Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TCOM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Dec. 18, 2017

Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 16, 2006 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Trip.com Group Limited)
TCOM latest price $44.5100 (1.14%) ($43.7700 - $44.7000) on Mon. Dec. 18, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.6% (three month average)
RSI   29
Latest Price   $44.5100(1.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TCOM advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TCOM declines -2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TCOM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(55%)    MCHI(50%)    FXI(48%)    VWO(42%)    EEM(37%)
Factors Impacting TCOM price   TCOM will decline at least -0.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    TLT(-4%)    BNDX(-4%)    VIXM(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.8% (StdDev 1.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $37.18(-16.47%)
Resistance Level   $45.38
5 Day Moving Average   $43.8(1.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.99(1.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.38(-1.92%)
To recent high   -20.8%
To recent low   3.6%
Market Cap   $26.398b

Trip.com Group Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. TCOM price fluctuates within 3.7% (three month std-dev: 1.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 0.89%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.02%(67%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 1.41%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -2.61%(56%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 4.58%(11%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.61%(89%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180118

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_18_2017	50.52	45.38	43.99	43.8	43.76	44.06	44.51(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	50	24	-89	5.45	34%	-0.3	-41.1	1.6%	0	-0.5	29	INF
2	Dec_15_2017	50.67	45.54	44.13	43.53	43.47	43.72	44.01(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-15	40	17	-110	7.03	34%	-0.3	-39	1.61%	0	-0.9	23	INF
3	Dec_14_2017	50.82	45.68	44.34	43.33	43.28	43.47	43.57(-0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-30	30	6	-136	4.68	34%	-0.33	-41.2	1.6%	0	-1.2	14	INF
4	Dec_13_2017	50.99	45.81	44.58	43.37	43.31	43.23	43.59(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-46	-20	-9	-156	5.39	34%	-0.27	-42.7	1.6%	0	-1.4	13	INF
5	Dec_12_2017	51.13	45.91	44.85	43.7	43.51	43.1	43.34(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-67	-80	-34	-166	5.16	34%	-0.29	-41.2	1.61%	0	-1.6	10	INF

6	Dec_11_2017	51.28	46.08	45.18	44.23	44.06	43.39	43.16(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-73	-120	-46	-155	4.55	37%	-0.29	-33.5	1.61%	0	-2	19	INF
7	Dec_8_2017	51.43	46.23	45.56	44.82	44.78	43.92	42.98(-1.78%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-77	-140	-55	-141	7.23	37%	-0.27	-28	1.62%	0	-2.6	16	INF
8	Dec_7_2017	51.57	46.39	46.03	45.49	45.41	44.74	43.76(-3.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-64	-110	-50	-106	11.23	41%	-0.29	-19.4	1.62%	0	-2.6	31	INF
9	Dec_6_2017	51.72	46.52	46.47	45.95	45.92	45.64	45.28(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-34	-40	-24	-63	6.12	45%	-0.23	-17.1	1.59%	0	-1.5	49	INF
10	Dec_5_2017	51.84	46.56	46.75	46.14	46.19	46.08	45.95(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-10	-11	-30	2.87	45%	-0.21	-22.7	1.58%	0	-0.8	59	INF

11	Dec_4_2017	51.95	46.57	46.9	46.29	46.33	46.2	46.12(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-20	-9	-16	2.66	45%	-0.23	-23.6	1.58%	0	-0.6	49	INF
12	Dec_1_2017	52.07	46.57	47.06	46.43	46.44	46.29	46.32(0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-12	-20	-16	2	3.41	45%	-0.19	-23.3	1.59%	0	-0.3	56	INF
13	Nov_30_2017	52.17	46.59	47.06	46.69	46.62	46.46	46.08(-0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-10	-30	-19	19	4.1	42%	-0.19	-15.1	1.61%	0	-0.6	53	INF
14	Nov_29_2017	52.27	46.67	47.13	47.08	46.91	46.58	46.25(-0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-9	-60	-23	35	5.4	42%	-0.15	-0.6	1.62%	0	-0.5	54	INF
15	Nov_28_2017	52.35	46.74	47.07	47.45	47.34	46.77	46.67(-0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-7	-90	-25	48	2.5	42%	-0.15	10.3	1.62%	0	-0.1	57	INF

16	Nov_27_2017	52.43	46.76	47.06	47.6	47.7	47.23	46.81(-1.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-8	-60	-30	58	4.42	42%	-0.11	7.6	1.62%	0	0.1	58	INF
17	Nov_24_2017	52.49	46.77	46.96	47.78	47.7	47.91	47.64(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	10	-4	74	2.14	45%	-0.15	7.6	1.61%	0	1	58	INF
18	Nov_22_2017	52.57	46.72	46.79	47.62	47.91	48.18	48.03(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	60	27	77	2.97	45%	-0.08	-14.6	1.61%	0	1.6	61	INF
19	Nov_21_2017	52.61	46.67	46.57	47.19	47.5	47.92	48.11(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	40	80	36	50	3.78	49%	-0.11	-66.3	1.61%	0	1.7	51	INF
20	Nov_20_2017	52.67	46.65	46.34	46.63	46.81	47.65	47.39(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	140	31	9	3.24	49%	-0.11	-115.8	1.66%	0	0.9	44	INF

21	Nov_17_2017	52.73	46.69	46.18	46.44	46.31	47.08	47.74(1.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	38	110	50	1	5.41	50%	-0.13	-148.2	1.69%	0	1.2	53	INF
22	Nov_16_2017	52.8	46.71	46.03	46.03	45.94	45.97	46.83(2.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	8	-0	22	-33	4.57	45%	-0.15	-160.4	1.68%	0	0.1	47	INF
23	Nov_15_2017	52.88	46.84	45.98	45.85	45.68	45.54	45.87(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-24	-30	-13	-57	3.63	41%	-0.15	-105.6	1.69%	0	-0.5	45	INF
24	Nov_14_2017	52.96	47.23	46.13	45.87	45.68	45.91	45.3(-2.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-14	20	-1	-51	4.44	38%	-0.19	-83.6	1.69%	0	-0.8	35	INF
25	Nov_13_2017	53.06	47.67	46.38	45.99	45.76	45.83	46.48(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	-0	10	-43	5.98	41%		-70.6	1.69%	0	-0.4	36	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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