Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TCOM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Nov. 21, 2013

Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 16, 2006 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Trip.com Group Limited)
TCOM latest price $23.4100 (-2.78%) ($22.8600 - $24.4100) on Thu. Nov. 21, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.86% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $23.4100(-2.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TCOM declines -2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TCOM declines -4.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TCOM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(45%)    VWO(41%)    EEM(38%)    XLY(31%)    QQQ(30%)
Factors Impacting TCOM price   TCOM will decline at least -1.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    TLT(-6%)    BNDX(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)    TIP(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.43% (StdDev 2.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $13.38(-42.84%)
Resistance Level   $26.4
5 Day Moving Average   $24.93(-6.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.26(-7.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.4(-11.33%)
To recent high   -21.9%
To recent low   3.2%
Market Cap   $13.884b

Trip.com Group Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. TCOM price fluctuates within 6.21% (three month std-dev: 2.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 27 Average positive next day return: 2.91%(44%) Average negative next day return: -6.24%(56%) Sample size 27 Average positive next three day return: 5.31%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -7.6%(37%) Sample size 27 Average positive next weekly return: 5.03%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -9.2%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131221

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_21_2013	23.95	26.4	25.26	24.93	24.9	24.03	23.41(-2.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-54	-250	-34	-115	10.68	39%	0.29	-56.4	2.86%	0	-1.8	37	0
2	Nov_20_2013	23.88	26.65	25.45	25.44	25.66	24.73	24.08(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-52	-230	-33	-109	4.14	39%	0.34	-56	2.85%	0	-1.7	40	0
3	Nov_19_2013	23.8	26.86	25.7	25.82	26.06	25.77	24.41(-5.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-37	-50	-18	-94	8.85	39%	0.34	-54.9	2.84%	0	-1.7	40	0
4	Nov_18_2013	23.72	27.07	26.2	25.93	26.09	26.59	25.77(-4.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-13	150	8	-76	5.83	42%	0.42	-55	2.76%	0	-1	39	0
5	Nov_15_2013	23.62	27.23	26.5	25.91	25.83	26.35	26.96(3.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	2	130	24	-64	5.83	45%	0.43	-50.9	2.71%	0	-0.2	47	0

6	Nov_14_2013	23.52	27.36	26.54	25.66	25.6	25.6	25.98(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	-10	12	-85	3.07	42%	0.47	-49.2	2.68%	0	-0.9	43	0
7	Nov_13_2013	23.41	27.52	26.66	25.49	25.48	25.31	25.96(3.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-36	-50	-11	-111	6.47	46%	0.43	-49.1	2.68%	0	-1.1	42	0
8	Nov_12_2013	23.31	27.65	26.81	25.6	25.65	25.6	25(-2.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-54	-10	-32	-119	7.78	42%	0.43	-45.8	2.69%	0	-1.9	38	0
9	Nov_11_2013	23.21	27.83	27.19	26.52	26.14	25.66	25.65(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-41	-170	-29	-78	5.75	42%	0.43	-26.7	2.68%	0	-1.7	38	0
10	Nov_8_2013	23.11	27.97	27.42	27.2	27.04	25.69	25.73(2.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-41	-370	-35	-60	5.07	42%	0.43	-12.2	2.68%	0	-1.9	36	0

11	Nov_7_2013	23.01	28.1	27.65	27.55	27.81	26.61	25.09(-5.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-53	-270	-49	-65	8.93	42%	0.35	-8.6	2.66%	0	-2.9	30	0
12	Nov_6_2013	22.93	28.24	27.98	27.96	27.81	28.38	26.55(-10.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-24	70	-17	-43	19.4	47%	0.39	-5.3	2.57%	0	-2.1	39	0
13	Nov_5_2013	22.84	28.31	28.15	28.14	28.22	29	29.59(1.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	17	200	31	-26	8.69	59%	0.53	-12.7	2.2%	0	1.6	56	0
14	Nov_4_2013	22.72	28.17	28.02	27.96	27.96	28.06	29.05(5.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	7	30	22	-38	6.83	59%	0.53	-39.1	2.21%	0	1.2	54	0
15	Nov_1_2013	22.6	28.11	28	27.73	27.89	27.44	27.46(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-26	-100	-14	-61	5.34	70%	0.49	-56.3	2.11%	0	-0.9	46	0

16	Oct_31_2013	22.49	28.19	28.22	27.81	27.96	27.87	27.13(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-18	-10	-14	-30	7.15	70%	0.49	-49.8	3.16%	0	-1.5	44	0
17	Oct_30_2013	22.38	28.29	28.43	28.01	28.13	28.34	27.45(-4.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-0	70	2	-7	6.85	70%	0.49	-36	3.15%	0	-1.1	53	0
18	Oct_29_2013	22.27	28.41	28.55	28.13	28.09	28.05	28.73(3.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	4	-10	4	4	4.37	76%	0.54	-19.1	3.1%	0	0.4	62	0
19	Oct_28_2013	22.15	28.46	28.51	28.08	28.01	27.91	27.87(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-8	-30	-12	5	4.71	76%	0.5	2.1	3.11%	0	-0.7	64	0
20	Oct_25_2013	22.04	28.52	28.56	28.33	28.27	28.13	27.86(-1.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-5	-40	-12	17	5.96	79%	0.5	31.7	3.11%	0	-0.8	51	0

21	Oct_24_2013	21.93	28.56	28.59	28.71	28.69	28.11	28.16(0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-3	-140	-12	26	8.57	79%	0.6	66.1	3.14%	0	-0.5	44	0
22	Oct_23_2013	21.8	28.57	28.54	28.91	29.02	28.41	28.02(-1.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-8	-140	-18	22	5.43	79%	0.55	91.1	3.14%	0	-0.7	44	0
23	Oct_22_2013	21.68	28.56	28.51	29.01	29.21	29.27	28.48(-2.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	40	-4	18	5.88	79%	0.65	89.4	3.13%	0	-0.1	40	0
24	Oct_21_2013	21.54	28.44	28.36	28.99	29.12	29.63	29.11(-2.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	140	15	6	4.8	79%	0.61	80.7	3.11%	0	0.6	44	0
25	Oct_18_2013	21.41	28.27	28.24	28.81	28.81	29.15	29.79(2.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	14	80	20	-6	5.32	79%		70.9	3.11%	0	1.1	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.