Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TCOM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jun. 10, 2016

Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 16, 2006 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Trip.com Group Limited)
TCOM latest price $39.9300 (-2.94%) ($39.6100 - $41.0400) on Fri. Jun. 10, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.19% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $39.9300(-2.94%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TCOM declines -1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TCOM declines -2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TCOM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(55%)    MCHI(50%)    FXI(47%)    VWO(42%)    EEM(37%)
Factors Impacting TCOM price   TCOM will decline at least -1.095% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    VIXM(-5%)    TLT(-4%)    BNDX(-3%)    UUP(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.095% (StdDev 2.19%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $36.31(-9.07%)
Resistance Level   $43.74
5 Day Moving Average   $42.41(-5.85%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.55(-8.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.74(-8.71%)
To recent high   -18%
To recent low   2.4%
Market Cap   $23.681b

Trip.com Group Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. TCOM price fluctuates within 3.38% (three month std-dev: 2.19%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 2.18%(73%) Average negative next day return: -1.09%(27%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 5.23%(73%) Average negative next three day return: -0.5%(27%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 5.24%(91%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.08%(9%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160710

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_10_2016	43.01	43.74	43.55	42.41	42.28	40.92	39.93(-2.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-67	-230	-60	-87	5.97	63%	-0.07	-24.9	2.19%	0	-2.6	41	INF
2	Jun_9_2016	43.04	43.93	44.06	43.2	43.37	42.15	41.14(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-56	-190	-58	-50	5.37	67%	-0.02	-15.6	2.16%	0	-2.3	48	INF
3	Jun_8_2016	43.05	44.06	44.46	43.9	44.03	43.64	42(-5.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-32	-50	-39	-11	13.15	67%	0	0	2.15%	0	-2	46	INF
4	Jun_7_2016	43.05	44.18	44.83	44.37	44.51	44.6	44.3(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	20	-3	29	3.03	74%	0.02	14.4	2.05%	0	0.1	52	INF
5	Jun_6_2016	43.04	44.13	44.69	44.66	44.58	44.42	44.7(1.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-1	-30	-10	28	2.69	74%	0.07	16.9	2.05%	0	0.6	52	INF

6	Jun_3_2016	43.01	44.13	44.57	44.9	44.87	44.43	43.84(-1.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-4	-70	-17	37	4.09	70%	0.02	28.9	2.06%	0	-0.3	55	INF
7	Jun_2_2016	43	44.12	44.48	45.07	45.24	44.74	44.68(0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-70	-15	42	4.1	65%	0.07	28.4	2.08%	0	0.6	58	INF
8	Jun_1_2016	42.97	44.06	44.39	45.11	45.26	45.3	44.32(-3.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-3	20	-18	44	5.83	65%	-0.02	22.7	2.12%	0	0.3	55	INF
9	May_31_2016	42.98	44.05	44.37	45.33	45.42	45.75	45.76(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	60	32	75	36.78	69%	0	23	2.07%	0	1.9	58	INF
10	May_27_2016	42.98	43.97	44.21	44.71	45.01	45.21	45.9(2.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	32	50	24	55	5.45	69%	0.02	-3.7	2.12%	0	2.3	62	INF

11	May_26_2016	42.97	43.85	43.91	44.2	44.31	45.09	44.68(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	130	22	28	3.7	68%	-0.07	-43.3	2.11%	0	1.1	50	INF
12	May_25_2016	43	43.85	43.75	43.8	43.88	44.8	44.89(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	37	150	43	18	4.26	68%	-0.07	-69.3	2.12%	0	1.3	54	INF
13	May_24_2016	43.03	43.86	43.6	43.58	43.28	43.53	45.42(6.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.3	16	20	21	0	6.06	68%	0	-91.9	2.11%	0	1.9	58	INF
14	May_23_2016	43.03	43.84	43.43	43.31	43.2	42.95	42.64(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-18	-50	-15	-25	4.24	62%	0	-106.6	1.95%	0	-1.4	43	INF
15	May_20_2016	43.03	44	43.51	43.64	43.55	43.04	43.39(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-14	-90	-12	-19	3.07	62%	-0.07	-91.2	1.96%	0	-0.6	43	INF

16	May_19_2016	43.06	44.18	43.61	43.57	43.76	43.45	42.67(-2.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-18	-40	-18	-19	3.46	62%	-0.12	-85	1.96%	0	-1.2	46	INF
17	May_18_2016	43.11	44.4	43.74	43.65	43.77	43.45	43.77(-0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	60	2	-16	2.97	66%	-0.09	-76.3	1.95%	0	-0.4	42	INF
18	May_17_2016	43.15	44.61	43.73	43.6	43.7	44.07	44.09(-0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	8	70	18	-21	3.53	66%	-0.09	-72	1.96%	0	-0.3	44	INF
19	May_16_2016	43.19	44.78	43.71	43.58	43.57	43.48	44.29(2.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	-20	9	-35	2.52	73%	0.02	-63.2	1.98%	0	-0.3	43	INF
20	May_13_2016	43.18	44.98	43.72	43.38	43.53	43.33	43.01(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-20	-16	-56	2.4	71%	-0.14	-56.4	2.22%	0	-1.1	31	INF

21	May_12_2016	43.24	45.23	43.79	43.68	43.72	43.65	43.08(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-10	-7	-61	2.93	71%	-0.14	-42.7	2.24%	0	-1.1	27	INF
22	May_11_2016	43.3	45.51	43.98	43.84	43.85	43.74	43.51(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-20	-3	-67	1.82	71%	-0.14	-28.3	2.25%	0	-1	28	INF
23	May_10_2016	43.36	45.77	44.14	43.86	43.93	43.8	44.03(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-23	-20	-3	-84	3.34	71%	-0.09	-17.6	2.25%	0	-0.9	26	INF
24	May_9_2016	43.4	45.91	44.27	43.85	43.87	43.96	43.29(-2.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	20	-8	-101	3.51	71%	-0.14	-10.7	2.24%	0	-1.4	26	INF
25	May_6_2016	43.46	46.05	44.53	44.1	43.9	44.06	44.5(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-18	10	9	-97	2.27	67%		-4.1	2.31%	0	-0.9	26	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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