Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TCOM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jan. 12, 2018

Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 16, 2006 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Trip.com Group Limited)
TCOM latest price $47.6600 (-0.1%) ($47.5900 - $48.2000) on Fri. Jan. 12, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.7% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $47.6600(-0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TCOM advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TCOM advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TCOM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(55%)    MCHI(50%)    FXI(47%)    VWO(42%)    EEM(37%)
Factors Impacting TCOM price   TCOM will decline at least -0.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    TLT(-4%)    BNDX(-4%)    VIXM(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.85% (StdDev 1.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.48(0.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.83(1.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.69(4.31%)
To recent high   -14.1%
To recent low   10.9%
Market Cap   $28.266b

Trip.com Group Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. TCOM price fluctuates within 3% (three month std-dev: 1.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.22%(40%) Average negative next day return: -1.26%(60%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 1.8%(58%) Average negative next three day return: -1.74%(42%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 2.87%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.92%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180212

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_12_2018	48.89	45.69	46.83	47.48	47.59	47.73	47.66(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	30	10	112	3.78	36%	-0.1	78	1.7%	0	1.4	68	INF
2	Jan_11_2018	48.94	45.49	46.55	47.42	47.45	47.51	47.71(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	10	12	115	3.43	36%	-0.12	72.1	1.7%	0	1.6	70	INF
3	Jan_10_2018	49	45.26	46.24	47.12	47.29	47.45	47.15(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	32	30	7	105	2.98	36%	-0.1	59.2	1.7%	0	1.4	68	INF
4	Jan_9_2018	49.05	45.06	45.97	47.01	47.13	47.39	47.67(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	41	50	19	106	4.63	36%	-0.1	47.8	1.7%	0	2	70	INF
5	Jan_8_2018	49.1	44.82	45.7	46.69	46.92	47.14	47.2(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	50	50	31	108	3.11	36%	-0.06	31.8	1.69%	0	1.9	71	INF

6	Jan_5_2018	49.13	44.64	45.44	46.07	46.51	46.87	47.37(2.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	44	80	29	90	5.79	36%	-0.04	9.9	1.69%	0	2.3	74	INF
7	Jan_4_2018	49.15	44.52	45.13	45.55	45.93	46.7	46.21(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	45	140	34	77	3.92	35%	-0.08	-7.7	1.67%	0	1.7	70	INF
8	Jan_3_2018	49.19	44.49	44.94	45.23	45.45	46.14	46.6(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	59	120	52	78	5.76	39%	-0.1	-21.3	1.69%	0	2.3	75	INF
9	Jan_2_2018	49.24	44.49	44.71	44.77	44.86	45.16	46.07(4.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	30	50	21	55	7.91	39%	-0.24	-42.3	1.72%	0	1.9	74	INF
10	Dec_29_2017	49.36	44.44	44.5	44.59	44.58	44.75	44.1(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	14	30	1	51	4.07	32%	-0.2	-50.2	1.62%	0	-0.4	66	INF

11	Dec_28_2017	49.46	44.53	44.46	44.72	44.67	44.55	44.75(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	20	-20	7	60	1.59	32%	-0.26	-53.2	1.61%	0	0.2	60	INF
12	Dec_27_2017	49.59	44.59	44.35	44.65	44.63	44.42	44.64(0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	1	-30	-11	37	2.95	32%	-0.3	-59.2	1.62%	0	0	43	INF
13	Dec_26_2017	49.74	44.68	44.22	44.58	44.69	44.79	44.3(-1.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	20	-2	18	2.78	32%	-0.42	-59.9	1.62%	0	-0.3	36	INF
14	Dec_22_2017	49.95	44.8	44.12	44.63	44.66	44.84	45.15(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	30	18	6	2.67	34%	-0.26	-53.8	1.61%	0	0.3	38	INF
15	Dec_21_2017	50.08	44.91	43.9	44.4	44.48	44.59	44.75(0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	4	20	15	-31	2.62	34%	-0.26	-55.4	1.6%	0	-0.1	33	INF

16	Dec_20_2017	50.21	45.06	43.79	44.16	44.26	44.47	44.4(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	40	12	-62	1.89	34%	-0.3	-48.7	1.6%	0	-0.4	33	INF
17	Dec_19_2017	50.36	45.23	43.86	44	44.04	44.37	44.32(-0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	60	21	-74	3.4	34%	-0.32	-40.8	1.6%	0	-0.6	31	INF
18	Dec_18_2017	50.52	45.38	43.99	43.8	43.76	44.06	44.51(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	50	24	-89	5.45	34%	-0.3	-41.1	1.6%	0	-0.5	29	INF
19	Dec_15_2017	50.67	45.54	44.13	43.53	43.47	43.72	44.01(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-15	40	17	-110	7.03	34%	-0.3	-39	1.61%	0	-0.9	23	INF
20	Dec_14_2017	50.82	45.68	44.34	43.33	43.28	43.47	43.57(-0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-30	30	6	-136	4.68	34%	-0.33	-41.2	1.6%	0	-1.2	14	INF

21	Dec_13_2017	50.99	45.81	44.58	43.37	43.31	43.23	43.59(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-46	-20	-9	-156	5.39	34%	-0.27	-42.7	1.6%	0	-1.4	13	INF
22	Dec_12_2017	51.13	45.91	44.85	43.7	43.51	43.1	43.34(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-67	-80	-34	-166	5.16	34%	-0.29	-41.2	1.61%	0	-1.6	10	INF
23	Dec_11_2017	51.28	46.08	45.18	44.23	44.06	43.39	43.16(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-73	-120	-46	-155	4.55	37%	-0.29	-33.5	1.61%	0	-2	19	INF
24	Dec_8_2017	51.43	46.23	45.56	44.82	44.78	43.92	42.98(-1.78%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-77	-140	-55	-141	7.23	37%	-0.27	-28	1.62%	0	-2.6	16	INF
25	Dec_7_2017	51.57	46.39	46.03	45.49	45.41	44.74	43.76(-3.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-64	-110	-50	-106	11.23	41%		-19.4	1.62%	0	-2.6	31	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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