Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 4, 2014

Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 16, 2006 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Trip.com Group Limited)
TCOM latest price $23.6000 (-1.87%) ($22.6800 - $24.0900) on Thu. Dec. 4, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.39% (three month average)
RSI   19
Latest Price   $23.6000(-1.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TCOM declines -2.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TCOM declines -8.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TCOM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(45%)    VWO(42%)    EEM(38%)    VT(32%)    XLY(30%)
Factors Impacting TCOM price   TCOM will decline at least -1.195% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-9%)    SHY(-7%)    TLT(-5%)    BNDX(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.195% (StdDev 2.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $11.87(-49.7%)
Resistance Level   $27.62
5 Day Moving Average   $24.69(-4.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.6(-11.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.62(-14.55%)
To recent high   -31.3%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $13.996b

Trip.com Group Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. TCOM price fluctuates within 7.35% (three month std-dev: 2.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 3.39%(36%) Average negative next day return: -1.42%(64%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 3.03%(36%) Average negative next three day return: -5.11%(64%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 2.58%(55%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.32%(45%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_4_2014	29.96	27.62	26.6	24.69	24.4	23.75	23.6(-1.87%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-86	-220	-37	-231	12.43	31%	-0.23	-50.7	2.39%	0	-2	19	0
2	Dec_3_2014	30.03	27.84	27.19	25.32	25.12	24.11	24.05(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-96	-310	-60	-204	5.2	31%	-0.2	-50.4	2.41%	0	-2.1	28	0
3	Dec_2_2014	30.09	28.09	27.77	26.35	25.73	25.05	23.96(-3.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-91	-260	-71	-151	11.64	37%	-0.23	-39	2.42%	0	-2.6	29	0
4	Dec_1_2014	30.16	28.37	28.36	27.45	27	26.13	24.79(-8.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-52	-270	-43	-78	11.61	39%	-0.17	-20.8	2.51%	0	-2.8	32	0
5	Nov_28_2014	30.21	28.61	28.89	28.38	27.92	26.41	27.04(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-47	-430	-55	-22	11.64	44%	-0.17	1.8	2.31%	0	-1.6	55	0

6	Nov_26_2014	30.26	28.69	29.11	28.8	28.73	27.86	26.75(-8.48%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-2.3	-41	-220	-59	14	29.87	44%	-0.1	15.8	2.28%	0	-2.2	53	0
7	Nov_25_2014	30.29	28.77	29.31	29.31	28.73	29.43	29.23(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	20	-8	79	6.53	50%	-0.1	33.5	2.04%	0	0.6	74	0
8	Nov_24_2014	30.32	28.72	29.22	29.42	29.4	29.6	29.45(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	25	50	4	86	6	50%	-0.03	34.8	2.04%	0	0.9	55	0
9	Nov_21_2014	30.33	28.64	29.1	29.44	29.47	29.36	29.45(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	23	-20	3	81	5.53	50%	-0.1	37.3	2.04%	0	1	51	0
10	Nov_20_2014	30.36	28.59	28.89	29.49	29.38	29.21	29.12(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-50	-11	61	2.7	50%	-0.1	48.7	2.04%	0	0.7	49	0

11	Nov_19_2014	30.39	28.55	28.71	29.48	29.49	29.59	29.29(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	21	20	9	56	5.6	50%	-0.1	59.4	2.04%	0	1	55	0
12	Nov_18_2014	30.42	28.51	28.52	29.3	29.38	29.55	29.77(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	50	20	44	4.12	50%	-0.1	63.1	2.03%	0	1.7	64	0
13	Nov_17_2014	30.45	28.44	28.4	28.98	29	29.39	29.57(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	100	17	31	2.79	50%	-0.03	69.6	2.03%	0	1.6	61	0
14	Nov_14_2014	30.46	28.35	28.34	28.72	28.76	29.21	29.7(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	39	110	39	38	3.94	50%	-0.03	73.3	2.03%	0	1.9	65	0
15	Nov_13_2014	30.47	28.22	28.26	28.21	28.35	28.61	29.09(2.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	24	80	29	10	5.84	48%	0	57.3	2.01%	0	1.3	53	0

16	Nov_12_2014	30.47	28.11	28.2	27.82	27.84	28.3	28.36(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	8	120	16	-17	1.86	46%	-0.03	36.7	1.98%	0	0.4	49	0
17	Nov_11_2014	30.48	28.05	28.2	27.62	27.62	28.1	28.2(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	3	120	15	-33	3.12	49%	-0.03	17	1.98%	0	0.2	48	0
18	Nov_10_2014	30.49	27.96	28.17	27.74	27.54	27.37	28.23(3.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-14	-60	-5	-39	4	49%	-0.07	12.2	2.02%	0	0.3	46	0
19	Nov_7_2014	30.51	27.96	28.12	27.92	27.84	27.14	27.15(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.8	-39	-180	-38	-42	2.93	53%	-0.1	6.2	1.95%	0	-0.7	49	0
20	Nov_6_2014	30.54	27.84	28.27	28.32	28.43	27.7	27.15(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-27	-170	-34	-5	2.36	53%	-0.1	14.1	2.27%	0	-0.7	53	0

21	Nov_5_2014	30.57	27.86	28.42	28.63	28.91	28.53	27.35(-5.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-7	-60	-19	31	6.01	50%	-0.13	23.1	2.28%	0	-0.5	58	0
22	Nov_4_2014	30.61	27.92	28.54	28.77	28.97	29.16	28.83(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	70	4	61	3.52	56%	-0.03	30.3	2.26%	0	1	69	0
23	Nov_3_2014	30.62	27.85	28.52	28.64	28.77	29.3	29.14(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	39	140	24	84	2.94	56%	0.03	23.2	2.28%	0	1.4	77	0
24	Oct_31_2014	30.61	27.78	28.37	28.36	28.48	28.78	29.15(1.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	36	90	19	86	3.48	56%	0	12.4	2.3%	0	1.6	80	0
25	Oct_30_2014	30.61	27.71	28.18	28.24	28.17	28.25	28.66(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	10	2	78	3.32	56%		-1.1	2.29%	0	1.2	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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