Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TCOM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jun. 1, 2017

Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 16, 2006 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Trip.com Group Limited)
TCOM latest price $56.1400 (2.73%) ($54.9200 - $56.5600) on Thu. Jun. 1, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.5% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $56.1400(2.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TCOM advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TCOM advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TCOM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(55%)    MCHI(50%)    FXI(47%)    VWO(42%)    EEM(37%)
Factors Impacting TCOM price   TCOM will decline at least -0.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    TLT(-4%)    BNDX(-4%)    VIXM(-3%)    UUP(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.75% (StdDev 1.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $55.4(1.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.36(1.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54.98(2.11%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   19.4%
Market Cap   $33.295b

Trip.com Group Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. TCOM price fluctuates within 2.06% (three month std-dev: 1.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 21 Average positive next day return: 1.73%(43%) Average negative next day return: -1.12%(57%) Sample size 21 Average positive next three day return: 1.66%(62%) Average negative next three day return: -2.15%(38%) Sample size 21 Average positive next weekly return: 2.47%(48%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.95%(52%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170701

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_1_2017	48.73	54.98	55.36	55.4	55.3	55.24	56.14(2.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10	16	13	3.53	62%	0.25	82	1.5%	0	1	60	0
2	May_31_2017	48.61	54.8	55.23	55.4	55.26	54.97	54.65(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	-30	-12	-16	3.64	60%	0.23	81.3	1.51%	0	-0.1	44	0
3	May_30_2017	48.5	54.7	55.23	55.16	55.25	55.35	55.17(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-8	20	-8	-7	2.59	60%	0.39	87.2	1.5%	0	0.4	50	0
4	May_26_2017	48.31	54.55	55.4	55.2	55.24	55.56	55.32(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	40	8	16	1.78	58%	0.25	85.4	1.49%	0	0.5	61	0
5	May_25_2017	48.19	54.33	55.41	55.37	55.3	55.15	55.71(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-20	7	40	2.61	58%	0.31	88.7	1.5%	0	0.8	63	0

6	May_24_2017	48.04	54.07	55.26	55.32	55.36	54.93	54.94(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-50	-17	42	2.17	58%	0.31	88.2	1.5%	0	0.4	63	0
7	May_23_2017	47.89	53.82	55.37	55.31	55.33	55.46	54.68(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	20	-21	67	3.58	58%	0.15	86.2	1.5%	0	0.4	62	0
8	May_22_2017	47.82	53.56	55.45	55.66	55.39	55.8	55.37(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	46	40	21	120	3.94	58%	0.34	81	1.5%	0	0.7	64	0
9	May_19_2017	47.66	53.19	55.23	55.62	55.38	55.2	56.15(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	41	-40	14	123	3.56	60%	0.34	72.2	1.52%	0	1.1	69	0
10	May_18_2017	47.5	52.75	54.9	55.46	55.26	54.97	55.47(1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	20	-50	-15	123	3.29	60%	0.34	66.1	1.52%	0	0.9	72	0

11	May_17_2017	47.34	52.34	54.59	55.19	55.34	55.56	54.89(-2.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	35	40	2	135	4.34	60%	0.32	59.4	1.53%	0	0.8	72	0
12	May_16_2017	47.19	51.96	54.35	55.44	54.98	55.55	56.43(2.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	60	50	19	181	6.6	64%	0.21	59.9	1.48%	0	1.5	82	0
13	May_15_2017	47.09	51.58	53.94	55.22	55.03	55.11	55.16(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	83	-0	40	212	4.24	62%	0.34	59.8	1.46%	0	1.2	81	0
14	May_12_2017	46.93	51.24	53.63	54.78	54.82	54.4	55.33(2.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	59	-50	5	220	5.38	62%	0.34	54.7	1.44%	0	1.4	85	0
15	May_11_2017	46.77	50.88	53.16	54.25	54.32	54.95	54.15(-3.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	64	90	8	230	9.49	60%	0.3	50.5	1.43%	0	1.2	85	0

16	May_10_2017	46.63	50.6	52.78	53.86	53.94	55.24	56.13(1.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	147	170	99	292	8.35	68%	0.34	47.5	1.36%	0	2.1	98	0
17	May_9_2017	46.47	50.21	52.12	53.1	52.95	53.7	55.33(4.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	114	90	64	265	8.66	67%	0.32	44.1	1.38%	0	2.2	96	0
18	May_8_2017	46.32	49.91	51.49	52.51	52.49	52.65	52.97(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	81	20	26	246	4.13	62%	0.26	44.5	1.28%	0	1.6	71	0
19	May_5_2017	46.2	49.74	50.97	52.33	52.37	52.2	52.68(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	69	-20	14	233	3.03	62%	0.26	47.8	1.26%	0	1.6	72	0
20	May_4_2017	46.08	49.55	50.43	51.9	52.12	52.34	52.2(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	62	40	15	204	2.97	62%	0.24	43.1	1.27%	0	1.6	72	0

21	May_3_2017	45.97	49.38	49.92	51.5	51.69	52.53	52.31(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	90	120	57	190	2.13	62%	0.22	37.7	1.27%	0	1.9	70	0
22	May_2_2017	45.87	49.21	49.4	50.97	51.03	51.9	52.38(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	100	120	80	158	4.81	62%	0.22	30.8	1.27%	0	2.2	67	0
23	May_1_2017	45.77	49.05	49.03	50.31	50.27	50.85	52.08(3.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	81	80	70	112	5.94	62%	0.2	22.1	1.28%	0	2.5	58	0
24	Apr_28_2017	45.68	48.89	48.65	49.41	49.63	50.16	50.51(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	56	90	59	48	4.17	58%	0.18	1.5	1.21%	0	1.6	50	0
25	Apr_27_2017	45.6	48.83	48.4	48.74	48.98	49.68	50.24(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	48	110	63	4	4.29	58%		-12.8	1.22%	0	1.5	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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