Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TCOM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jun. 19, 2014

Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 16, 2006 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Trip.com Group Limited)
TCOM latest price $30.1600 (-2.2%) ($29.8000 - $31.0000) on Thu. Jun. 19, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.91% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $30.1600(-2.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TCOM advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TCOM advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TCOM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(45%)    VWO(42%)    EEM(38%)    VT(32%)    XLY(30%)
Factors Impacting TCOM price   TCOM will decline at least -1.455% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-10%)    SHY(-7%)    TLT(-6%)    BNDX(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.455% (StdDev 2.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.02(0.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.58(1.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.84(4.58%)
To recent high   -2.2%
To recent low   34%
Market Cap   $17.887b

Trip.com Group Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. TCOM price fluctuates within 3.36% (three month std-dev: 2.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 1.6%(23%) Average negative next day return: -1.17%(77%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 2.84%(31%) Average negative next three day return: -1.34%(69%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 2.01%(54%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.29%(46%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140719

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_19_2014	25.4	28.84	29.58	30.02	30.13	30.51	30.16(-2.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	100	13	68	3	56%	0.4	87.2	2.91%	0	1.4	73	INF
2	Jun_18_2014	25.3	28.71	29.42	29.78	29.72	30.35	30.84(1.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	31	140	19	68	3.18	56%	0.44	92.1	2.91%	0	2.2	81	INF
3	Jun_17_2014	25.19	28.54	29.18	29.52	29.45	29.75	30.45(1.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	30	60	18	66	4	56%	0.48	110.5	2.92%	0	2.3	81	INF
4	Jun_16_2014	25.07	28.36	28.97	29.33	29.27	29.09	30.03(4.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	-50	7	58	5.01	56%	0.4	123.2	2.92%	0	2.2	66	INF
5	Jun_13_2014	24.97	28.16	28.78	29.04	29.2	29.14	28.62(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	0	-5	44	3.13	49%	0.36	114.4	2.87%	0	0.6	58	INF

6	Jun_12_2014	24.88	28.02	28.7	29.06	29.14	29.44	28.97(-1.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	80	7	51	3.96	49%	0.28	113	2.91%	0	1	66	INF
7	Jun_11_2014	24.81	27.86	28.57	28.97	28.93	29.27	29.53(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	80	15	51	5.21	49%	0.36	113.8	2.92%	0	1.6	75	INF
8	Jun_10_2014	24.72	27.64	28.36	28.77	28.7	28.83	29.49(3.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	20	11	42	4.91	45%	0.2	105.5	2.92%	0	1.6	75	INF
9	Jun_9_2014	24.67	27.44	28.22	28.57	28.54	28.59	28.59(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	12	10	3	39	2.04	43%	0.33	107.4	2.99%	0	1	75	INF
10	Jun_6_2014	24.59	27.26	28.16	28.49	28.44	28.57	28.72(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	19	30	8	51	1.62	43%	0.37	101.1	3%	0	1.2	83	INF

11	Jun_5_2014	24.5	26.97	28.05	28.28	28.28	28.48	28.53(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	22	50	10	59	2.01	43%	0.33	75.7	3%	0	1	84	INF
12	Jun_4_2014	24.42	26.69	27.96	28.1	28.04	28.31	28.52(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	25	60	11	67	2.61	43%	0.37	63.8	3%	0	1.1	84	INF
13	Jun_3_2014	24.33	26.48	27.85	27.88	27.83	28.08	28.5(1.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	24	60	7	74	3.86	43%	0.37	62.7	3%	0	1.2	87	INF
14	Jun_2_2014	24.24	26.26	27.7	27.82	27.73	27.78	28.16(1.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	24	0	4	82	3.28	43%	0.37	67.4	3.01%	0	1.1	76	INF
15	May_30_2014	24.15	26.05	27.49	27.82	27.72	27.59	27.71(0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	21	-40	-2	90	1.9	43%	0.33	70.5	3.02%	0	1	79	INF

16	May_29_2014	24.07	25.85	27.3	27.79	27.75	27.67	27.63(0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	26	-20	-3	113	2.67	43%	0.25	69.3	3.05%	0	1	86	INF
17	May_28_2014	24.01	25.64	27.11	27.78	27.77	27.86	27.42(-2.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	35	20	1	137	4.91	43%	0.17	64.3	3.07%	0	1	83	INF
18	May_27_2014	23.97	25.43	26.89	27.79	27.68	27.82	28.18(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	46	20	10	152	3.85	48%	0.29	57	3.08%	0	1.5	73	INF
19	May_23_2014	23.9	25.15	26.62	27.55	27.46	27.68	28(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	49	50	14	153	2.79	51%	0.17	44.1	3.17%	0	1.6	72	INF
20	May_22_2014	23.86	24.88	26.29	27.15	27.16	27.53	27.7(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	51	100	19	148	3	51%	0.17	31.8	3.19%	0	1.7	73	INF

21	May_21_2014	23.82	24.69	25.8	26.74	26.67	27.23	27.58(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	47	140	21	126	3.89	51%	0.13	22.1	3.22%	0	1.9	73	INF
22	May_20_2014	23.79	24.55	25.34	26.34	26.15	26.79	27.5(2.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	47	150	26	111	4.68	51%	0.08	15	3.22%	0	2.1	74	INF
23	May_19_2014	23.77	24.45	24.99	25.85	25.73	26.11	26.95(3.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	38	90	19	96	5.19	48%	0	1.9	3.22%	0	1.9	73	INF
24	May_16_2014	23.77	24.39	24.69	25.56	25.43	25.52	26.03(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	10	10	87	3.18	53%	0.04	-7.9	3.52%	0	1.4	74	INF
25	May_15_2014	23.76	24.36	24.47	25.3	25.25	25.35	25.62(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	20	17	88	3.83	53%		-18	3.55%	0	1.1	70	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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