Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TCOM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Aug. 12, 2011

Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 16, 2006 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Trip.com Group Limited)
TCOM latest price $20.6000 (2.74%) ($20.0000 - $20.8700) on Fri. Aug. 12, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.86% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $20.6000(2.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TCOM advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TCOM declines -8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TCOM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(44%)    VWO(41%)    EEM(39%)    XLY(32%)    QQQ(31%)
Factors Impacting TCOM price   TCOM will decline at least -1.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-10%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(1%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.43% (StdDev 2.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $5.49(-73.35%)
Resistance Level   $21.1
5 Day Moving Average   $19.47(5.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.78(4.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.1(-2.37%)
To recent high   -15.1%
To recent low   13.9%
Market Cap   $12.217b

Trip.com Group Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. TCOM price fluctuates within 7.58% (three month std-dev: 2.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.87%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.43%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.78%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110912

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_12_2011	21.91	21.1	19.78	19.47	19.55	20.09	20.6(2.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-20	210	26	-157	3.33	46%	0.05	-40.6	2.86%	0	-0.3	38	NAN
2	Aug_11_2011	21.9	21.18	19.98	19.2	19.03	19.5	20.05(3.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-29	150	18	-171	3.83	45%	0.09	-46.3	2.85%	0	-0.7	37	NAN
3	Aug_10_2011	21.88	21.29	20.25	19	18.86	19.01	19.38(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-42	30	4	-181	7.71	43%	0	-51.3	2.83%	0	-1.2	36	NAN
4	Aug_9_2011	21.88	21.44	20.6	19.09	18.88	18.56	19.25(6.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-52	-150	-11	-176	8.14	43%	0	-51.7	2.83%	0	-1.4	35	NAN
5	Aug_8_2011	21.88	21.57	21	19.24	19.16	18.72	18.08(-5.93%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-80	-170	-47	-180	9	38%	0	-53.9	2.7%	0	-2.4	24	NAN

6	Aug_5_2011	21.88	21.77	21.49	20.13	19.61	19.2	19.22(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-67	-220	-46	-129	10.7	43%	0	-46.3	2.63%	0	-2.1	32	NAN
7	Aug_4_2011	21.88	21.95	21.83	20.89	20.56	19.6	19.09(-3.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-55	-370	-45	-85	6.75	43%	0.05	-30.1	2.63%	0	-2.6	29	NAN
8	Aug_3_2011	21.87	22.14	22.16	21.67	21.44	20.02	19.8(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-58	-500	-60	-50	9.04	43%	0.05	-5.2	2.6%	0	-2.7	31	NAN
9	Aug_2_2011	21.86	22.26	22.41	22.32	22.21	21.52	20.03(-10.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.4	-45	-230	-56	-13	23.19	43%	0	24.6	2.65%	0	-3.3	33	NAN
10	Aug_1_2011	21.86	22.38	22.65	22.99	22.95	22.86	22.49(-2.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	12	-30	-4	59	4.31	49%	0.14	99.1	2.29%	0	0.2	65	NAN

11	Jul_29_2011	21.83	22.35	22.59	23.05	23.03	22.91	23.05(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	19	-40	3	67	3.52	51%	0.18	124.2	2.29%	0	1.4	66	NAN
12	Jul_28_2011	21.79	22.28	22.49	22.92	22.94	23.04	22.99(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	30	8	57	1.78	51%	0.18	128.6	2.29%	0	1.4	55	NAN
13	Jul_27_2011	21.75	22.19	22.41	22.73	22.73	23.15	23.04(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	130	17	44	2.1	51%	0.18	117.9	2.29%	0	1.6	52	NAN
14	Jul_26_2011	21.71	22.09	22.32	22.53	22.49	22.85	23.38(2.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	29	110	26	39	5.17	51%	0.18	114.5	2.28%	0	2.5	65	NAN
15	Jul_25_2011	21.67	21.91	22.13	22.27	22.21	22.32	22.8(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	30	14	12	3.06	47%	0.14	76.7	2.26%	0	1.3	57	NAN

16	Jul_22_2011	21.64	21.76	22.04	22.07	22.1	22.13	22.39(1.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	10	5	-6	2.39	47%	0.14	55.4	2.27%	0	0.8	54	NAN
17	Jul_21_2011	21.61	21.66	22.03	21.99	22.04	22.1	22.04(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-3	30	-2	-4	2.01	49%	0.14	53	2.28%	0	0.5	57	NAN
18	Jul_20_2011	21.58	21.59	22.09	22.04	22.06	22.08	22.03(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	4	10	0	16	1.57	51%	0.14	53.6	2.3%	0	0.5	62	NAN
19	Jul_19_2011	21.55	21.52	22.09	22.08	22.06	21.97	22.07(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	8	-40	2	27	3.22	54%	0.14	52.1	2.34%	0	0.6	61	NAN
20	Jul_18_2011	21.52	21.42	22.08	21.98	22.09	22.04	21.8(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-0	-3	44	7.45	54%	0.09	47	2.39%	0	0.4	72	NAN

21	Jul_15_2011	21.5	21.33	22.11	21.99	22.04	22.21	22.03(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	17	60	-2	72	3.12	54%	0.14	44.9	2.39%	0	0.7	74	NAN
22	Jul_14_2011	21.47	21.24	22.06	22.08	22	22.15	22.25(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	25	40	2	94	2.73	54%	0.14	43.2	2.39%	0	1	66	NAN
23	Jul_13_2011	21.44	21.14	21.96	22.17	22.05	21.87	22.25(3.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-70	2	110	2.63	54%	0.19	44.9	2.39%	0	1.2	65	NAN
24	Jul_12_2011	21.4	21.07	21.86	22.09	22.13	21.86	21.55(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	18	-80	-13	111	2.7	52%	0	43	2.35%	0	0.5	61	NAN
25	Jul_11_2011	21.4	20.99	21.69	22.2	22.19	22.23	21.89(-2.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	28	10	-4	122	3.28	52%		39.7	2.35%	0	1	68	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.