Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TCOM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jan. 18, 2017

Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 16, 2006 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Trip.com Group Limited)
TCOM latest price $43.9900 (-0.41%) ($43.5100 - $44.3000) on Wed. Jan. 18, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.94% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $43.9900(-0.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TCOM advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TCOM advances 4.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TCOM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(55%)    MCHI(50%)    FXI(47%)    VWO(42%)    EEM(37%)
Factors Impacting TCOM price   TCOM will decline at least -0.97% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    VIXM(-4%)    TLT(-4%)    BNDX(-4%)    UUP(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.97% (StdDev 1.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.8(0.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.3(1.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.87(5.06%)
To recent high   -8.7%
To recent low   10.1%
Market Cap   $26.089b

Trip.com Group Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. TCOM price fluctuates within 3.96% (three month std-dev: 1.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 1.39%(44%) Average negative next day return: -1.9%(56%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 1.29%(22%) Average negative next three day return: -2.31%(78%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 1.19%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.63%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_18_2017	43.39	41.87	43.3	43.8	43.73	43.95	43.99(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	30	9	138	2.5	54%	0	33.6	1.94%	0	1.3	81	0
2	Jan_17_2017	43.39	41.71	42.97	43.75	43.66	43.7	44.17(1.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	43	0	10	143	4.86	54%	0	27.1	1.95%	0	1.5	84	0
3	Jan_13_2017	43.39	41.56	42.57	43.56	43.58	43.52	43.53(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	38	-10	4	138	1.67	59%	-0.02	20.9	1.93%	0	1.4	81	0
4	Jan_12_2017	43.4	41.46	42.23	43.36	43.46	43.61	43.36(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	35	30	6	121	2.66	59%	0	15.2	2.06%	0	1.4	70	0
5	Jan_11_2017	43.4	41.41	41.9	43.24	43.19	43.63	43.97(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	49	70	25	122	2.45	59%	0	14.3	2.05%	0	2	75	0

6	Jan_10_2017	43.4	41.32	41.5	42.72	42.85	43.31	43.71(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	55	80	38	104	2.58	59%	-0.02	2.1	2.05%	0	2	73	0
7	Jan_9_2017	43.41	41.28	41.12	42.07	42.24	42.74	43.24(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	42	90	32	70	3.01	59%	-0.02	-16.7	2.05%	0	1.8	68	0
8	Jan_6_2017	43.42	41.28	40.78	41.43	41.65	42.38	42.5(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	36	140	35	38	3.13	59%	-0.02	-39	2.04%	0	1.1	59	0
9	Jan_5_2017	43.43	41.26	40.58	40.92	41.12	41.75	42.8(3.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	35	120	43	12	4.84	59%	-0.02	-58.7	2.03%	0	1.3	53	0
10	Jan_4_2017	43.44	41.22	40.35	40.36	40.53	40.93	41.34(2.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	8	80	21	-32	5.87	56%	-0.07	-85.4	1.98%	0	0.1	31	0

11	Jan_3_2017	43.47	41.3	40.29	40.12	40.27	40.5	40.49(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	50	14	-58	4.54	54%	-0.09	-95.8	1.96%	0	-0.7	17	0
12	Dec_30_2016	43.51	41.46	40.33	40.02	40.13	40.13	40(0.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0	-19	10	3	-84	3.53	54%	-0.09	-92.5	1.96%	0	-1.1	5	0
13	Dec_29_2016	43.55	41.7	40.46	40.03	40.05	40.04	39.99(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-30	-0	-7	-100	2.57	54%	-0.09	-73.1	1.96%	0	-1.2	11	0
14	Dec_28_2016	43.59	41.95	40.65	40.17	40.12	40.14	39.97(-0.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-29	-0	-5	-101	2.62	54%	-0.09	-56.8	1.96%	0	-1.3	18	0
15	Dec_27_2016	43.63	42.24	40.9	40.34	40.31	40.07	40.15(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-29	-40	-7	-96	2.42	54%	-0.11	-41.5	1.96%	0	-1.2	28	0

16	Dec_23_2016	43.68	42.47	41.14	40.48	40.51	40.1	39.98(-0.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-40	-70	-20	-100	2.31	54%	-0.09	-32	1.94%	0	-1.4	22	0
17	Dec_22_2016	43.72	42.72	41.48	40.69	40.73	40.55	40.07(-1.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-39	-30	-20	-96	3.75	54%	-0.09	-23.3	1.94%	0	-1.6	18	0
18	Dec_21_2016	43.76	42.79	41.79	40.94	40.99	40.92	40.7(-0.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-30	-10	-8	-94	2.9	54%	-0.07	-23.4	1.93%	0	-1.3	17	0
19	Dec_20_2016	43.79	42.87	42.01	41.19	41.13	40.91	40.81(-0.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-40	-40	-18	-105	2.14	54%	-0.07	-20.4	1.93%	0	-1.3	16	0
20	Dec_19_2016	43.82	42.96	42.18	41.55	41.45	41.06	40.86(-0.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-47	-70	-24	-116	4.54	54%	-0.07	-9.9	1.93%	0	-1.4	15	0

21	Dec_16_2016	43.85	43.03	42.4	41.91	41.92	41.36	41(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-52	-90	-30	-118	4.72	54%	-0.07	-0.6	1.93%	0	-1.4	28	0
22	Dec_15_2016	43.88	43.11	42.7	42.39	42.31	41.83	41.33(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-52	-90	-33	-108	2.99	56%	-0.07	14.1	1.93%	0	-1.3	28	0
23	Dec_14_2016	43.91	43.17	43.05	42.76	42.78	42.48	41.97(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-50	-15	-64	4.43	56%	-0.05	22.1	1.94%	0	-0.9	58	0
24	Dec_13_2016	43.93	43.19	43.37	42.94	42.96	42.79	42.61(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	-30	-6	-33	2.6	53%	-0.02	20.9	1.93%	0	-0.4	56	0
25	Dec_12_2016	43.94	43.1	43.68	42.89	42.93	43.07	42.62(-1.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-5	30	-3	-12	3.53	53%		9.2	1.96%	0	-0.3	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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