Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TCOM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Apr. 5, 2016

Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 16, 2006 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Trip.com Group Limited)
TCOM latest price $43.7100 (-1.53%) ($42.7600 - $44.2000) on Tue. Apr. 5, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.71% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $43.7100(-1.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TCOM declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TCOM advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TCOM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(55%)    MCHI(50%)    FXI(47%)    VWO(42%)    EEM(38%)
Factors Impacting TCOM price   TCOM will decline at least -1.355% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    VIXM(-6%)    TLT(-4%)    BNDX(-3%)    UUP(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.355% (StdDev 2.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.44(-1.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.34(-1.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.95(1.77%)
To recent high   -8.7%
To recent low   20.3%
Market Cap   $25.923b

Trip.com Group Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. TCOM price fluctuates within 4.84% (three month std-dev: 2.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.59%(40%) Average negative next day return: -0.31%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 0.96%(80%) Average negative next three day return: -0.3%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 2.65%(20%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.2%(80%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160505

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_5_2016	44.79	42.95	44.34	44.44	44.31	44.09	43.71(-1.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-40	-13	32	3.67	48%	-0.11	52.5	2.71%	0	0.4	67	INF
2	Apr_4_2016	44.84	42.75	44.49	44.6	44.65	44.46	44.39(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-30	4	61	2.61	48%	-0.11	48.9	2.8%	0	0.7	67	INF
3	Apr_1_2016	44.89	42.53	44.41	44.4	44.5	44.53	44.84(1.31%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	16	10	-1	68	2.45	48%	-0.11	42.4	2.81%	0	1	72	INF
4	Mar_31_2016	44.94	42.25	44.18	44.26	44.32	44.85	44.26(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	27	90	8	84	4.73	48%	-0.11	36.4	2.83%	0	0.9	75	INF
5	Mar_30_2016	44.99	42.06	44.02	44.28	44.18	44.47	45.02(1.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	37	40	14	105	4.37	48%	-0.11	35.5	2.83%	0	1.3	76	INF

6	Mar_29_2016	45.04	41.89	43.62	44.25	44.05	43.79	44.51(2.68%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	23	-50	-6	109	3.7	48%	-0.09	38.5	2.83%	0	1.2	76	INF
7	Mar_28_2016	45.08	41.7	43.3	44.38	44.22	43.89	43.35(-1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	25	-60	-9	125	2.92	48%	-0.31	39.2	2.81%	0	0.8	70	INF
8	Mar_24_2016	45.22	41.61	43.04	44.42	44.3	44.31	44.16(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	37	-10	4	137	2.74	48%	-0.09	42.3	2.81%	0	1.3	69	INF
9	Mar_23_2016	45.26	41.45	42.54	44.05	44.09	44.55	44.37(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	48	80	19	135	3.85	48%	-0.09	40.1	2.81%	0	1.6	73	INF
10	Mar_22_2016	45.3	41.29	42.05	43.69	43.28	44.28	44.87(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	57	130	33	128	6.84	48%	-0.09	37.9	2.81%	0	2.1	66	INF

11	Mar_21_2016	45.34	41.09	41.44	42.87	42.57	43.63	45.16(3.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	59	150	46	97	6.61	48%	-0.02	30.4	2.81%	0	2.6	59	INF
12	Mar_18_2016	45.35	40.91	40.84	42.08	41.77	42.29	43.52(2.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	38	70	30	61	8.45	45%	0	38.6	2.77%	0	2.1	59	INF
13	Mar_17_2016	45.35	40.8	40.46	41.47	41.27	41.5	42.31(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	20	21	32	15.34	43%	-0.04	50.2	2.74%	0	1.3	51	INF
14	Mar_16_2016	45.37	40.72	40.14	40.81	40.87	41.25	42.61(4.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	17	70	22	2	7.34	43%	-0.04	51.7	2.76%	0	1.8	54	INF
15	Mar_15_2016	45.39	40.64	39.9	40.15	40.27	41.05	40.76(-1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	11	140	22	-23	4.92	38%	-0.11	59.8	2.73%	0	0.1	46	INF

16	Mar_14_2016	45.44	40.62	39.98	39.78	39.85	40.5	41.22(1.9%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.4	17	120	32	-28	5.95	38%	0.09	63.7	2.72%	0	0.6	49	INF
17	Mar_11_2016	45.4	40.43	39.93	39.41	39.28	39.5	40.45(3.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-8	30	8	-56	4.15	38%	0.11	36.3	2.71%	0	0	41	INF
18	Mar_10_2016	45.35	40.25	40.04	39.32	39.24	39.2	38.99(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-10	-0	-63	3.87	34%	0.07	14.2	2.69%	0	-0.8	37	INF
19	Mar_9_2016	45.32	40.17	40.26	39.37	39.42	39.06	39.35(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-24	-60	-10	-65	4.39	34%	0.04	6.1	2.69%	0	-0.5	45	INF
20	Mar_8_2016	45.3	40.05	40.48	39.6	39.57	39.29	38.89(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-36	-50	-26	-64	2.09	34%	0.07	0	2.73%	0	-0.6	40	INF

21	Mar_7_2016	45.27	40.05	40.73	40.2	40.16	39.77	39.36(-1.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	-70	-13	-37	3.29	34%	0.09	-2.7	2.73%	0	-0.3	48	INF
22	Mar_4_2016	45.23	39.98	41.03	40.52	40.69	39.85	40.02(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-130	-23	-8	4.18	34%	0.13	-6.3	2.73%	0	0	65	INF
23	Mar_3_2016	45.17	40.03	41.2	40.87	41.03	40.54	39.24(-3.11%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-18	-70	-32	26	9.08	34%	0.11	-0.8	2.72%	0	-0.4	65	INF
24	Mar_2_2016	45.12	40.06	41.39	41.27	41.59	40.54	40.5(-3.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	16	10	-2	71	7.84	36%	0.13	1	2.7%	0	0.2	67	INF
25	Mar_1_2016	45.06	40.05	41.49	41.47	41.45	41.53	41.9(2.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	10	2	108	4.98	39%		-1.6	2.67%	0	0.9	74	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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