Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TCOM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Nov. 23, 2016

Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 16, 2006 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Trip.com Group Limited)
TCOM latest price $40.9900 (-2.1%) ($40.5900 - $42.1900) on Wed. Nov. 23, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.38% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $40.9900(-2.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TCOM declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TCOM declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TCOM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(55%)    MCHI(50%)    FXI(47%)    VWO(42%)    EEM(37%)
Factors Impacting TCOM price   TCOM will decline at least -0.69% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    VIXM(-4%)    TLT(-3%)    BNDX(-3%)    UUP(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.69% (StdDev 1.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.8%

Resistance Level   $42.48
5 Day Moving Average   $41.89(-2.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.65(-1.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.48(-3.51%)
To recent high   -15%
To recent low   0.9%
Market Cap   $24.31b

Trip.com Group Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. TCOM price fluctuates within 3.53% (three month std-dev: 1.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.86%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.98%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.13%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 4.07%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161223

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_23_2016	43.74	42.48	41.65	41.89	41.97	41.8	40.99(-2.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-31	-20	-23	-54	6.65	42%	0.02	-86.4	1.38%	0	-1	42	0
2	Nov_22_2016	43.73	42.75	41.78	42.12	42.15	42.12	41.87(-0.92%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-7	-0	2	-33	3.87	44%	-0.05	-69.7	1.36%	0	-0.5	47	0
3	Nov_21_2016	43.75	43.04	41.93	42.15	41.98	42.13	42.26(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	10	12	-27	3.79	44%	0.02	-59	1.36%	0	-0.4	42	0
4	Nov_18_2016	43.74	43.31	42.04	41.83	41.85	42.19	42.02(-0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	9	60	27	-46	2.41	44%	0.02	-55.3	1.35%	0	-0.6	36	0
5	Nov_17_2016	43.73	43.58	42.08	41.64	41.55	41.82	42.31(0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	40	29	-78	2.17	44%	0.05	-54.1	1.35%	0	-0.5	35	0

6	Nov_16_2016	43.71	43.81	42.09	41.38	41.18	41.51	42.16(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-31	40	3	-133	3.64	44%	0.05	-54	1.35%	0	-0.7	31	0
7	Nov_15_2016	43.69	44.06	42.1	41.4	41.38	41.28	42.02(3.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-44	-20	-1	-174	7.06	44%	0.09	-47.6	1.35%	0	-0.8	26	0
8	Nov_14_2016	43.65	44.31	42.23	41.71	41.63	40.86	40.62(-1.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-105	-140	-61	-235	2.92	39%	0.02	-39.6	1.28%	0	-1.5	13	0
9	Nov_11_2016	43.64	44.61	42.58	42.3	42.29	41.47	41.1(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-108	-140	-62	-244	7.05	39%	0.02	-30.8	1.27%	0	-1.5	14	0
10	Nov_10_2016	43.63	44.89	42.94	42.56	42.97	42.4	40.98(-3.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-92	-60	-39	-249	5.43	39%	0	-24	1.27%	0	-1.8	18	0

11	Nov_9_2016	43.63	45.17	43.39	42.86	42.99	43.11	42.29(-2.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-76	30	-17	-254	4.18	43%	0.07	-16.9	1.21%	0	-1.4	24	0
12	Nov_8_2016	43.6	45.27	43.81	42.87	42.96	43.54	43.57(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-38	100	34	-252	2.29	47%	0.11	-17.6	1.16%	0	-0.9	27	0
13	Nov_7_2016	43.55	45.3	44.22	42.84	42.79	42.87	43.54(2.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-54	10	14	-256	3.38	47%	0.11	-18.2	1.16%	0	-0.9	29	0
14	Nov_4_2016	43.5	45.33	44.66	42.96	42.87	42.38	42.44(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-105	-90	-50	-270	2.78	42%	0.07	-16.9	1.11%	0	-1.5	28	0
15	Nov_3_2016	43.47	45.42	45.17	43.42	43.43	42.72	42.45(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-114	-110	-71	-242	2.18	42%	0.07	-10.6	1.11%	0	-1.6	27	0

16	Nov_2_2016	43.44	45.52	45.67	44.02	44.1	43.36	42.34(-2.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-120	-110	-91	-206	4.87	42%	0.05	-1.6	1.11%	0	-1.8	29	0
17	Nov_1_2016	43.42	45.62	46.19	44.89	44.87	44.15	43.41(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-101	-110	-94	-122	3.68	46%	0.09	12.9	1.07%	0	-1.3	54	0
18	Oct_31_2016	43.38	45.66	46.58	45.81	45.75	44.84	44.15(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-80	-140	-97	-28	4.27	49%	0.09	29.2	1.05%	0	-0.9	57	0
19	Oct_28_2016	43.34	45.65	46.83	46.62	46.73	45.59	44.73(-1.63%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-57	-160	-96	60	3.66	53%	0.09	43.1	1.03%	0	-0.6	61	0
20	Oct_27_2016	43.3	45.62	47.04	47.19	47.43	46.66	45.47(-2.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-29	-100	-86	144	5.36	57%	0.09	52.7	1.01%	0	-0.1	66	0

21	Oct_26_2016	43.26	45.55	47.15	47.55	47.77	47.88	46.69(-2.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	45	30	-21	244	2.93	66%	0.05	57.9	0.96%	0	0.7	76	0
22	Oct_25_2016	43.24	45.4	46.9	47.66	47.74	48.21	48(-0.41%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.2	114	70	49	309	4.68	79%	0.07	60.3	0.89%	0	1.5	92	0
23	Oct_24_2016	43.21	45.18	46.49	47.47	47.44	47.67	48.2(1.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	112	30	48	302	3.11	79%	0.12	60.8	0.89%	0	1.8	95	0
24	Oct_21_2016	43.16	44.95	46.05	47.09	47.23	47.27	47.61(0.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	82	10	20	266	1.49	77%	0.07	60.2	0.89%	0	1.8	94	0
25	Oct_20_2016	43.13	44.75	45.67	46.88	47.01	47.22	47.25(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	74	40	13	255	2.14	77%		62.3	0.88%	0	1.8	94	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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