Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TCOM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 9, 2013

Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 16, 2006 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Trip.com Group Limited)
TCOM latest price $27.5500 (2.72%) ($25.5700 - $27.9600) on Wed. Oct. 9, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.2% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $27.5500(2.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TCOM declines -1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TCOM advances 3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TCOM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(44%)    VWO(41%)    EEM(38%)    XLY(31%)    QQQ(30%)
Factors Impacting TCOM price   TCOM will decline at least -1.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    TLT(-6%)    BNDX(-4%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.6% (StdDev 3.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.08(-1.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.59(-3.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.03(1.92%)
To recent high   -8%
To recent low   73.3%
Market Cap   $16.339b

Trip.com Group Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. TCOM price fluctuates within 7.14% (three month std-dev: 3.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.7%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 3.94%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -6.16%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 5%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.49%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131109

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_9_2013	20.55	27.03	28.59	28.08	27.96	27.25	27.55(2.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-8	-190	-28	54	7.55	81%	0.59	52.2	3.2%	0	0.3	67	0
2	Oct_8_2013	20.43	26.92	28.63	28.57	28.59	27.97	26.82(-4.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	1	-150	-30	92	7.52	81%	0.54	63	3.2%	0	-0.1	65	0
3	Oct_7_2013	20.32	26.82	28.57	29.17	29.21	28.67	27.95(-3.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	21	-130	-17	135	5.05	87%	0.64	72.7	3.15%	0	0.5	76	0
4	Oct_4_2013	20.19	26.61	28.37	29.42	29.48	29.22	29.11(0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	38	-60	-5	165	5.64	94%	0.7	75.6	3.09%	0	1.2	86	0
5	Oct_3_2013	20.05	26.33	27.98	29.29	29.37	29.76	28.99(-3.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	48	100	6	175	6.81	94%	0.7	75.5	3.11%	0	1.2	86	0

6	Oct_2_2013	19.91	26.06	27.63	29.16	29.09	29.74	29.96(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	68	150	27	190	6.27	100%	0.81	76.1	3.09%	0	1.9	87	0
7	Oct_1_2013	19.75	25.73	27.14	28.72	28.59	28.99	29.86(2.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	70	80	34	179	3.9	100%	0.82	76.9	3.1%	0	2.1	80	0
8	Sep_30_2013	19.59	25.39	26.6	27.89	28.02	28.44	29.18(2.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	57	120	28	143	4.39	100%	0.72	71.7	3.1%	0	2.2	81	0
9	Sep_27_2013	19.45	25.07	26.11	27.15	27.31	28.2	28.46(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	56	250	33	123	3.47	100%	0.73	64.6	3.1%	0	2.2	83	0
10	Sep_26_2013	19.31	24.81	25.68	26.48	26.54	27.6	28.34(2.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	57	290	41	105	3.15	100%	0.89	60.9	3.1%	0	2.6	83	0

11	Sep_25_2013	19.14	24.55	25.3	25.87	25.83	26.42	27.77(8.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	47	160	34	85	9.54	100%	0.84	63.4	3.1%	0	2.9	81	0
12	Sep_24_2013	18.98	24.32	25.01	25.34	25.32	25.47	25.68(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	40	12	68	4.09	91%	0.8	66.7	3%	0	1.6	72	0
13	Sep_23_2013	18.83	24.21	24.9	25.11	25.11	25.24	25.52(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	40	8	67	3.55	91%	0.75	68	3.07%	0	1.7	74	0
14	Sep_20_2013	18.69	24.11	24.71	24.91	24.92	25.17	25.08(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	70	9	63	3.07	80%	0.75	69	3.11%	0	1.3	74	0
15	Sep_19_2013	18.55	24.01	24.56	24.74	24.78	24.98	25.28(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	60	9	55	2.34	80%	0.82	67	3.22%	0	1.8	69	0

16	Sep_18_2013	18.4	23.88	24.39	24.63	24.63	24.67	25.14(2.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	10	1	49	5.47	80%	0.82	65.7	3.23%	0	1.8	66	0
17	Sep_17_2013	18.25	23.77	24.24	24.64	24.65	24.67	24.53(0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-20	-2	53	2.15	80%	0.72	75.5	3.22%	0	1.2	65	0
18	Sep_16_2013	18.12	23.69	24.12	24.66	24.76	24.59	24.5(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	-40	4	55	3.39	80%	0.78	88.7	3.23%	0	1.2	58	0
19	Sep_13_2013	17.98	23.62	23.97	24.48	24.64	24.72	24.23(-2.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	13	40	3	43	3.55	80%	0.78	95.9	3.23%	0	1	57	0
20	Sep_12_2013	17.84	23.53	23.9	24.33	24.42	24.92	24.75(-1.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	150	14	45	3.02	80%	0.73	97.1	3.22%	0	1.8	69	0

21	Sep_11_2013	17.71	23.42	23.77	24.1	24.09	24.57	25.18(2.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	27	140	21	44	6.29	80%	0.85	101.9	3.2%	0	2.8	76	0
22	Sep_10_2013	17.56	23.28	23.56	23.79	23.78	23.92	24.66(4.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	18	40	14	30	4.93	80%	0.86	122.8	3.22%	0	2.8	65	0
23	Sep_9_2013	17.41	23.13	23.56	23.51	23.59	23.6	23.56(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	10	3	18	2.38	78%	0.75	109.1	3.18%	0	0.8	59	0
24	Sep_6_2013	17.28	23.02	23.45	23.4	23.49	23.63	23.52(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	6	50	2	18	2.65	81%	0.82	76.7	3.19%	0	0.8	57	0
25	Sep_5_2013	17.14	22.91	23.4	23.39	23.4	23.57	23.57(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	50	4	21	3.6	81%		63.9	3.27%	0	0.9	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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