Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 22, 2017

Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 16, 2006 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Trip.com Group Limited)
TCOM latest price $52.5100 (0.63%) ($52.2800 - $54.2500) on Tue. Aug. 22, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.69% (three month average)
RSI   30
Latest Price   $52.5100(0.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TCOM advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TCOM declines -6.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TCOM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(55%)    MCHI(50%)    FXI(47%)    VWO(42%)    EEM(37%)
Factors Impacting TCOM price   TCOM will decline at least -0.845% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    TLT(-4%)    BNDX(-4%)    VIXM(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.845% (StdDev 1.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $40.16(-23.52%)
Resistance Level   $55.37
5 Day Moving Average   $50.89(3.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $52.36(0.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $55.37(-5.17%)
To recent high   -12.1%
To recent low   6.7%
Market Cap   $31.142b

Trip.com Group Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. TCOM price fluctuates within 6.39% (three month std-dev: 1.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 2.19%(80%) Average negative next day return: -3.23%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 10.42%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -2.51%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 11.56%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.14%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170922

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_22_2017	54.08	55.37	52.36	50.89	51.11	52.3	52.51(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	180	60	-197	5.58	42%	0.06	-50.5	1.69%	0	-0.8	30	INF
2	Aug_21_2017	54.05	55.65	52.89	50.7	50.59	50.73	52.18(3.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-42	10	20	-226	7.84	42%	0.07	-53	1.7%	0	-1	26	INF
3	Aug_18_2017	54.01	55.95	53.43	50.76	50.7	49.92	50.44(2.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-104	-110	-48	-272	6.9	38%	0	-52.9	1.64%	0	-1.6	16	INF
4	Aug_17_2017	54.01	56.35	54.15	51.44	51.55	50.45	49.19(-1.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-126	-140	-76	-276	7.92	33%	0	-51.2	1.62%	0	-2.3	9	INF
5	Aug_16_2017	54.01	56.8	55.01	52.51	52.59	51.47	50.14(-2.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-133	-140	-92	-254	11.37	37%	0	-48	1.63%	0	-2.5	16	INF

6	Aug_15_2017	54.01	57.22	55.83	54.03	53.77	52.65	51.55(-1.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-120	-160	-89	-213	7.98	39%	0.06	-36.6	1.63%	0	-2.5	17	INF
7	Aug_14_2017	53.98	57.56	56.64	55.41	55.18	53.72	52.48(-2.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-103	-200	-84	-158	7.01	41%	0.06	-17.9	1.62%	0	-2.8	32	INF
8	Aug_11_2017	53.95	57.81	57.39	56.5	56.46	54.89	53.85(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-96	-200	-89	-115	5.6	43%	0.09	6	1.61%	0	-2.8	35	INF
9	Aug_10_2017	53.9	58.02	58	57.27	57.42	56.65	54.55(-5.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-63	-90	-61	-67	6.35	44%	0.13	42.4	1.66%	0	-2.9	37	INF
10	Aug_9_2017	53.83	58.13	58.46	57.84	57.86	58.03	57.71(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	20	-8	-20	2.43	54%	0.19	79.1	1.52%	0	-0.4	54	INF

11	Aug_8_2017	53.73	58.05	58.66	57.9	57.9	58.2	58.46(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	40	11	1	1.79	54%	0.17	75	1.61%	0	0.3	54	INF
12	Aug_7_2017	53.64	57.89	58.62	58.11	57.93	57.68	57.91(0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-11	-40	-14	-0	2.54	54%	0.17	72.3	1.6%	0	0	53	INF
13	Aug_4_2017	53.55	57.73	58.63	58.48	58.37	57.6	57.7(0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-25	-100	-37	10	1.52	54%	0.17	67.8	1.61%	0	-0	57	INF
14	Aug_3_2017	53.46	57.52	58.69	58.88	58.96	58.18	57.42(-1.02%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-25	-90	-42	27	3.56	54%	0.17	64.8	1.61%	0	-0.1	52	INF
15	Aug_2_2017	53.37	57.33	58.71	59.16	59.3	59.13	58.01(-2.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-10	-10	-30	50	5.16	54%	0.15	62.7	1.6%	0	0.3	62	INF

16	Aug_1_2017	53.29	57.15	58.72	59.51	59.5	59.73	59.52(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	39	30	19	98	2.9	60%	0.21	67.3	1.56%	0	1.1	72	INF
17	Jul_31_2017	53.18	56.87	58.53	59.18	59.33	59.47	59.73(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	44	20	23	106	2.43	60%	0.23	60	1.58%	0	1.3	77	INF
18	Jul_28_2017	53.06	56.57	58.25	58.82	58.86	59.27	59.71(1.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	38	50	15	105	3.18	60%	0.25	52.6	1.62%	0	1.5	78	INF
19	Jul_27_2017	52.93	56.27	58.01	58.49	58.55	59.19	58.85(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	61	80	37	131	4.46	60%	0.21	46	1.61%	0	1.3	80	INF
20	Jul_26_2017	52.82	56.06	57.75	58.19	58.12	58.46	59.72(3.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	58	40	31	140	3.91	60%	0.25	43.4	1.6%	0	1.9	85	INF

21	Jul_25_2017	52.69	55.77	57.37	57.84	57.79	57.91	57.88(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	38	10	6	135	1.6	60%	0.19	42.6	1.56%	0	1.2	71	INF
22	Jul_24_2017	52.59	55.62	57.08	57.79	57.75	57.77	57.94(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	45	0	12	142	2.13	60%	0.21	46.9	1.6%	0	1.4	73	INF
23	Jul_21_2017	52.48	55.49	56.74	57.57	57.55	57.67	58.07(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	10	4	137	1.95	60%	0.19	53.8	1.6%	0	1.6	73	INF
24	Jul_20_2017	52.38	55.35	56.25	57.46	57.37	57.73	57.36(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	48	40	18	137	2.43	60%	0.19	65.6	1.6%	0	1.3	72	INF
25	Jul_19_2017	52.28	55.23	55.85	57.22	57.21	57.43	57.95(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	54	30	30	126	2.75	56%		69.5	1.59%	0	1.9	66	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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