Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TCOM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 21, 2015

Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 16, 2006 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Trip.com Group Limited)
TCOM latest price $36.1100 (-1.5%) ($35.5600 - $36.8500) on Wed. Oct. 21, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.35% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $36.1100(-1.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TCOM advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TCOM advances 3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TCOM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(55%)    MCHI(49%)    FXI(46%)    VWO(42%)    EEM(38%)
Factors Impacting TCOM price   TCOM will decline at least -1.675% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-8%)    VIXM(-7%)    TLT(-5%)    BNDX(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.675% (StdDev 3.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.87(0.67%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.99(3.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.98(6.27%)
To recent high   -9.2%
To recent low   19.4%
Market Cap   $21.416b

Trip.com Group Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. TCOM price fluctuates within 4.74% (three month std-dev: 3.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.77%(60%) Average negative next day return: -1.4%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 3.04%(80%) Average negative next three day return: -1.02%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 4.6%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.69%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151121

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_21_2015	35.22	33.98	34.99	35.87	36.02	36.46	36.11(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	100	12	63	2.69	51%	-0.09	37.6	3.35%	0	1.3	78	0
2	Oct_20_2015	35.25	33.79	34.87	35.5	35.69	36.25	36.66(1.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	37	130	24	75	4.74	51%	-0.11	21.9	3.35%	0	1.9	78	0
3	Oct_19_2015	35.29	33.61	34.62	35.01	35.05	35.59	36(1.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	33	110	19	75	2.64	51%	-0.11	13.9	3.35%	0	1.7	77	0
4	Oct_16_2015	35.33	33.48	34.45	34.55	34.63	35.12	35.52(1.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	34	110	19	80	5.63	51%	-0.14	8.1	3.35%	0	1.6	78	0
5	Oct_15_2015	35.38	33.4	34.24	34.17	34.29	34.52	35.08(2.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	60	11	71	4.79	48%	-0.14	-1.1	3.36%	0	1.3	62	0

6	Oct_14_2015	35.43	33.38	33.88	33.98	34.05	34.13	34.22(-0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	11	20	-2	51	4.61	48%	-0.2	0	3.41%	0	0.6	54	0
7	Oct_13_2015	35.5	33.46	33.63	34.15	34.1	34.05	34.25(1.72%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	12	-10	-2	53	3.74	48%	-0.06	14.4	3.41%	0	0.6	59	0
8	Oct_12_2015	35.52	33.42	33.36	34.17	34.42	33.98	33.67(0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-70	-7	44	3.89	48%	-0.22	19.4	3.41%	0	0.2	52	0
9	Oct_9_2015	35.6	33.38	33.11	34.34	34.56	34.15	33.63(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-60	-10	35	5.19	50%	-0.08	26.4	3.42%	0	0.2	49	0
10	Oct_8_2015	35.63	33.42	33.01	34.29	34.6	34.87	34.13(-2.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	80	12	35	4.83	50%	-0.06	30.7	3.44%	0	0.5	49	0

11	Oct_7_2015	35.65	33.38	32.91	33.72	34.18	34.96	35.07(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	27	200	30	17	6.69	50%	-0.03	21.9	3.43%	0	1.3	48	0
12	Oct_6_2015	35.66	33.27	32.63	33.03	33.19	34.33	34.33(-0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	17	250	30	-21	3.79	50%	-0.03	10.3	3.43%	0	0.8	40	0
13	Oct_5_2015	35.67	33.17	32.5	32.44	32.47	33.4	34.53(3.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	21	200	40	-35	6.84	50%	-0.06	-5.6	3.42%	0	1	54	0
14	Oct_2_2015	35.69	33.04	32.39	31.72	31.7	32.05	33.38(6.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-7	80	12	-64	8.53	48%	-0.06	-30.8	3.42%	0	0.3	53	0
15	Oct_1_2015	35.71	33.01	32.44	31.58	31.45	31.54	31.3(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	10	-9	-81	4	44%	-0.06	-40.7	3.32%	0	-1.3	39	0

16	Sep_30_2015	35.73	33.1	32.81	31.99	31.86	31.54	31.59(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-120	-6	-62	6.95	44%	-0.03	-31.7	3.33%	0	-1.2	44	0
17	Sep_29_2015	35.74	33.14	33.25	32.17	32.13	31.36	31.4(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-33	-170	-27	-51	7.73	42%	0	-27.6	3.35%	0	-1.5	47	0
18	Sep_28_2015	35.74	33.24	33.48	32.55	32.66	32.37	30.93(-5.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-25	-50	-22	-32	4.73	42%	-0.03	-8.8	3.37%	0	-2	48	0
19	Sep_25_2015	35.75	33.44	33.72	33.13	33.07	32.91	32.67(-2.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-8	-40	-8	-6	3.97	45%	0	19.6	3.31%	0	-0.7	56	0
20	Sep_24_2015	35.75	33.55	33.9	33.43	33.28	32.96	33.35(2.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-9	-80	-15	8	3.41	45%	0.06	38.2	3.3%	0	-0.2	53	0

21	Sep_23_2015	35.73	33.49	33.94	33.79	33.73	33.23	32.49(-2.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-12	-110	-23	21	4.89	45%	0.03	38	3.29%	0	-0.9	51	0
22	Sep_22_2015	35.72	33.47	34.01	34.52	34.26	33.61	33.3(-1.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	3	-160	-14	52	6.2	47%	0.03	44.4	3.28%	0	-0.1	57	0
23	Sep_21_2015	35.71	33.34	33.93	34.55	34.75	34.23	33.84(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-90	-5	53	5.13	47%	0.06	18.1	3.3%	0	0.4	53	0
24	Sep_18_2015	35.69	33.23	33.76	34.37	34.52	34.91	34.17(-2.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	90	-4	34	4.42	44%	0.08	1	3.34%	0	0.7	48	0
25	Sep_17_2015	35.66	33.14	33.64	34.42	34.26	35.28	35.13(-2.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	190	26	39	5.18	44%		-10.3	3.32%	0	1.4	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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