Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TCOM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Oct. 20, 2014

Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 16, 2006 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Trip.com Group Limited)
TCOM latest price $27.6400 (1.51%) ($27.2500 - $28.2000) on Mon. Oct. 20, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.45% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $27.6400(1.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TCOM advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TCOM declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TCOM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(45%)    VWO(42%)    EEM(38%)    VT(32%)    XLY(30%)
Factors Impacting TCOM price   TCOM will decline at least -1.225% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-9%)    SHY(-7%)    TLT(-5%)    IGOV(-3%)    BNDX(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.225% (StdDev 2.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $18.9(-31.62%)
Resistance Level   $27.87
5 Day Moving Average   $27(2.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.1(1.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.87(-0.83%)
To recent high   -19.5%
To recent low   7.6%
Market Cap   $16.392b

Trip.com Group Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. TCOM price fluctuates within 4.38% (three month std-dev: 2.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 3.23%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.22%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 5.03%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -4.02%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 5.32%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.13%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_20_2014	30.64	27.87	27.1	27	26.99	27.45	27.64(1.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	13	120	27	-29	4.05	61%	0	-68.3	2.45%	0	-0.2	45	INF
2	Oct_17_2014	30.64	27.98	27.12	26.61	26.54	27	27.23(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	110	14	-59	4.28	58%	-0.03	-73.9	2.44%	0	-0.6	41	INF
3	Oct_16_2014	30.65	28.12	27.17	26.54	26.34	26.53	26.87(-0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-17	30	5	-81	4.84	58%	0	-76.7	2.45%	0	-0.9	33	INF
4	Oct_15_2014	30.65	28.31	27.24	26.66	26.42	26.08	27.04(3.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-37	-120	-16	-100	7.4	58%	-0.07	-78.2	2.45%	0	-0.9	33	INF
5	Oct_14_2014	30.67	28.49	27.33	26.96	26.85	26.14	26.22(2.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-48	-200	-27	-110	7.27	56%	-0.13	-76.5	2.42%	0	-1.5	25	INF

6	Oct_13_2014	30.71	28.73	27.55	27.22	27.37	26.76	25.68(-4.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-54	-140	-34	-113	5.09	56%	-0.07	-82	2.42%	0	-2.1	22	INF
7	Oct_10_2014	30.73	28.98	27.85	27.68	27.69	27.55	26.88(-2.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-30	-18	-98	5.21	61%	-0.03	-87.2	2.37%	0	-1.5	25	INF
8	Oct_9_2014	30.74	29.23	28.12	27.87	27.93	27.99	27.5(-3.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-20	20	3	-88	3.38	61%	0	-87.1	2.36%	0	-1.2	26	INF
9	Oct_8_2014	30.74	29.48	28.33	27.88	27.89	27.84	28.5(3.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-21	-10	4	-97	4	60%	0.03	-86.7	2.32%	0	-0.6	29	INF
10	Oct_7_2014	30.73	29.68	28.46	27.77	27.83	27.87	27.52(-1.78%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-35	20	-8	-114	2.35	57%	0	-84.1	2.33%	0	-1.3	14	INF

11	Oct_6_2014	30.73	29.96	28.7	27.94	27.92	27.94	28.02(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-31	0	-3	-114	2.35	57%	0.07	-78.9	2.33%	0	-1.1	14	INF
12	Oct_3_2014	30.71	30.25	28.89	28.06	28.08	27.8	27.81(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-42	-70	-16	-118	5.31	57%	0.07	-68.8	2.35%	0	-1.3	22	INF
13	Oct_2_2014	30.69	30.57	29.14	28.42	28.35	27.9	27.55(-1.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-52	-120	-29	-121	6.11	57%	0.07	-58.4	2.34%	0	-1.5	13	INF
14	Oct_1_2014	30.67	30.91	29.45	28.84	28.86	28.37	27.95(-1.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-50	-120	-27	-117	4.25	57%	0.1	-51.2	2.34%	0	-1.5	12	INF
15	Sep_30_2014	30.64	31.19	29.74	29.26	29.32	28.79	28.38(-0.73%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-47	-120	-25	-113	7.62	61%	0.1	-45	2.35%	0	-1.5	13	INF

16	Sep_29_2014	30.61	31.47	30.01	29.56	29.65	29.35	28.59(-3.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-43	-60	-21	-110	9.25	61%	0.13	-39.2	2.45%	0	-1.6	12	INF
17	Sep_26_2014	30.57	31.66	30.21	29.84	29.92	29.85	29.62(-0.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-35	-10	-7	-120	2.5	67%	0.23	-39.5	2.41%	0	-1.2	12	INF
18	Sep_25_2014	30.5	31.79	30.44	29.98	29.96	29.96	29.66(-1.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-38	-0	-8	-129	3.38	67%	0.23	-41.2	2.47%	0	-1.3	12	INF
19	Sep_24_2014	30.43	31.92	30.72	30.17	30.11	29.99	30.05(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-37	-30	-5	-131	2.04	67%	0.2	-43	2.49%	0	-1.2	14	INF
20	Sep_23_2014	30.37	32.05	30.99	30.31	30.32	29.95	29.88(-0.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-44	-80	-14	-134	5.09	67%	0.2	-44.6	2.5%	0	-1.5	24	INF

21	Sep_22_2014	30.31	32.19	31.31	30.54	30.52	30.23	29.98(-1.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-43	-70	-14	-131	5.53	67%	0.2	-45.4	2.51%	0	-1.6	22	INF
22	Sep_19_2014	30.25	32.32	31.7	30.64	30.74	30.68	30.32(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-39	-0	-13	-116	4.95	67%	0.23	-49.6	2.51%	0	-1.6	43	INF
23	Sep_18_2014	30.18	32.45	32.1	30.98	30.88	30.68	30.61(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-30	-14	-90	2.55	67%	0.23	-47.9	2.52%	0	-1.6	45	INF
24	Sep_17_2014	30.11	32.58	32.46	31.37	31.25	30.8	30.77(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	-110	-19	-64	3.52	67%	0.27	-43.7	2.52%	0	-1.7	45	INF
25	Sep_16_2014	30.03	32.7	32.74	31.78	31.7	30.96	31.02(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-170	-31	-47	4.95	69%		-39	2.53%	0	-1.7	44	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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