Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 16, 2006 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Trip.com Group Limited)
TCOM latest price $55.8400 (1.68%) ($53.4200 - $56.2200) on Fri. Nov. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.42% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $55.8400(1.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TCOM advances 2.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TCOM advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TCOM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(56%)    MCHI(50%)    FXI(48%)    VWO(43%)    EEM(38%)
Factors Impacting TCOM price   TCOM will decline at least -2.21% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-7%)    SHY(-7%)    TLT(-5%)    ARKK(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.21% (StdDev 4.42%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.65(10.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.02(11.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.63(14.83%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   84.6%
Market Cap   $33.117b

Trip.com Group Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. TCOM price fluctuates within 7.88% (three month std-dev: 4.42%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.68%(50%) Average negative next day return: -5.15%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -6.03%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 40.06%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.5%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151220

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_20_2015	37.51	48.63	50.02	50.65	51.1	54.92	55.84(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	67	550	72	51	10.97	69%	0.54	95.2	4.42%	0	1.9	68	0
2	Nov_19_2015	37.31	47.71	49.52	49.21	49.3	50.85	54.92(15.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	54	230	60	37	24.22	69%	0.54	79.6	4.48%	0	1.7	70	0
3	Nov_18_2015	37.11	46.79	48.91	48.18	47.75	47.28	47.53(2.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-10	-100	-15	6	6.8	61%	0.3	70.5	4.09%	0	0.2	65	0
4	Nov_17_2015	37	46.27	49	48.59	48.39	47.76	46.28(-4.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-5	-100	-15	24	8.44	61%	0.3	69.8	4.14%	0	0	61	0
5	Nov_16_2015	36.89	45.84	49.27	49.16	48.92	48.21	48.7(0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	-120	-12	49	6.16	64%	0.33	71.1	4.08%	0	0.5	69	0

6	Nov_13_2015	36.77	45.24	49.24	49.21	49.12	49.02	48.62(-2.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-20	-16	57	4.7	64%	0.33	70.5	4.09%	0	0.6	63	0
7	Nov_12_2015	36.65	44.61	49.06	49.83	49.51	49.63	49.79(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	30	-0	4	107	3.8	64%	0.38	73.5	4.08%	0	0.9	83	0
8	Nov_11_2015	36.51	43.89	48.51	49.76	49.72	49.22	49.58(0.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	35	-70	2	133	3.97	60%	0.33	72.7	4.1%	0	0.9	84	0
9	Nov_10_2015	36.39	43.14	48	49.49	49.54	49.4	49.12(0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	32	-20	-8	151	5.06	60%	0.36	70.2	4.21%	0	1	84	0
10	Nov_9_2015	36.26	42.4	47.54	49.38	49.45	50.23	48.96(-5.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	55	110	11	187	8.56	60%	0.36	69.7	4.22%	0	1.1	81	0

11	Nov_6_2015	36.13	41.64	47.19	49.23	49	49.68	51.7(4.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	79	80	28	233	6.97	63%	0.39	69.1	4.17%	0	1.6	89	0
12	Nov_5_2015	35.99	40.71	45.78	48.18	48.24	48.68	49.44(2.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	73	70	22	227	5.52	61%	0.33	68.3	4.16%	0	1.5	88	0
13	Nov_4_2015	35.87	39.93	44.5	47.09	47.41	48.31	48.23(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	72	150	23	218	7.16	64%	0.31	69.1	4.15%	0	1.5	88	0
14	Nov_3_2015	35.76	39.25	43.32	46.28	46.3	47.8	48.59(0.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	77	230	31	213	9.09	64%	0.28	72.1	4.31%	0	1.8	90	0
15	Nov_2_2015	35.66	38.5	42.12	45.42	45.29	46.5	48.18(3.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	77	180	31	214	9.99	64%	0.28	76.8	4.31%	0	2	90	0

16	Oct_30_2015	35.56	37.78	40.89	44.87	44.53	44.81	46.48(5.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	76	20	28	221	12.65	64%	0.23	86.5	4.29%	0	2	89	0
17	Oct_29_2015	35.48	37.09	39.77	43	44.59	44.09	43.95(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	70	30	28	195	7.06	64%	0.17	80.4	4.24%	0	1.7	88	0
18	Oct_28_2015	35.42	36.45	38.88	41.45	42.9	44.25	44.2(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	58	330	22	165	8.54	64%	0.2	70	4.26%	0	2	85	0
19	Oct_27_2015	35.35	35.8	37.85	39.84	41.01	45.09	44.31(-2.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	94	780	75	151	16.68	61%	0.2	61.6	4.26%	0	2.5	79	0
20	Oct_26_2015	35.28	35.12	36.8	38.31	38.96	41.55	45.39(22.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.4	102	520	94	126	48.55	61%	0.2	53.7	4.3%	0	3.5	84	0

21	Oct_23_2015	35.21	34.36	35.55	36.43	36.69	36.93	37.17(2.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	70	17	64	7.94	51%	0	50.6	3.36%	0	1.6	67	0
22	Oct_22_2015	35.21	34.13	35.2	36.1	36.31	36.37	36.2(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	30	5	52	5.26	51%	-0.03	44.9	3.35%	0	1.2	70	0
23	Oct_21_2015	35.22	33.98	34.99	35.87	36.02	36.46	36.11(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	100	12	63	2.69	51%	-0.09	37.6	3.35%	0	1.3	78	0
24	Oct_20_2015	35.25	33.79	34.87	35.5	35.69	36.25	36.66(1.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	37	130	24	75	4.74	51%	-0.11	21.9	3.35%	0	1.9	78	0
25	Oct_19_2015	35.29	33.61	34.62	35.01	35.05	35.59	36(1.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	33	110	19	75	2.64	51%		13.9	3.35%	0	1.7	77	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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