Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 29, 2016

Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 16, 2006 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Trip.com Group Limited)
TCOM latest price $45.8700 (2.53%) ($44.4200 - $45.9600) on Tue. Nov. 29, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.88% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $45.8700(2.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TCOM advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TCOM advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TCOM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(55%)    MCHI(50%)    FXI(47%)    VWO(42%)    EEM(37%)
Factors Impacting TCOM price   TCOM will decline at least -0.94% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    VIXM(-4%)    TLT(-3%)    BNDX(-3%)    UUP(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.94% (StdDev 1.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.7(4.97%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.99(6.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.62(7.63%)
To recent high   -4.8%
To recent low   12.9%
Market Cap   $27.204b

Trip.com Group Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. TCOM price fluctuates within 3.19% (three month std-dev: 1.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161229

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_29_2016	43.91	42.62	42.99	43.7	44.17	44.97	45.87(2.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	45	160	29	93	7.53	56%	0.11	-30.1	1.88%	0	2.4	57	INF
2	Nov_28_2016	43.86	42.51	42.46	42.97	43.4	45.01	44.74(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.5	66	290	68	59	6.85	53%	0.09	-66.1	1.86%	0	1.9	54	INF
3	Nov_25_2016	43.82	42.49	42.08	42.43	42.75	43.38	45.01(9.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	59	130	69	28	15.76	53%	0.18	-89.3	1.86%	0	2.1	60	INF
4	Nov_23_2016	43.74	42.48	41.65	41.89	41.97	41.8	40.99(-2.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-31	-20	-23	-54	6.65	42%	0.02	-86.4	1.38%	0	-1	42	INF
5	Nov_22_2016	43.73	42.75	41.78	42.12	42.15	42.12	41.87(-0.92%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-7	-0	2	-33	3.87	44%	-0.05	-69.7	1.36%	0	-0.5	47	INF

6	Nov_21_2016	43.75	43.04	41.93	42.15	41.98	42.13	42.26(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	10	12	-27	3.79	44%	0.02	-59	1.36%	0	-0.4	42	INF
7	Nov_18_2016	43.74	43.31	42.04	41.83	41.85	42.19	42.02(-0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	9	60	27	-46	2.41	44%	0.02	-55.3	1.35%	0	-0.6	36	INF
8	Nov_17_2016	43.73	43.58	42.08	41.64	41.55	41.82	42.31(0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	40	29	-78	2.17	44%	0.05	-54.1	1.35%	0	-0.5	35	INF
9	Nov_16_2016	43.71	43.81	42.09	41.38	41.18	41.51	42.16(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-31	40	3	-133	3.64	44%	0.05	-54	1.35%	0	-0.7	31	INF
10	Nov_15_2016	43.69	44.06	42.1	41.4	41.38	41.28	42.02(3.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-44	-20	-1	-174	7.06	44%	0.09	-47.6	1.35%	0	-0.8	26	INF

11	Nov_14_2016	43.65	44.31	42.23	41.71	41.63	40.86	40.62(-1.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-105	-140	-61	-235	2.92	39%	0.02	-39.6	1.28%	0	-1.5	13	INF
12	Nov_11_2016	43.64	44.61	42.58	42.3	42.29	41.47	41.1(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-108	-140	-62	-244	7.05	39%	0.02	-30.8	1.27%	0	-1.5	14	INF
13	Nov_10_2016	43.63	44.89	42.94	42.56	42.97	42.4	40.98(-3.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-92	-60	-39	-249	5.43	39%	0	-24	1.27%	0	-1.8	18	INF
14	Nov_9_2016	43.63	45.17	43.39	42.86	42.99	43.11	42.29(-2.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-76	30	-17	-254	4.18	43%	0.07	-16.9	1.21%	0	-1.4	24	INF
15	Nov_8_2016	43.6	45.27	43.81	42.87	42.96	43.54	43.57(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-38	100	34	-252	2.29	47%	0.11	-17.6	1.16%	0	-0.9	27	INF

16	Nov_7_2016	43.55	45.3	44.22	42.84	42.79	42.87	43.54(2.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-54	10	14	-256	3.38	47%	0.11	-18.2	1.16%	0	-0.9	29	INF
17	Nov_4_2016	43.5	45.33	44.66	42.96	42.87	42.38	42.44(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-105	-90	-50	-270	2.78	42%	0.07	-16.9	1.11%	0	-1.5	28	INF
18	Nov_3_2016	43.47	45.42	45.17	43.42	43.43	42.72	42.45(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-114	-110	-71	-242	2.18	42%	0.07	-10.6	1.11%	0	-1.6	27	INF
19	Nov_2_2016	43.44	45.52	45.67	44.02	44.1	43.36	42.34(-2.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-120	-110	-91	-206	4.87	42%	0.05	-1.6	1.11%	0	-1.8	29	INF
20	Nov_1_2016	43.42	45.62	46.19	44.89	44.87	44.15	43.41(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-101	-110	-94	-122	3.68	46%	0.09	12.9	1.07%	0	-1.3	54	INF

21	Oct_31_2016	43.38	45.66	46.58	45.81	45.75	44.84	44.15(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-80	-140	-97	-28	4.27	49%	0.09	29.2	1.05%	0	-0.9	57	INF
22	Oct_28_2016	43.34	45.65	46.83	46.62	46.73	45.59	44.73(-1.63%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-57	-160	-96	60	3.66	53%	0.09	43.1	1.03%	0	-0.6	61	INF
23	Oct_27_2016	43.3	45.62	47.04	47.19	47.43	46.66	45.47(-2.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-29	-100	-86	144	5.36	57%	0.09	52.7	1.01%	0	-0.1	66	INF
24	Oct_26_2016	43.26	45.55	47.15	47.55	47.77	47.88	46.69(-2.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	45	30	-21	244	2.93	66%	0.05	57.9	0.96%	0	0.7	76	INF
25	Oct_25_2016	43.24	45.4	46.9	47.66	47.74	48.21	48(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	114	70	49	309	4.68	79%		60.3	0.89%	0	1.5	92	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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