Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 5, 2015

Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 16, 2006 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Trip.com Group Limited)
TCOM latest price $24.8700 (-0.08%) ($24.6300 - $25.0500) on Thu. Feb. 5, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.48% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $24.8700(-0.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TCOM advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TCOM advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TCOM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(46%)    VWO(42%)    EEM(39%)    VT(32%)    XLY(30%)
Factors Impacting TCOM price   TCOM will decline at least -1.24% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-9%)    SHY(-8%)    TLT(-5%)    BNDX(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.24% (StdDev 2.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.43(1.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.52(1.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.01(3.58%)
To recent high   -16.5%
To recent low   20.8%
Market Cap   $14.75b

Trip.com Group Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. TCOM price fluctuates within 3.08% (three month std-dev: 2.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 16 Average positive next day return: 1.9%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.01%(50%) Sample size 16 Average positive next three day return: 2.45%(69%) Average negative next three day return: -1.84%(31%) Sample size 16 Average positive next weekly return: 1.55%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.28%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_5_2015	25.91	24.01	24.52	24.43	24.47	24.79	24.87(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	100	14	41	2.8	40%	-0.23	60.4	2.48%	0	1.2	74	0
2	Feb_4_2015	25.97	23.92	24.5	24.27	24.2	24.54	24.89(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	90	12	46	2.77	40%	-0.23	57.3	2.56%	0	1.3	70	0
3	Feb_3_2015	26.03	23.8	24.45	24.19	24.04	24.15	24.52(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	10	4	50	3.32	40%	-0.27	53.3	2.56%	0	0.9	65	0
4	Feb_2_2015	26.1	23.69	24.33	24.22	24.12	23.87	24.1(1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	-80	-8	50	3.32	40%	-0.31	50.3	2.54%	0	0.5	63	0
5	Jan_30_2015	26.18	23.62	24.24	24.35	24.3	23.94	23.78(-1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	-110	-20	51	4.06	40%	-0.34	54.1	2.55%	0	0.2	56	0

6	Jan_29_2015	26.27	23.57	24.16	24.61	24.61	24.37	24.05(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	8	-70	-12	66	4.46	40%	-0.34	63.2	2.56%	0	0.6	61	0
7	Jan_28_2015	26.36	23.5	24.07	24.74	24.83	24.66	24.48(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	18	-40	-3	80	3.01	40%	-0.34	67.8	2.56%	0	1.1	70	0
8	Jan_27_2015	26.45	23.4	23.95	24.73	24.82	24.85	24.7(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	29	20	8	92	3.93	38%	-0.34	68.6	2.56%	0	1.5	76	0
9	Jan_26_2015	26.54	23.3	23.8	24.45	24.63	25.01	24.76(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	130	21	90	2.48	38%	-0.38	66.1	2.59%	0	1.8	79	0
10	Jan_23_2015	26.64	23.18	23.65	24.1	24.17	24.8	25.05(1.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	44	190	31	84	5.29	38%	-0.37	66.8	2.58%	0	2.5	76	0

11	Jan_22_2015	26.74	23.05	23.46	23.66	23.67	24.26	24.73(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	39	180	30	65	3.6	38%	-0.34	75.8	2.58%	0	2.8	71	0
12	Jan_21_2015	26.83	22.93	23.27	23.31	23.27	23.54	24.43(5.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	26	80	19	45	6.76	41%	-0.37	86.1	2.57%	0	3.1	71	0
13	Jan_20_2015	26.93	22.84	23.08	23.08	23.07	23.09	23.26(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	0	2	27	4.46	37%	-0.33	108.6	2.53%	0	1.3	62	0
14	Jan_16_2015	27.02	22.78	22.99	23.06	23.09	23.01	23.04(0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-20	-4	20	4.34	37%	-0.33	122.7	2.53%	0	0.9	56	0
15	Jan_15_2015	27.11	22.7	22.95	23.13	23.16	23.05	22.82(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	1	-30	-7	25	3.75	40%	-0.37	112.7	2.52%	0	0.4	57	0

16	Jan_14_2015	27.21	22.6	22.94	23.22	23.24	23.18	23.02(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-20	-1	35	3.84	40%	-0.33	75.5	2.56%	0	0.9	59	0
17	Jan_13_2015	27.3	22.53	22.9	23.2	23.21	23.28	23.25(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	20	5	36	3.56	37%	-0.36	50.9	2.57%	0	1.1	63	0
18	Jan_12_2015	27.4	22.49	22.83	23.07	23.13	23.3	23.16(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	60	11	31	3.86	37%	-0.33	46.4	2.63%	0	1	61	0
19	Jan_9_2015	27.49	22.41	22.78	22.89	22.93	23.15	23.4(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	70	12	28	3.62	36%	-0.36	25.5	2.64%	0	1.5	75	0
20	Jan_8_2015	27.59	22.32	22.68	22.74	22.66	22.95	23.27(1.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	14	80	9	28	4.76	38%	-0.36	1.8	2.67%	0	1.5	80	0

21	Jan_7_2015	27.69	22.25	22.6	22.63	22.6	22.72	22.93(1.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	17	30	9	41	6.34	38%	-0.36	-17.8	2.7%	0	1.1	84	0
22	Jan_6_2015	27.79	22.2	22.6	22.56	22.52	22.38	22.58(1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	10	-50	-1	42	5.1	38%	-0.39	-43.3	2.7%	0	0.7	61	0
23	Jan_5_2015	27.9	22.19	22.57	22.55	22.51	22.48	22.29(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-10	-7	40	3.81	38%	-0.39	-78.5	2.69%	0	0.2	47	0
24	Jan_2_2015	28.01	22.25	22.55	22.63	22.57	22.66	22.61(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	16	20	3	55	4.7	38%	-0.57	-98.9	2.69%	0	0.6	60	0
25	Dec_31_2014	28.17	22.31	22.43	22.61	22.58	22.55	22.75(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10	3	52	2.64	38%		-107.4	2.7%	0	0.6	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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