group Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. TCOM price fluctuates within 3.98% (three month std-dev: 2.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 6.33%(54%) Average negative next day return: -1.73%(46%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 11%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -1.96%(62%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 9.26%(31%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.81%(69%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200207

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_7_2020	32.63	34.39	35.27	35.94	36.09	36.11	37.33(4.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	41	20	28	79	8.59	59%	0.06	74.4	2.33%	0	2.1	69	0.6
2	Jan_6_2020	32.61	34.16	34.98	35.32	35.39	35.93	35.69(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	110	6	52	2.4	56%	0.06	64.8	2.27%	0	1.2	65	0.6
3	Jan_3_2020	32.59	33.98	34.82	35.1	35.09	36.08	36.18(-2.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	46	200	40	64	2.57	58%	0.12	58.2	2.27%	0	1.7	71	0.5
4	Jan_2_2020	32.55	33.76	34.63	34.78	34.7	34.85	36.97(10.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.8	42	20	34	65	6.97	58%	0.12	48.9	2.27%	0	2.7	83	1.3
5	Dec_31_2019	32.51	33.48	34.31	34.28	34.35	34.1	33.54(-1.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-4	-40	-21	47	1.8	48%	0.03	35.2	1.89%	0	0.1	73	0.9

6	Dec_30_2019	32.5	33.4	34.37	34.5	34.51	34.55	34.2(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	18	10	-5	85	1.68	50%	0	38	1.88%	0	0.7	77	0.4
7	Dec_27_2019	32.5	33.35	34.34	34.58	34.6	34.61	34.61(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	31	0	7	104	1.36	50%	0	50	1.88%	0	1.1	68	0.9
8	Dec_26_2019	32.5	33.27	34.21	34.49	34.53	34.48	34.57(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	-10	0	106	0.74	43%	-0.03	57.4	1.91%	0	1.2	72	1.2
9	Dec_24_2019	32.51	33.18	33.96	34.43	34.43	34.48	34.47(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	28	30	4	100	0.5	43%	0.03	66.8	2.12%	0	1.2	75	1.3
10	Dec_23_2019	32.5	33.09	33.71	34.34	34.35	34.59	34.66(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	36	50	13	105	2.35	41%	-0.06	73.8	2.12%	0	1.6	78	1.2

11	Dec_20_2019	32.52	32.96	33.46	34.23	34.19	34.27	34.57(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	10	9	100	6.06	41%	-0.09	81.6	2.16%	0	1.7	71	1.5
12	Dec_19_2019	32.55	32.79	33.28	34.07	34.11	34.11	34.16(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	0	7	91	2.57	41%	-0.15	75.4	2.16%	0	1.4	55	1.8
13	Dec_18_2019	32.6	32.63	33.09	33.88	34.02	34.1	34.31(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	30	17	81	2.67	38%	-0.15	61.6	2.18%	0	1.7	56	1.7
14	Dec_17_2019	32.65	32.49	32.82	33.41	33.67	34.12	34(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	120	23	52	2.76	38%	-0.15	40.4	2.22%	0	1.7	57	2.1
15	Dec_16_2019	32.7	32.36	32.57	32.98	33.14	33.94	34.09(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	32	180	34	27	2.62	38%	-0.15	16.2	2.23%	0	2	58	2.2

16	Dec_13_2019	32.75	32.21	32.33	32.58	32.62	33.22	33.78(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	23	130	29	3	3.91	42%	-0.21	-13.7	2.23%	0	2	60	2.2
17	Dec_12_2019	32.82	32.08	32.25	32.39	32.28	32.35	33.21(3.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	10	0	12	4	3.77	39%	-0.21	-43.9	2.26%	0	1.5	65	1.6
18	Dec_11_2019	32.89	32.05	32.22	32.2	32.33	32.01	31.97(0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-60	-3	4	1.1	41%	-0.27	-68.3	2.24%	0	-0.1	60	0.3
19	Dec_10_2019	32.98	32.13	32.31	32.14	32.32	32.21	31.85(-0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-10	-6	10	2.17	41%	-0.21	-68.7	2.36%	0	-0.4	53	-0.1
20	Dec_9_2019	33.05	32.22	32.41	32.06	32.22	32.64	32.07(-2.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	12	110	8	22	2.06	41%	-0.18	-65.2	2.38%	0	-0.2	56	-0.2

21	Dec_6_2019	33.11	32.32	32.44	32.03	31.97	32.43	32.87(2.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	100	13	31	2.35	43%	-0.15	-55.7	2.36%	0	0.6	64	1.1
22	Dec_5_2019	33.16	32.4	32.26	32.1	31.88	31.8	32.22(1.7%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	6	-40	-2	28	2.29	46%	-0.18	-36.7	2.37%	0	-0.2	59	0.6
23	Dec_4_2019	33.22	32.53	32.26	32.28	32.14	31.51	31.68(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-11	-150	-20	16	2.35	49%	-0.15	-16.8	2.41%	0	-0.7	42	0.4
24	Dec_3_2019	33.27	32.69	32.16	32.52	32.52	31.97	31.48(-1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-18	-120	-27	9	4.22	49%	-0.18	0.8	2.46%	0	-1	35	-0.5
25	Dec_2_2019	33.33	32.8	32.17	32.79	32.85	32.78	31.88(-4.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-4	-10	-9	11	4.54	49%		16.4	2.47%	0	-0.7	36	0.6
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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